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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Stock Price

NYSE:ZTO Community·US$16.6b Market Cap
  • 4 Narratives written by author
  • 5 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 33 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

ZTO Share Price Performance

US$22.83
5.38 (30.83%)
US$31.48
Fair Value
US$22.83
5.38 (30.83%)
27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$31.48
Fair Value
Price US$22.83
AnalystHighTarget US$31.48
AnalystConsensusTarget US$23.87
AnalystLowTarget US$24.24

ZTO Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$31.48 27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

E-commerce And AI Logistics Will Transform China And Southeast Asia

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Fair Value US$23.87 4.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

Sustained Profitability And Efficiency Will Drive Continued Market Outperformance

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14users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$24.24 5.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

Chinese E-Commerce Deceleration And Cost Pressures Will Strain Performance

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US$24.24
5.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
8.37% p.a.
Profit Margin
19.2%
Future PE
11.33x
Price in 2029
US$31.22
US$31.48
27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
14.86% p.a.
Profit Margin
19.02%
Future PE
14.77x
Price in 2029
US$40.25
US$23.87
4.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
8.97% p.a.
Profit Margin
19.23%
Future PE
14.31x
Price in 2029
US$30.5

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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ZTO: Buybacks And Alibaba Stake Overhang Will Shape Execution And Sector Risks

Fair Value: US$24.24 5.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
0 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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ZTO: Future Share Buybacks And Capital Returns Will Support Upside Potential

Fair Value: US$31.48 27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
3 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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ZTO: Buybacks And Stable Margins Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Fair Value: US$23.87 4.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
14 users have set this as their fair value
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Snowflake Analysis

Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

1 Risk
4 Rewards

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Key Details

CN¥51.5b

Revenue

CN¥38.7b

Cost of Revenue

CN¥12.8b

Gross Profit

CN¥3.6b

Other Expenses

CN¥9.2b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
12.45
24.89%
17.88%
34.1%
View Full Analysis

About ZTO

Founded
2002
Employees
23399
CEO
Meisong Lai
WebsiteView website
www.zto.com

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Recent ZTO News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Jun 03

ZTO Express: Anticipated Margin Expansion Should Drive Re-Rating

Summary I maintain a 'Buy' rating on ZTO Express after analyzing its profitability prospects and valuations. ZTO's operating margins are expected to be on an uptrend in 2Q2026 and beyond, thanks to AI- and pricing-related tailwinds. I estimate a potential upside of +23% for ZTO's shares pegged to its historical three-year P/E average. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 01

ZTO: Buybacks And Alibaba Stake Overhang Will Shape Execution And Sector Risks

Analysts have adjusted the blended fair value estimate for ZTO Express (Cayman) slightly higher to about $24.24 from $23.81. This reflects mixed changes in discount rate and growth assumptions as they weigh potential Alibaba stake sale overhang against views on valuation, share buybacks, and market share and profitability trends behind recent price target moves between about $25.60 and $30.10.

Recent updates

No updates