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Marathon Petroleum Corporation Stock Price

NYSE:MPC Community·US$83.7b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 103 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

MPC Share Price Performance

US$298.20
139.61 (88.03%)
US$293.12
Fair Value
US$298.20
139.61 (88.03%)
1.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$293.12
Fair Value
Price US$298.20
AnalystConsensusTarget US$293.12
AnalystLowTarget US$200.39
AnalystHighTarget US$376.00

MPC Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$293.12 1.7% overvalued intrinsic discount

Refining Margins And Capital Returns Will Drive Outperformance Amid Market Volatility

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Fair Value US$200.39 48.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Sour Crude Exposure And Midstream Assumptions Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook

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Fair Value US$376 20.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

Refining And Midstream Expansion Will Drive Major Upside Over The Next Decade

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US$293.12
1.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
0.36% p.a.
Profit Margin
4.3%
Future PE
15.74x
Price in 2029
US$359.48
US$200.39
48.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
-3.14% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.29%
Future PE
9.73x
Price in 2029
US$245.77

Trending Discussion

No trending discussion available.

Updated Narratives

MPC logo

MPC: Refining Margin Strength And Q2 Execution Will Drive Future Upside

Fair Value: US$376 20.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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MPC: Tighter Cracks And Heavy Buybacks Will Drive Balanced Future Returns

Fair Value: US$293.12 1.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
51 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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MPC: Refining Margin Tailwinds Will Likely Prove Short Lived For Shares

Fair Value: US$200.39 48.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
0 users have set this as their fair value
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Snowflake Analysis

Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.

2 Risks
4 Rewards

Marathon Petroleum Corporation Key Details

US$154.1b

Revenue

US$134.4b

Cost of Revenue

US$19.8b

Gross Profit

US$11.2b

Other Expenses

US$8.5b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
30.43
12.82%
5.54%
125.1%
View Full Analysis

About MPC

Founded
1887
Employees
18500
CEO
Maryann Mannen
WebsiteView website
www.marathonpetroleum.com

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. The company sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

Recent MPC News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Aug 07

Marathon Petroleum: Why Stock Plummeted After A Massive Beat

Summary Marathon Petroleum (MPC) delivered massive earnings, driven by exceptional crack spreads and global refining disruptions, despite a subsequent stock price decline. MPC management expects tight refining markets and elevated spreads to persist through 2027, supported by ongoing geopolitical conflicts and refinery outages. Q2 results included $8.5B EBITDA, $6.6B cash from operations, $2.8B shareholder returns, and 94% utilization, with Gulf Coast and West Coast regions achieving $27/barrel adjusted EBITDA. Renewables at Martinez showed a dramatic margin turnaround; management guides for 2.8M bpd throughput and $300M in upgrades to enhance crude flexibility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Aug 06

MPC: Refining Margin Strength And Q2 Execution Will Drive Future Upside

Marathon Petroleum's analyst fair value estimate has moved from about $318.81 to $376.00 as analysts respond to stronger Q2 margin capture, a supportive refining environment, and updated assumptions on refining cracks and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum points to generally constructive sentiment, with many bullish analysts lifting price targets in response to Q2 execution, margin capture and refining fundamentals.

Recent updates

No updates