Warner Music Group Corp.

NasdaqGS:WMG Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$17.9b

Warner Music Group Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 4/6

Warner Music Group zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 24.8% en 5.3% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 25.1% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 54.5% zijn.

Belangrijke informatie

24.8%

Groei van de winst

25.15%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Entertainment winstgroei22.3%
Inkomstengroei5.3%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen54.50%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt12 May 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Narratiefupdate May 15

WMG: AI Catalog Risk Will Ultimately Support Long Term Content Economics

Narrative Update on Warner Music Group Analysts have lifted Warner Music Group's implied fair value by about $2 per share, with higher Street price targets reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth and profit margins, a modestly reduced discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Warner Music Group shows a mix of optimism reflected in higher price targets and caution around long term disruption risk, especially from AI driven changes in music creation and consumption.
Analyseartikel May 14

We Like Warner Music Group's (NASDAQ:WMG) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

Shareholders appeared to be happy with Warner Music Group Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:WMG ) solid earnings report last week. This...
Narratiefupdate Apr 29

WMG: AI Catalog Risk Will Ultimately Support Future Content Economics

Analysts have made a modest upward tweak to the Warner Music Group price target, with a roughly $0.06 adjustment reflecting slightly refined assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while also weighing mixed recent target changes and the rising debate about AI related risks to major music labels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Warner Music Group reflects a mixed backdrop, with modest price target moves and a growing focus on how AI could influence long term economics for major labels.
Narratiefupdate Apr 15

WMG: AI Catalog Risk Will Ultimately Support Long Term Content Economics

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Warner Music Group by about $0.12 to $36.12, reflecting slightly lower assumed P/E multiples and discount rates, along with a marginally higher profit margin outlook and ongoing debate about AI risk to major labels. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Warner Music Group presents a mix of optimism about the long term role of major labels and caution around valuation and emerging risks such as AI driven music generation.
Nieuw narratief Apr 07

Streaming And AI Partnerships Will Redefine This Music Powerhouse’s Long Term Earnings Potential

Catalysts About Warner Music Group Warner Music Group is a global music company with recorded music and music publishing operations across major artists, songwriters and catalogs. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narratiefupdate Mar 31

WMG: AI Catalog Risks Will Ultimately Support Long Term Content Economics

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Warner Music Group lower by a few dollars, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly higher growth expectations with pressure on profit margins and fresh concerns around AI related catalog and market share risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a mix of optimism about Warner Music Group's growth potential and concern around how new technologies, especially AI, could affect long term value and market share.
Nieuw narratief Mar 24

AI Partnerships And Catalog Acquisitions Will Struggle Before Eventually Supporting Healthier Margins

Catalysts About Warner Music Group Warner Music Group is a global music company with recorded music, music publishing and catalog monetization businesses. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Seeking Alpha Mar 22

Warner Music Group: Even At 52-Week Lows, I Still Have Concerns

Summary Warner Music Group faces structural headwinds as streaming growth slows, the cultural relevance of new music declines, and AI-generated content threatens royalty streams. WMG's adjusted earnings paint an optimistic picture, but GAAP earnings have stalled out. Heavy debt load and limited operating leverage raise concerns about the sustainability of future shareholder returns. I have a hold rating for Warner; the price has corrected, but fundamental business challenges and weak GAAP profitability limit upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate Mar 11

WMG: AI Exposures Will Ultimately Support Stronger Long Term Catalog Economics

Narrative Update on Warner Music Group The implied analyst price target for Warner Music Group is now held around $37.44, with analysts citing a slightly higher required return and AI related risks to major labels, alongside mixed recent views on the stock, including a modest $1 target trim from Citi and a bullish initiation from MoffettNathanson. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Warner Music Group highlights a mix of optimism around the long term role of major labels and caution around the impact of AI on recorded music economics and catalog value.
Narratiefupdate Feb 25

WMG: AI Threats Will Ultimately Support Stronger Long Term Cash Generation

Analysts have slightly trimmed their price target on Warner Music Group to $37.44, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and a small uptick in expected profit margin, while also factoring in fresh views on AI related risks and recent mixed research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Warner Music Group reflects a mix of optimism around the core business and caution around emerging risks, especially related to AI generated music.
Narratiefupdate Feb 10

