Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.

BASE:VISTD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.7b

Vista Energy. de Valuation

Is VISTD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VISTD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VISTD ($16.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VISTD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VISTD?

Key metric: As VISTD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VISTD. This is calculated by dividing VISTD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VISTD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsUS$516.69m
Market CapUS$4.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VISTD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VISTD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
COME Sociedad Comercial del Plata
23.1xn/aAR$792.2b
TGSU2 Transportadora de Gas del Sur
30.4x2.4%AR$4.6t
DEN Denbury
9.5x-18.5%US$4.6b
NOG Northern Oil and Gas
4.9x-26.1%US$4.0b
VISTD Vista Energy. de
9.2x14.6%US$95.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VISTD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VISTD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VISTD 9.2xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies86PE0816243240+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VISTD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VISTD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VISTD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VISTD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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