TOL Share Price Performance
US$126.25
-26.11 (-17.14%)
37.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$92.00
Fair Value
Price US$126.25
AnalystLowTarget US$92.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$149.94
AnalystHighTarget US$183.00
Fair ValueUS$110.81
Share Pricen/a
Toll Brothers, Inc. Stock Price
- 3 Narratives written by author
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- 52 Fair Values set on narratives written by author
TOL Community Narratives
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Fair Value US$110.81 13.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Rising Credit Costs And Demographic Shifts Will Hurt Luxury Housing
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Fair Value US$149.94 15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Affluent Millennials And Gen Z Will Drive Luxury Community Expansion
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Fair Value US$183 31.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Affluent Demographics And Tech Adoption Will Spark Enduring Demand
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Rising Credit Costs And Demographic Shifts Will Hurt Luxury Housing
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on the luxury housing segment exposes the company to demographic shifts, economic downturns, and emerging alternative housing models that threaten sustained demand. Rising costs, tighter credit conditions, and regulatory burdens could pressure margins and weaken future profit growth even if revenues hold steady.Read more
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AN
US$110.81
13.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
Revenue growth
1.52% p.a.
Profit Margin
12.22%
Future PE
8.51x
Share price in 2028
US$141.23
Affluent Millennials And Gen Z Will Drive Luxury Community Expansion
Key Takeaways Expansion into more high-demand communities and targeting affluent young buyers positions the company to benefit from strong luxury housing demand and pricing power. Investments in efficiency, cost controls, and rapid construction methods support profitability, margin growth, and faster response to shifting market conditions.Read more
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AN
US$149.94
15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value
Revenue growth
6.32% p.a.
Profit Margin
12.77%
Future PE
9.6x
Share price in 2028
US$191.11
Affluent Demographics And Tech Adoption Will Spark Enduring Demand
Key Takeaways Strong luxury pricing power, rising cash buyer share, and demand from affluent Millennials position Toll Brothers for resilient margins and revenue growth above expectations. Operational efficiencies and faster construction cycles support sustained outperformance in order absorption, revenue generation, and structurally higher profitability.Read more
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US$183
31.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget Fair Value
Revenue growth
4.35% p.a.
Profit Margin
12.66%
Future PE
12.5x
Share price in 2028
US$233.25
Recently Updated Narratives
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Affluent Millennials And Gen Z Will Drive Luxury Community Expansion
Fair Value: US$149.94 15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
22 followersusers have followed this narrative
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AN
Rising Credit Costs And Demographic Shifts Will Hurt Luxury Housing
Fair Value: US$110.81 13.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
2 followersusers have followed this narrative
0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative
0 likesusers have liked this narrative
AN
Affluent Demographics And Tech Adoption Will Spark Enduring Demand
Fair Value: US$183 31.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
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Snowflake Analysis
Toll Brothers, Inc. Key Details
Last Reported Earnings
Jul 31, 2025
Next Reporting Earnings
Dec 08, 2025
- 14.27
- 26.33%
- 12.64%
- 36.3%
About TOL
- Founded
- 1967
- Employees
- 4900
- CEO
- WebsiteView website
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