WMG: AI Licensing Deals Will Support Stronger Long Term Cash Generation

Analysts now see a slightly lower fair value for Warner Music Group, trimming their price target by about US$0.22 as they factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E multiple, while still referencing recent mixed research that includes a new bullish initiation and a modest target cut from the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see room for Warner Music Group to execute on its growth plans, which they factor into a supportive long term earnings profile and a constructive P/E framework.
Narratiefupdate Jan 27

WMG: AI Licensing And Pricing Power Will Support Stronger Long Term Cash Generation

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Warner Music Group by about $0.10 to roughly $37.67. This reflects slightly updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while taking into account both recent target moves at major firms and a broadly constructive view on the long term pricing opportunity in music.
Narratiefupdate Jan 12

WMG: Pricing Power And AI Licensing Deals Will Support Stronger Cash Generation

Analysts have raised their price target on Warner Music Group to $38 from $35, citing what they describe as a growing pricing opportunity in music. This view accompanies only modest adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E in updated models.
Analyseartikel Jan 07

Should You Think About Buying Warner Music Group Corp. (NASDAQ:WMG) Now?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Warner Music Group Corp. ( NASDAQ:WMG ). The company's stock...
Narratiefupdate Dec 27

WMG: Flexible Pricing And AI Deals Will Drive Stronger Future Cash Flows

Analysts have nudged their price target on Warner Music Group up by $3 to $38 per share, citing a favorable shift in the music industry toward flexible, higher-pricing opportunities that they believe will unlock greater value from the company’s catalog and new releases. Analyst Commentary Analysts view the latest price target increase as a signal that the market is beginning to better appreciate Warner Music Group's leverage to evolving industry economics, particularly around pricing and catalog monetization.
Narratiefupdate Dec 12

WMG: Flexible Pricing And AI Licensing Will Drive Stronger Future Cash Flows

Analysts have raised their price target on Warner Music Group to 38 dollars from 35 dollars, citing growing confidence that the music industry's shift toward flexible, pricing-driven growth will unlock greater value from its catalog and new releases. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts argue that Warner Music Group is well positioned to benefit as the music industry shifts away from a pure volume-growth mindset toward a more deliberate, pricing-led model that can unlock higher returns from both new releases and its existing catalog.
Narratiefupdate Nov 27

WMG: Accelerating Streaming And AI Licensing Will Drive Greater Profitability

Analysts have raised their average price target for Warner Music Group to $38.00 from $35.00. They cite improving profit margins, accelerating streaming growth, and expectations for higher music pricing as factors that could drive future value.
Narratiefupdate Nov 06

WMG: Streaming Expansion and Industry Pricing Will Drive Further Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Warner Music Group from $37.72 to $38.00 per share. They cite ongoing growth in streaming subscriptions, expanding profit margins, and new pricing opportunities within the music industry.
Narratiefupdate Oct 23

Analysts Boost Warner Music Group Price Target Amid Streaming Growth and Valuation Revisions

Analysts have raised their price target for Warner Music Group. Valuation estimates have increased by approximately $0.33 to reflect expected benefits from rising streaming subscriptions, cost efficiencies, and ongoing margin expansion.
Narratiefupdate Oct 09

Global Internet Expansion And Digital Monetization Will Unlock Future Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Warner Music Group by $0.61 to $37.39. They cite accelerated streaming subscription growth, successful cost reductions, and expectations for continued margin expansion as key factors behind their positive outlook.
Analyseartikel Sep 30

Is Warner Music Group (NASDAQ:WMG) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narratiefupdate Sep 25

Global Internet Expansion And Digital Monetization Will Unlock Future Upside

Warner Music Group’s analyst price target saw a modest upward revision, driven by accelerating streaming subscription growth, cost-reduction initiatives expanding margins, and expected industry-wide music price increases, resulting in a new consensus fair value of $36.78. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight accelerating streaming subscription growth, driving topline performance.
Narratiefupdate Sep 10

