Fertiglobe plc

ADX:FERTIGLB Stock Report

Market Cap: د.إ21.7b

Fertiglobe Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Fertiglobe's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 3.2% and 9.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 15.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 25.2% in 3 years.

Key information

-9.9%

Earnings growth rate

-15.20%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth26.1%
Revenue growth rate-3.2%
Future return on equity25.24%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 26

FERTIGLB: Board Review And Earnings Outlook Will Shape Balanced Near-Term Prospects

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Fertiglobe slightly higher to AED 3.00. This change reflects updated views on its fair value, discount rate, revenue trend, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Jun 04

FERTIGLB: Future Dividend Cash Flows Will Support Attractive Payout-Led Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their AED fair value estimate for Fertiglobe slightly lower to AED 3.58, reflecting updated assumptions that point to a smaller decline in revenue growth, a modestly stronger profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for 28 April 2026 at 13:00 UTC to review and approve Fertiglobe's first quarter 2026 financial statements and to discuss general company activities and projects.
New Narrative • Jun 01

Bearish View Expects Margin Compression As Tight Nitrogen Markets Eventually Loosen

Catalysts About Fertiglobe Fertiglobe produces and sells nitrogen fertilizers and ammonia to agricultural and industrial customers across multiple regions. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • May 17

FERTIGLB: Future Dividends And Rebased Earnings Expectations Will Support Measured Payout Profile

Analysts now place Fertiglobe's price target at AED 3.58, up from AED 3.24. This reflects their updated fair value estimate and P/E assumptions, while also factoring in lower revenue growth and profit margin expectations.
New Narrative • May 12

Tight Nitrogen Markets And Cost Efficiencies Will Support Stronger Future Earnings Power

Catalysts About Fertiglobe Fertiglobe produces and sells nitrogen fertilizers and ammonia used in agriculture and industry. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Apr 24

FERTIGLB: Dividend Commitments And Stable Earnings Profile Will Support Future Payouts

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target for Fertiglobe to AED3.24 from AED3.19, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News The board approved a total cash dividend of US$260 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, equivalent to AED955 million or 11.64 fils per share.
Narrative Update • Apr 09

FERTIGLB: Dividend Visibility And Earnings Profile Will Support Steady Future Payouts

Analysts have raised their Fertiglobe price target slightly to AED 3.19 from AED 3.06, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue, profit margins and future P/E multiples in their models. What's in the News Fertiglobe approved a total cash dividend of US$260 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, equivalent to AED 955 million or 11.64 fils per share, covering the full year payout (company filing).
Narrative Update • Mar 26

FERTIGLB: Dividend Visibility And Earnings Profile Will Support Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have marginally raised their AED fair value estimate for Fertiglobe from AED 3.03 to AED 3.06, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News The board approved a total cash dividend of US$260 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, equivalent to AED 955 million or 11.64 fils per share.
Narrative Update • Mar 10

FERTIGLB: Future Earnings Profile And Dividend Plans Will Support Fair Outlook

Analysts have nudged their AED fair value estimate for Fertiglobe from about AED 2.98 to around AED 3.03, reflecting updated views on the company’s revenue trajectory, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for Feb 10, 2026 at 14:00 UTC to review preliminary unaudited annual financial statements for the year ended Dec 31, 2025, consider a proposed cash dividend of US$135 million for the second half of 2025, and discuss convening the annual general assembly on Mar 9, 2026 (company event disclosure).
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New Narrative • Feb 09

Integration With ADNOC And ExxonMobil Will Position As World’S Largest Low-Carbon Ammonia Producer

Fertiglobe's strategic focus on low-carbon ammonia expansion positions it for significant earnings growth and market leadership.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ADX:FERTIGLB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,9724545548249
12/31/20273,1435386821,17110
12/31/20263,3365688701,19710
3/31/20263,048559567754N/A
12/31/20252,827434543734N/A
9/30/20252,485367395581N/A
6/30/20252,222122493683N/A
3/31/20252,152116485656N/A
12/31/20242,009160439608N/A
9/30/20242,189215512641N/A
6/30/20242,219265534646N/A
3/31/20242,274330563685N/A
12/31/20232,416349683798N/A
9/30/20232,8244269771,125N/A
6/30/20233,6176781,4121,551N/A
3/31/20234,5361,0292,1282,247N/A
12/31/20225,0281,2502,3622,477N/A
9/30/20225,1581,4442,5452,644N/A
6/30/20224,7071,2902,2322,327N/A
3/31/20223,9529741,7081,795N/A
12/31/20213,3117031,3381,424N/A
9/30/20212,625381863918N/A
6/30/20212,073250633687N/A
3/31/20211,725148463525N/A
12/31/20201,55174454521N/A
12/31/20191,0564N/A255N/A
12/31/20181,23882N/A410N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FERTIGLB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.9% per year).

Earnings vs Market: FERTIGLB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FERTIGLB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: FERTIGLB's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FERTIGLB's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FERTIGLB's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (25.2%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/11 18:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fertiglobe plc is covered by 13 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mohamed OssamaArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Soha SaniourArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Ramchandra KamathBarclays