Altria Group Valuation

Is MOD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MOD ($14.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($28.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOD?

Key metric: As MOD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MOD. This is calculated by dividing MOD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MOD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.3x
EarningsUS$10.26b
Market CapUS$95.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MOD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MOD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
ITC ITC
28.4x9.6%₹5.8t
PM Philip Morris International
20.9x9.4%US$199.9b
2914 Japan Tobacco
15.4x5.6%JP¥7.4t
IMB Imperial Brands
9.6x0.8%UK£20.0b
MOD Altria Group
9.3x-4.7%US$95.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tobacco Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MOD 9.3xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the Global Tobacco industry average (11.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MOD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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