ABN AMRO Bank Valuation

Is ABN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABN (€15.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€43.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABN?

Key metric: As ABN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABN. This is calculated by dividing ABN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.1x
Earnings€2.46b
Market Cap€12.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
EBS Erste Group Bank
7.6x-2.0%€23.4b
BG BAWAG Group
9.3x6.5%€6.3b
RBI Raiffeisen Bank International
2.8x-7.9%€6.3b
OBS Oberbank
13.6xn/a€4.9b
ABN ABN AMRO Bank
5.1x-8.9%€12.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ABN 5.1xIndustry Avg. 7.8xNo. of Companies42PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.1x
Fair PE Ratio5.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.02
€17.38
+15.8%
13.1%€23.00€14.30n/a16
Dec ’25€14.63
€17.66
+20.7%
11.8%€23.00€14.30n/a16
Nov ’25€15.38
€17.62
+14.6%
11.9%€23.00€14.30n/a16
Oct ’25€15.84
€17.76
+12.1%
10.8%€22.00€14.40n/a17
Sep ’25€15.52
€17.76
+14.4%
11.6%€23.00€14.40n/a17
Aug ’25€15.55
€17.65
+13.6%
12.1%€23.00€14.40n/a17
Jul ’25€15.70
€17.67
+12.6%
12.2%€23.00€14.40n/a17
Jun ’25€15.65
€17.58
+12.3%
12.8%€23.00€14.40n/a17
May ’25€15.16
€17.36
+14.5%
13.0%€23.00€14.40n/a18
Apr ’25€15.43
€17.17
+11.3%
12.8%€23.00€14.20n/a18
Mar ’25€14.94
€16.96
+13.5%
13.0%€23.00€13.90n/a19
Feb ’25€13.80
€16.18
+17.3%
14.4%€23.00€13.60n/a20
Jan ’25€13.57
€16.95
+24.9%
13.6%€23.00€14.20€14.8720
Dec ’24€12.36
€16.66
+34.9%
11.5%€21.00€14.20€14.6320
Nov ’24€12.71
€17.96
+41.3%
13.1%€22.00€14.56€15.3820
Oct ’24€13.25
€18.10
+36.6%
12.8%€22.40€14.07€15.8420
Sep ’24€14.16
€18.30
+29.3%
12.3%€22.40€14.80€15.5221
Aug ’24€15.56
€18.47
+18.7%
13.2%€23.00€14.80€15.5520
Jul ’24€14.04
€18.23
+29.9%
14.5%€22.40€12.50€15.7019
Jun ’24€13.91
€18.23
+31.1%
14.5%€22.40€12.50€15.6519
May ’24€14.56
€18.23
+25.3%
14.5%€23.60€12.50€15.1619
Apr ’24€14.60
€18.19
+24.6%
13.9%€23.80€12.50€15.4319
Mar ’24€16.53
€17.37
+5.1%
17.4%€23.80€11.00€14.9419
Feb ’24€15.18
€15.23
+0.3%
17.7%€20.80€9.50€13.8019
Jan ’24€13.04
€14.08
+7.9%
16.3%€17.20€9.50€13.5718

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/05 03:51
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ABN AMRO Bank N.V. is covered by 35 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick LeeBanco Santander
Juan Lopez CoboBanco Santander
Ignacio Mendez TerrosoBanco Santander