Spotify Technology S.A.

BASE:SPOT Stock Report

Market Cap: AR$96.4t

Spotify Technology Valuation

Is SPOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPOT (ARS18775) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ARS16326.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPOT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPOT?

Key metric: As SPOT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPOT. This is calculated by dividing SPOT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPOT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio131.5x
Earnings€701.00m
Market Cap€92.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPOT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.4x
UMG Universal Music Group
26.7x6.5%€41.3b
DIS Walt Disney
42.1x19.3%US$209.4b
NFLX Netflix
49.3x15.9%US$383.8b
FWON.K Formula One Group
75.3x20.0%US$20.7b
SPOT Spotify Technology
131.5x29.6%AR$96.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (131.5x) compared to the peer average (48.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPOT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Entertainment Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPOT 131.5xIndustry Avg. 23.5xNo. of Companies46PE020406080100+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (131.5x) compared to the Global Entertainment industry average (23.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPOT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPOT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio131.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPOT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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