ITC Valuation

Is ITC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ITC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ITC (₹424.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹275.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ITC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ITC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ITC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.3x
PEG Ratio3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ITC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ITC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average51.9x
500163 Godfrey Phillips India
19.5xn/a₹155.8b
509966 VST Industries
21.5xn/a₹60.2b
500790 Nestlé India
78.4x7.3%₹2.4t
VBL Varun Beverages
88.2x20.4%₹1.8t
ITC ITC
25.9x8.5%₹5.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ITC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the peer average (51.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ITC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Tobacco Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ITC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the Asian Tobacco industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ITC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ITC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.9x
Fair PE Ratio38.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ITC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ITC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹424.75
₹501.42
+18.1%
6.2%₹585.00₹430.00n/a34
Apr ’25₹426.70
₹501.35
+17.5%
6.2%₹585.00₹430.00n/a35
Mar ’25₹409.50
₹502.47
+22.7%
6.0%₹585.00₹430.00n/a35
Feb ’25₹442.90
₹505.32
+14.1%
5.4%₹585.00₹460.00n/a35
Jan ’25₹468.05
₹511.32
+9.2%
5.7%₹585.00₹450.00n/a34
Dec ’24₹449.80
₹509.67
+13.3%
5.8%₹585.00₹450.00n/a34
Nov ’24₹428.10
₹509.67
+19.1%
5.8%₹585.00₹450.00n/a34
Oct ’24₹444.40
₹507.00
+14.1%
5.8%₹585.00₹450.00n/a33
Sep ’24₹441.05
₹504.46
+14.4%
6.1%₹585.00₹450.00n/a35
Aug ’24₹464.80
₹490.00
+5.4%
7.8%₹585.00₹400.00n/a34
Jul ’24₹451.60
₹469.43
+3.9%
5.2%₹530.00₹400.00n/a32
Jun ’24₹439.70
₹467.06
+6.2%
5.1%₹520.00₹400.00n/a31
May ’24₹425.55
₹434.75
+2.2%
5.0%₹475.00₹355.00n/a32
Apr ’24₹383.50
₹431.06
+12.4%
5.3%₹475.00₹355.00₹426.7032
Mar ’24₹378.70
₹421.22
+11.2%
8.4%₹475.00₹304.00₹409.5036
Feb ’24₹361.40
₹386.86
+7.0%
7.4%₹430.00₹304.00₹442.9035
Jan ’24₹331.55
₹386.18
+16.5%
7.1%₹424.00₹304.00₹468.0533
Dec ’23₹339.55
₹385.31
+13.5%
7.1%₹424.00₹304.00₹449.8032
Nov ’23₹349.50
₹384.35
+10.0%
7.0%₹424.00₹304.00₹428.1031
Oct ’23₹332.20
₹352.26
+6.0%
6.9%₹424.00₹285.00₹444.4031
Sep ’23₹317.60
₹347.25
+9.3%
6.2%₹390.00₹285.00₹441.0532
Aug ’23₹307.50
₹314.71
+2.3%
9.3%₹360.00₹226.00₹464.8031
Jul ’23₹284.35
₹305.17
+7.3%
7.5%₹351.00₹226.00₹451.6030
Jun ’23₹271.85
₹298.77
+9.9%
8.0%₹351.00₹226.00₹439.7030
May ’23₹259.55
₹281.23
+8.4%
9.5%₹341.00₹226.00₹425.5530
Apr ’23₹253.30
₹276.40
+9.1%
9.0%₹341.00₹226.00₹383.5030

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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