Stock Analysis

Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC's (DFM:GULFNAV) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

DFM:GULFNAV
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Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC's (DFM:GULFNAV) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC is:

7.2% = د.إ35m ÷ د.إ487m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every AED1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of AED0.07.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC's Earnings Growth And 7.2% ROE

It is hard to argue that Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 14%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 18% net income growth seen by Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC over the past five years is definitely a positive. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 33% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
DFM:GULFNAV Past Earnings Growth September 20th 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC doesn't pay any dividend currently which essentially means that it has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This definitely contributes to the decent earnings growth number that we discussed above.

Summary

In total, it does look like Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC has some positive aspects to its business. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Gulf Navigation Holding PJSC.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.