Advance Auto Parts Valuation

Is AAP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AAP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AAP (ARS3400) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ARS3500.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AAP is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAP?

Key metric: As AAP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AAP. This is calculated by dividing AAP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AAP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio55.2x
EarningsUS$47.15m
Market CapUS$2.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AAP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AAP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.4x
SAH Sonic Automotive
12.1x10.7%US$2.4b
APE Eagers Automotive
11.1x1.8%AU$2.9b
PETG Petrol d.d
8.2xn/a€1.3b
2473 XXF Group Holdings
110xn/aHK$8.0b
AAP Advance Auto Parts
55.2x49.8%AR$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.2x) compared to the peer average (35.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AAP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AAP 55.2xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies78PE01224364860+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.2x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio55.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AAP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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