YPF Sociedad Anónima

BASE:YPFDD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$19.7b

YPF Sociedad Anónima Valuation

Is YPFDD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YPFDD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YPFDD ($44.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($14.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YPFDD is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YPFDD?

Key metric: As YPFDD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YPFDD. This is calculated by dividing YPFDD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YPFDD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26x
EarningsAR$760.02b
Market CapAR$20.14t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YPFDD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YPFDD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.9x
TGSU2 Transportadora de Gas del Sur
33x15.8%AR$5.2t
ECOPETROL Ecopetrol
4.5x-6.4%Col$69.3t
COME Sociedad Comercial del Plata
29.9xn/aAR$793.8b
PTT PTT
8x-2.3%฿906.9b
YPFDD YPF Sociedad Anónima
26x15.6%US$20.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YPFDD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YPFDD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

31 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YPFDD 26.0xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies84PE0816243240+
31 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YPFDD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YPFDD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YPFDD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YPFDD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YPFDD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$44.30
US$53.58
+20.9%
41.3%US$73.10US$22.64n/a3
Dec ’25US$42.20
US$46.95
+11.3%
44.9%US$74.36US$23.03n/a3
Nov ’25US$26.20
US$23.37
-10.8%
62.7%US$41.29US$5.42n/a3
Oct ’25US$22.40
US$22.67
+1.2%
66.4%US$42.19US$5.54n/a3
Sep ’25US$23.85
US$22.79
-4.5%
65.1%US$41.85US$5.69n/a3
Aug ’25US$19.65
US$23.98
+22.0%
65.1%US$44.04US$5.99n/a3
Jul ’25US$20.00
US$23.98
+19.9%
65.1%US$44.04US$5.99n/a3
Jun ’25US$23.75
US$23.98
+1.0%
65.1%US$44.04US$5.99n/a3
May ’25US$23.30
US$8.67
-62.8%
9.8%US$9.53US$7.82n/a2
Apr ’25US$21.65
US$8.67
-59.9%
9.8%US$9.53US$7.82n/a2
Mar ’25US$18.30
US$8.67
-52.6%
9.8%US$9.53US$7.82n/a2
Feb ’25US$18.85
US$8.09
-57.1%
16.1%US$9.73US$6.55n/a3
Jan ’25US$16.95
US$27.13
+60.1%
61.1%US$55.71US$15.23n/a4
Dec ’24US$16.50
US$27.13
+64.4%
61.1%US$55.71US$15.23US$42.204
Nov ’24US$11.90
US$27.12
+127.9%
61.1%US$55.70US$15.23US$26.204
Oct ’24US$12.60
US$43.78
+247.5%
71.1%US$74.89US$12.67US$22.402
Sep ’24US$15.55
US$43.78
+181.6%
71.1%US$74.89US$12.67US$23.852
Aug ’24US$16.40
US$43.78
+167.0%
71.1%US$74.89US$12.67US$19.652
Jul ’24US$16.00
US$35.08
+119.2%
93.5%US$81.43US$10.02US$20.003
Jun ’24US$12.00
US$35.08
+192.3%
93.5%US$81.43US$10.02US$23.753
May ’24US$12.50
US$27.25
+118.0%
75.2%US$56.14US$10.78US$23.303
Apr ’24US$12.10
US$29.03
+139.9%
75.2%US$59.81US$11.48US$21.653
Mar ’24n/a
US$26.84
0%
54.6%US$41.49US$12.19US$18.302
Feb ’24US$12.35
US$27.70
+124.3%
73.9%US$48.17US$7.23US$18.852
Jan ’24US$9.20
US$27.70
+201.1%
73.9%US$48.17US$7.23US$16.952
Dec ’23n/a
US$14.72
0%
49.7%US$22.04US$7.40US$16.502

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 15:59
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

YPF Sociedad Anónima is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Leonardo MarcondesBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários
Daniel GuardiolaBTG Pactual