AutoNation Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 1/6
AutoNation zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 3.1% en 3.1% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 10.4% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 25.2% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
3.1%
Groei van de winst
10.39%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Specialty Retail winstgroei | 8.6% |
| Inkomstengroei | 3.1% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 25.15% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 18 Sep 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Sep 21
AN: Digital Growth Matters Less, AI And Aftersales Are Driving The Real Upside
The view on AutoNation has shifted from a focus on digital retail growth and store expansion to a sharper emphasis on AI driven efficiency, high margin aftersales and finance income, and disciplined capital returns as the key drivers of the story. What's Changed Previously, AutoNation was framed around digital retail growth and omnichannel unit expansion as drivers of top line revenue.Seeking Alpha • Sep 18
It's Time To Shift AutoNation Into Neutral (Downgrade)
Summary AutoNation, Inc. is downgraded from Buy to Hold due to mounting industry headwinds and cautious management commentary. AN faces declining new and used vehicle unit sales, shrinking gross profit per vehicle, and rising auto loan delinquencies. Management warns of sequential gross profit declines, softer service growth, and a sharp drop in electric vehicle demand. Despite relative valuation appeal, AN's high net leverage and sector-wide demand weakness warrant a more neutral stance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarratiefupdate • Aug 06
AN: Share Repurchases And Luxury Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have increased their price target on AutoNation to $298.44 from $289.62, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower projected P/E multiple. What’s in the News for AutoNation AutoNation completed a share repurchase tranche from April 1, 2026 to July 29, 2026, buying 785,818 shares, or 2.32% of its stock, for US$157.04 million under its long running buyback first announced in October 2007.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 01
AN: Bay Area Luxury Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts now set a higher fair value estimate for AutoNation at $208, up from $200. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 17
AN: Buybacks And Brand Density Expansion Will Drive Future Stock Upside
Analysts have kept their $242.75 price target for AutoNation unchanged, citing only modest tweaks to model inputs, such as a slightly lower discount rate and small revisions to assumed growth, margins and future P/E that do not materially alter their overall view of the stock. What’s in the News for AutoNation The Federal Trade Commission publicly listed AutoNation among 97 car dealers warned over what the agency described as deceptive pricing practices, including advertising misleading prices and conditioning prices on dealer financing, according to an FTC release on June 1, 2026.Narratiefupdate • Jun 03
AN: Aggressive Buybacks And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for AutoNation to $242.75. The move is supported by updated assumptions that pair slightly lower revenue growth and a modestly lower future P/E with a higher profit margin outlook and an adjusted discount rate.Narratiefupdate • May 06
AN: Ongoing Buybacks And Solid Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AutoNation slightly higher to approximately $242 per share, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that leave their overall valuation view largely unchanged. What's in the News AutoNation reported that from October 1, 2025 to February 10, 2026, it repurchased 2,948,352 shares, or 8% of its stock, for US$617.42m under its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Apr 19
AN: Share Repurchases Will Sustain Earnings Power And Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on AutoNation slightly. They now reflect a fair value of about $290, as small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions leave the overall outlook broadly unchanged.Narratiefupdate • Apr 05
AN: Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts now see AutoNation's fair value at about $292.75 per share, with the modest adjustment from the prior $292.75 tied to small tweaks in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and expected future P/E assumptions. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to February 10, 2026, AutoNation repurchased 2,948,352 shares, about 8% of its shares, for US$617.42 million under its ongoing buyback plan that began on October 24, 2007 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Mar 22
AN: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Support Measured Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target for AutoNation to align with a fair value estimate of about $241.27, up from roughly $239.30. The change reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.Narratiefupdate • Mar 07
AN: Ongoing Buybacks And Maryland Expansion Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts trimmed their fair value estimate for AutoNation slightly to $292.75 from $295.90 as they now apply a marginally higher discount rate, expect softer revenue growth and profit margins, and use a higher future P/E assumption in their models. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to February 4, 2026, AutoNation repurchased 2,200,000 shares for $461.3 million, representing 5.97% of shares.Narratiefupdate • Feb 21
AN: Maryland Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have slightly lowered their AutoNation price target to $295.90 from $296.79, citing updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to February 4, 2026, AutoNation repurchased 2,200,000 shares, or 5.97% of its stock, for US$461.3 million under its long running buyback program announced in 2007 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Feb 06
AN: Maryland Expansion Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their price target for AutoNation from about US$245 to roughly US$297, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News AutoNation acquired Jerry's Toyota from Jerry's Automotive Group in Baltimore, Maryland, renaming it AutoNation Toyota White Marsh, effective December 8, 2025 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 23
