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Universal Music Group N.V. Stock Price

ENXTAM:UMG Community·€37.5b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 38 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

UMG Share Price Performance

€20.44
-7.91 (-27.90%)
€39.91
Fair Value
€20.44
-7.91 (-27.90%)
45.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
€37.81
Fair Value
Price €20.44
AnalystHighTarget €37.81
AnalystLowTarget €15.00
AnalystConsensusTarget €28.90

UMG Community Narratives

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Fair Value €39.91 48.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

Global Connectivity And Streaming Will Spur Expansion While Facing Headwinds

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·
Fair Value €15 36.3% overvalued intrinsic discount

AI Disruption And Shifting Trends Will Erode Catalog Value

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·
Fair Value €28.9 29.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

Paid Music Streaming Adoption Will Drive Revenue Despite Margin Pressures

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€28.9
29.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
6.16% p.a.
Profit Margin
13.94%
Future PE
32.45x
Price in 2029
€35.98

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

UMG logo

UMG: AI Partnerships And Premium Features Will Support Catalog Earnings Power

Fair Value: €39.91 48.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
2 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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UMG: AI Disruption And Deal Uncertainty Will Pressure Long Term Catalog Economics

Fair Value: €15 36.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
2 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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UMG: AI Partnerships Will Drive Future Upside Versus Trimmed Fair Value Estimate

Fair Value: €28.9 29.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 users have set this as their fair value
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Snowflake Analysis

Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.

3 Risks
2 Rewards

Universal Music Group N.V. Key Details

€12.5b

Revenue

€7.2b

Cost of Revenue

€5.3b

Gross Profit

€3.8b

Other Expenses

€1.5b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
0.84
42.46%
12.26%
62.3%
View Full Analysis

About UMG

Founded
2020
Employees
9636
CEO
Lucian Grainge
WebsiteView website
www.universalmusic.com

Universal Music Group N.V. operates as a music company worldwide. The company operates through Recorded Music, Music Publishing, and Merchandising & Other segments. Its Recorded Music segment discovers and develops recording artists, as well as licenses, markets, promotes, distributes, and sells their music across various formats and platforms; and engages in the live events, sponsorship, film, and television operations. The Music Publishing segment discovers and develops songwriters, as well as owns and administers the copyright for musical compositions used in recordings, public performances, and related uses, such as films and advertisements. Its Merchandising & Other segment produces and sells artist and other branded products through various sales channels, including fashion retail, concert touring, and online, as well as offers brand rights management services. Universal Music Group N.V. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Hilversum, the Netherlands.

Recent UMG News & Updates

Narrative Update May 24

UMG: AI Partnerships And Premium Features Will Support Catalog Earnings Power

Narrative Update: Universal Music Group The analyst fair value estimate for Universal Music Group has moved from about €37.81 to about €39.91, reflecting updated views on discount rates, slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin assumption, and a higher future P/E multiple, with analysts pointing in part to the recent AI and premium feature partnerships highlighted in streaming sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Universal Music Group highlights a mix of optimism around AI partnerships and premium features on streaming platforms, alongside some caution about longer term AI risks for major labels.

Recent updates

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