BASE:CELU

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Celulosa Argentina S.A. operates in the forest industry sector in Argentina, Uruguay, and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Imperfect balance sheet and overvalued.

Share Price & News

How has Celulosa Argentina's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: CELU is less volatile than 75% of AR stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.

Volatility Over Time: CELU's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-0.5%

CELU

1.3%

AR Forestry

-4.0%

AR Market


1 Year Return

-12.4%

CELU

69.2%

AR Forestry

35.6%

AR Market

Return vs Industry: CELU underperformed the AR Forestry industry which returned 69.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CELU underperformed the AR Market which returned 35.6% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

CELUIndustryMarket
7 Day-0.5%1.3%-4.0%
30 Day-5.3%9.1%-9.0%
90 Day-10.9%32.8%-17.7%
1 Year-12.4%-12.4%70.1%69.2%36.3%35.6%
3 Year38.7%38.7%92.3%83.0%22.6%14.8%
5 Year96.0%96.0%65.4%54.4%201.8%163.5%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Celulosa Argentina's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

No news available

Valuation

Is Celulosa Argentina undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

0.44x

Price to Book (PB) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: CELU (ARS0.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ARS0.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CELU is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: CELU is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the XX Forestry industry average.

PE vs Market: CELU is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the AR market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CELU's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: CELU is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.4x) compared to the XS Forestry industry average (1x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Celulosa Argentina forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?

22.8%

Forecasted Materials industry annual growth in earnings


In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Celulosa Argentina has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by SimplyWall St do have past financial data.


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Celulosa Argentina performed over the past 5 years?

-30.4%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: CELU is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: CELU is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: CELU is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 30.4% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare CELU's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: CELU is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Forestry industry (4.7%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: CELU has a negative Return on Equity (-27.28%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Celulosa Argentina's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: CELU's short term assets (ARS6.9B) do not cover its short term liabilities (ARS11.8B).

Long Term Liabilities: CELU's short term assets (ARS6.9B) do not cover its long term liabilities (ARS9.5B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: CELU's debt to equity ratio (284.2%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: CELU's debt to equity ratio has increased from 125.3% to 284.2% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable CELU has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.

Forecast Cash Runway: CELU is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 47.1% per year.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Celulosa Argentina current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate CELU's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate CELU's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if CELU's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if CELU's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of CELU's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the AR market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?


CEO

Celulosa Argentina has no CEO, or we have no data on them.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Celulosa Argentina S.A.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Celulosa Argentina S.A.
  • Ticker: CELU
  • Exchange: BASE
  • Founded: 1929
  • Industry: Paper Products
  • Sector: Materials
  • Market Cap: AR$1.989b
  • Shares outstanding: 10.09b
  • Website: https://www.celulosaargentina.com.ar

Number of Employees


Location

  • Celulosa Argentina S.A.
  • Av. Santa Fe 1821
  • piso 7°
  • Buenos Aires
  • Capital Federal
  • C1123AAA
  • Argentina

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
CELUBASE (Buenos Aires Stock Exchange)YesOrdinary Shares with 1 VoteARARSJan 1992

Biography

Celulosa Argentina S.A. operates in the forest industry sector in Argentina, Uruguay, and internationally. The company offers printing and writing paper, tissue paper, and packaging paper under the BOREAL,...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/03/08 22:03
End of Day Share Price2021/03/05 00:00
Earnings2020/11/30
Annual Earnings2020/05/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.