AN: Share Repurchases And Recent Dealership Acquisition Will Guide Measured Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AutoNation higher to $239.30 from $238.10, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, and a small adjustment to the forward P/E multiple. What's in the News AutoNation acquired Jerry's Toyota in Baltimore, Maryland, renaming it AutoNation Toyota White Marsh, effective December 8, 2025 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 08
AN: Buybacks And Modest M&A Will Support Measured Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update on AutoNation Analysts have adjusted their price target on AutoNation slightly higher to US$238.10 from US$236.60, citing refreshed fair value work that incorporates minor tweaks to the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News AutoNation acquired Jerry's Toyota in Baltimore, Maryland, renaming it AutoNation Toyota White Marsh, effective December 8, 2025.Narratiefupdate • Dec 25
AN: Share Repurchases Will Continue To Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on AutoNation, trimming fair value by about $3 to roughly $236.60. Modestly reduced forward earnings multiples and cautious long term profitability assumptions are tempering their outlook.Narratiefupdate • Dec 11
AN: Share Repurchases And Acquisitions Will Continue To Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on AutoNation slightly, reflecting a modest fair value increase from about $238 to $239 per share as they factor in somewhat stronger revenue growth expectations that more than offset a minor trim to projected profit margins and a slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Expanded share repurchase authorization by $1.0 billion, bringing total buyback capacity to $11.5 billion as of October 31, 2025 (company announcement) Completed repurchase of 1,234,984 shares, or 3.28%, for $269.24 million between July 1 and October 21, 2025, culminating in 170,630,933 shares bought for $10.02 billion under the long running program initiated in 2007 (company filing) Continuing to pursue M&A, with about $350 million deployed year to date on transactions in Denver and Chicago to increase scale and market density (Q3 2025 earnings call) Grand re opening of the redeveloped Porsche Newport Beach retail and service center, a 60,000 sq.Analyse-artikel • Dec 09
Is AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narratiefupdate • Nov 26
AN: Ongoing Repurchases And Acquisitions Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for AutoNation from $233.00 to $238.45, citing modest improvements in revenue growth expectations and a slight reduction in discount rate assumptions. What's in the News AutoNation increased its share repurchase program by $1,000 million, bringing total authorization to $11,500 million (company announcement).Narratiefupdate • Nov 12
AN: Expanded Share Repurchases Will Likely Drive Market Outperformance
Analysts have raised their price target for AutoNation from $228.30 to $233.00. They cite slightly improved revenue growth expectations, even though there is a marginal decrease in projected profit margins.Narratiefupdate • Oct 29
Buybacks And Luxury Acquisitions Will Drive Market Expansion Next Year
Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Revision for AutoNation Analysts have raised their price target for AutoNation by $2.20 to $228.30. This update is based on improved revenue growth expectations, a modest increase in profit margin forecasts, and a slightly lower projected future price-to-earnings ratio.Analyse-artikel • Oct 28
AutoNation, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
AutoNation, Inc. ( NYSE:AN ) just released its latest third-quarter results and things are looking bullish. It was...Narratiefupdate • Oct 14
After-Sales And Digital Evolution Will Capture US Secular Trends
Analysts have raised their price target for AutoNation from $221.91 to $226.10. This reflects improved forecasts for the company's revenue growth and profit margin.Narratiefupdate • Sep 05
After-Sales And Digital Evolution Will Capture US Secular Trends
With no notable changes in either the discount rate or future P/E, AutoNation’s consensus analyst price target remained essentially flat at $221.91. What's in the News Repurchased 183,982 shares for $28.99 million, representing 0.49% of shares outstanding.Seeking Alpha • Apr 25
AutoNation: Tariff Resilience Makes Shares Attractive
Summary AutoNation, Inc. has shown moderate performance, with an 8% increase over the past year, driven by substantial cash flow and aggressive share repurchases. Q1 results were solid, with EPS of $4.68 beating estimates, but operating income fell 4% due to higher SG&A expenses. Despite tariff risks, AutoNation's diverse business model, particularly in maintenance and used vehicles, provides resilience and natural hedges against market fluctuations. AN shares trade at 9x earnings, presenting a compelling opportunity with fair value estimated between $190-$200, making AutoNation a buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 11
AutoNation: Debt Maturity Looms While EBITDA, Cash Flow And Margins Erode
Summary AutoNation's stock is expected to drop to $144/share due to declining sales, gross margin erosion, rising interest costs, and high SG&A overheads. The car dealership industry is in free-fall, with new and used car sales volumes plummeting, impacting AutoNation's EBITDA and free cash flow. AutoNation's reliance on Parts & Service for nearly half its Gross Profit highlights financial strain, with rising interest expenses and a significant drop in free cash flow. Despite a stock price increase, AutoNation faces severe financial challenges, with declining sales, higher interest costs, and looming bank debt covenants. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 23
AutoNation: The Bull Case Remains Intact
Summary AutoNation Inc. shares have delivered a 27% total return since my Strong Buy recommendation on November 21, 2023. The company has experienced a challenging 2024 but is likely to return to growth in 2025. The stock remains attractively valued vs the broader market and trades at a reasonable valuation relative to peers. The bull case remains intact and I am re-iterating a Strong Buy rating on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 09
AutoNation: There Are Better Opportunities On The Market
