Urban Outfitters Valuation

Is URBN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of URBN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: URBN (ARS21675) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ARS41087.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: URBN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for URBN?

Key metric: As URBN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for URBN. This is calculated by dividing URBN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is URBN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsUS$310.02m
Market CapUS$3.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does URBN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for URBN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.1x
PMV Premier Investments
21.4x4.4%AU$5.5b
AEO American Eagle Outfitters
13.8x20.4%US$3.5b
8227 SHIMAMURA
14.5x3.6%JP¥593.5b
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings
26.7x16.8%US$4.1b
URBN Urban Outfitters
11.4x6.4%AR$3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: URBN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (19.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does URBN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
URBN 11.4xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies83PE01224364860+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: URBN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is URBN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

URBN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate URBN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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