MPC logo

Marathon Petroleum Corporation Stock Price

NYSE:MPC Community·US$81.9b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 1 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 96 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

MPC Share Price Performance

US$283.30
101.04 (55.44%)
US$271.59
Fair Value
US$283.30
101.04 (55.44%)
4.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$271.59
Fair Value
Price US$283.30
AnalystConsensusTarget US$271.59
AnalystLowTarget US$200.39
AnalystHighTarget US$318.81

MPC Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$271.59 4.3% overvalued intrinsic discount

Refining Margins And Capital Returns Will Drive Outperformance Amid Market Volatility

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Fair Value US$200.39 41.4% overvalued intrinsic discount

Sour Crude Exposure And Midstream Assumptions Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook

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·
Fair Value US$318.81 11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

Refining And Midstream Expansion Will Drive Major Upside Over The Next Decade

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US$271.59
4.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
-0.23% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.07%
Future PE
12.59x
Price in 2029
US$333.08
US$318.81
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
4.16% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.7%
Future PE
11.85x
Price in 2029
US$390.32

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

MPC logo

MPC: Refining Margin Tailwinds Will Likely Prove Short Lived For Shares

Fair Value: US$200.39 41.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
0 users have set this as their fair value
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MPC: Refining Margins And Buybacks Will Shape Returns As Cracks Evolve

Fair Value: US$271.59 4.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
50 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
MPC logo

Refining And Midstream Expansion Will Drive Major Upside Over The Next Decade

Fair Value: US$318.81 11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
1 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Solid track record established dividend payer.

2 Risks
3 Rewards

Marathon Petroleum Corporation Key Details

US$135.9b

Revenue

US$121.3b

Cost of Revenue

US$14.6b

Gross Profit

US$10.0b

Other Expenses

US$4.6b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
Aug 04, 2026
15.85
10.74%
3.40%
137.3%
View Full Analysis

About MPC

Founded
1887
Employees
18500
CEO
Maryann Mannen
WebsiteView website
www.marathonpetroleum.com

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. The company sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

Recent MPC News & Updates

Narrative Update Jul 08

MPC: Refining Margin Tailwinds Will Likely Prove Short Lived For Shares

Marathon Petroleum's updated analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $163.00 to about $200.39, as analysts factor in refined views on refining margins, product inventories, and company level cash flow and capital structure updates reflected in recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum shows a wide range of views, with some firms lifting targets and others applying more conservative assumptions as they reassess refining margins, product inventories, and capital allocation.
Seeking Alpha Jul 07

Marathon Petroleum: Focus On Russia, Not Just Iran

Summary Marathon Petroleum remains a top "Buy" as global refining disruptions, especially in Russia, extend the duration of elevated crack spreads. Recent Ukrainian strikes have sidelined up to a third of Russian refining capacity, supporting crack spreads at $45+ for at least 15 months. MPC is poised for ~$70/share in excess cash flow by Q3 2027, enabling aggressive buybacks and at least 10% share retirement over the next year. Sum-of-the-parts valuation supports a $335/share target, with further positive analyst revisions and share price appreciation expected. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

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