Summary AutoNation faces challenges with stagnating sales and declining revenue, while competitors like Carvana and Lithia Motors show strong growth and market share gains. AutoNation's high debt-to-equity ratio raises concerns about long-term sustainability and financial health. Carvana's innovative Carlypso software and e-commerce model pose a significant competitive threat to traditional automotive retailers like AutoNation. I recommend investing in Lithia Motors and Group 1 Automotive due to their solid growth, profitability, and attractive stock valuations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nieuw narratief • Aug 28
Navigating Challenges And Embracing Opportunities In Automotive Retail For Sustained Growth
Expansion in used vehicle sales and service segment improvements suggest potential for increased revenue and margins.Seeking Alpha • Jul 26
AutoNation: The Ride Isn't Over Yet
Summary AutoNation is a major automotive retail company in the US, generating revenue from vehicle sales, parts, services, and finance products. Recent financial results show mixed performance, with revenue holding steady but net income and cash flow declining. Despite challenges, the company is expected to report improved adjusted earnings for the second quarter of 2024, potentially driving additional upside for shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 18
AutoNation: Superb Economics With Minimal Reinvestment Opportunities
Summary AutoNation stock presents with exceptional economic characteristics despite trading at <10x NOPAT. Returns on capital employed in the business persistently sit over 25%, driven by highly efficient asset utilization. With minimal reinvestment runway management is aggressively buying back shares. In my view AN is worth ~$214/share today. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 29,654 | 815 | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 28,786 | 787 | N/A | 979 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 27,853 | 737 | N/A | 371 | 10 |
| 6/30/2026 | 27,449 | 775 | 12 | 293 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 27,493 | 679 | -104 | 187 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 27,631 | 649 | -197 | 112 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 27,915 | 663 | -178 | 111 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 27,464 | 634 | -452 | -150 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 26,970 | 678 | -342 | -32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 26,765 | 692 | -14 | 315 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 26,320 | 722 | -260 | 126 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 26,626 | 780 | 59 | 452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 27,036 | 923 | 100 | 509 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 26,949 | 1,020 | 314 | 724 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 26,879 | 1,090 | 609 | 987 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 26,652 | 1,199 | 912 | 1,280 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 26,631 | 1,303 | 1,167 | 1,535 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 26,985 | 1,378 | 1,339 | 1,668 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 26,870 | 1,479 | 1,221 | 1,512 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 26,584 | 1,488 | 1,333 | 1,592 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 26,693 | 1,496 | 1,514 | 1,745 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 25,844 | 1,373 | 1,412 | 1,628 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 25,047 | 1,138 | 1,398 | 1,603 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 24,072 | 959 | 1,047 | 1,244 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 21,627 | 854 | 1,465 | 1,620 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 20,390 | 382 | 1,052 | 1,208 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 20,154 | 388 | 1,072 | 1,268 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 20,210 | 305 | 1,016 | 1,238 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 21,021 | 127 | N/A | 623 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 21,336 | 451 | N/A | 769 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 21,199 | 386 | N/A | 641 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 21,087 | 398 | N/A | 646 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 21,135 | 395 | N/A | 572 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 21,413 | 396 | N/A | 511 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 21,685 | 455 | N/A | 618 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 21,768 | 440 | N/A | 592 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 21,655 | 430 | N/A | 553 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 21,535 | 435 | N/A | 540 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 21,332 | 399 | N/A | 494 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 21,467 | 409 | N/A | 527 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 21,629 | 434 | N/A | 503 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 21,609 | 432 | N/A | 516 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 21,468 | 414 | N/A | 511 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 21,255 | 425 | N/A | 493 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 21,037 | 428 | N/A | 506 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 20,862 | 444 | N/A | 507 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 20,570 | 463 | N/A | 508 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei van AN ( 3.1% per jaar) ligt onder de spaarquote ( 3.7% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van AN ( 3.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 17.5% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van AN zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van AN ( 3.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 13.6% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van AN ( 3.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen AN zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zijn ( 25.2 %)
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/09/21 13:32 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/09/21 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/06/30 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
AutoNation, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 24 analisten. 10 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| John Babcock | Barclays |
| Andrew Fung | Berenberg |
| Alexander Perry | BofA Global Research |