3yr target: ₹1,850. From ₹1,137 that's +63%, or ~17.6% a year. Cost of equity is 15.3%
Q1 changed the odds, not just the numbers. The acquired business is annualising near €48m against €35m guided — so the weak outcomes I'd been weighting heavily simply aren't likely anymore. And by FY29 this thing carries four years of evidence, which means a 6x de-rating stops being a live scenario and 11-13x becomes the central case. Re-weighting for both is what takes you from ₹1,467 on a 2yr view to ₹1,850 on 3yr. Two-thirds of that move is just another year of earnings; one-third is the re-rating.
The assumptions.
Built off Q1 normalised — legacy ₹114cr, not the ₹127cr headline, since ₹13cr is inventorised overhead per the company's own footnote. Legacy rolled at 12% (management guides 12-13%, took the low end). Acquired rolled at 4% revenue growth — no European demand recovery assumed anywhere. All the value comes from margin expanding toward management's own "high single digit to low double digit," none from a demand call.
One caveat on my own number:
The maths gives ₹1,961. I'm publishing ₹1,850 because the top end double-counts optimism — a 13x multiple and a €104m outcome need the same things to go right, so they shouldn't be treated as independent.
The number that matters more than the target: ₹1,705.
That's what it's worth if the acquired business freezes at Q1's 6.5% margin and never improves again, everything else at base. Still +50%. No forecast required — it only needs last quarter not to reverse.
Bear and hard stop stays ₹910.
Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells organic, inorganic and effect pigments, performance colorants, pearlescent pigments, and specialty chemicals in India and internationally. It operates through two segments, Pigments and Others. The company offers architectural, automotive, floor, industrial, wood, coil, glass, and powder coating products, as well as area marking and traffic paints; pigment solutions for personal care, stationary, cosmetics, automotive, consumer goods, packaging, construction and electrical, and fiber; and liquid, paste, and specialty printing inks. It also provides color printers, toners, and inkjets; and corrosion protection products. In addition, the company colorants, process chemicals, and specialized additives designed for anodizing, coloring, and sealing aluminum; and latex and paper coloration, seed coloration, crop protection, textile printing, concrete and plaster, leather coloration, and viscose coloration products. It also manufactures pollution control equipment, size reduction equipment, and grinding equipment for industrial applications; and clean air, grinding, and power handling solutions. Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Pune, India.