Global Internet Expansion And Digital Monetization Will Unlock Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Warner Music Group, citing outperformance in subscription growth, anticipated benefits from wholesale music pricing increases, and operational efficiencies from reinvestment initiatives, resulting in a modest upward revision of the consensus target from $35.82 to $36.29. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see record labels—including Warner Music—well positioned to benefit from anticipated increases in wholesale music pricing, presenting an attractive industry investment opportunity.
Narratiefupdate Aug 10

Global Internet Expansion And Digital Monetization Will Unlock Future Upside

Warner Music Group's consensus price target has increased, driven by a substantial rise in net profit margin alongside a marked reduction in its future P/E ratio, raising fair value from $33.06 to $35.65. What's in the News Warner Music Group declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share on Class A and Class B common stock.
Analyseartikel Jul 28

What You Can Learn From Warner Music Group Corp.'s (NASDAQ:WMG) P/E

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.4x Warner Music Group Corp. ( NASDAQ:WMG ) may be sending very bearish...
Analyseartikel Jun 26

Warner Music Group Corp.'s (NASDAQ:WMG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 27% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Warner Music Group fair value estimate is US$33.19 Warner...
Seeking Alpha Feb 10

Warner Music Group: Strategic Moves To Strengthen Its Catalog And Unlock Premium Revenue

Summary WMG is part of a music industry oligopoly, competing mainly with Universal Music and Sony Music, giving it an advantage over smaller independent labels. The acquisition of Tempo Music expands WMG’s song catalog, boosting its publishing revenue and control over songwriter rights. A Spotify deal aims to monetize "superfans" through premium subscription plans, but its success is uncertain due to a lack of industry precedent. FX fluctuations pose a risk, but WMG’s strong profitability margins suggest resilience despite currency headwinds. WMG appears undervalued based on EV/EBITDA, with a better entry point near horizontal support for a potential technical rebound. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 23

Downgrading Warner Music Group As Spotify And Live Nation Strike A Chord

Summary Warner Music Group's Q4 earnings report failed to impress, leading to a significant stock drop and highlighting concerns about its competitive position in the music industry. Despite solid revenue growth and a $100M share buyback, WMG struggles as industry peers like Spotify and Live Nation capture investor mind share. Analysts question WMG's ability to leverage pricing strategy and product innovation to boost growth, with management's responses lacking concrete, exciting plans. WMG's potential in emerging markets like India and artist successes are promising, but insufficient to drive immediate stock performance improvement; downgraded to hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 10

Warner Music Group: Serving The Middle Class Artists

Summary Warner Music Group offers significant advantages over independent labels by heavily investing in artists’ production, marketing, and tours. WMG shows consistent revenue growth, but high royalty and marketing costs depress its bottom line, though it remains positive. Increased royalty payouts due to streaming platforms empower artists, but major labels like WMG are still essential for long-term career success. The company focuses on nurturing middle-class artists, which could increase demand for its services as streaming technologies improve. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NasdaqGS:WMG - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
9/30/20288,1861,0481,1761,30213
9/30/20277,7129271,0351,13316
9/30/20267,2807669241,04515
3/31/20267,129447197843N/A
12/31/20256,881302479786N/A
9/30/20256,707361344678N/A
6/30/20256,469293391751N/A
3/31/20256,334446535893N/A
12/31/20246,344505501793N/A
9/30/20246,426429451754N/A
6/30/20246,382539483788N/A
3/31/20246,392522466746N/A
12/31/20236,297461496771N/A
9/30/20236,037424446687N/A
6/30/20235,948420562755N/A
3/31/20235,816423579772N/A
12/31/20225,793479641822N/A
9/30/20225,919544416742N/A
6/30/20225,798426232564N/A
3/31/20225,70636352492N/A
12/31/20215,580389167598N/A
9/30/20215,30130064638N/A
6/30/20215,05127020586N/A
3/31/20214,721-310174618N/A
12/31/20204,542-500113554N/A
9/30/20204,463-476338463N/A
6/30/20204,461-384323438N/A
3/31/20204,509149349465N/A
12/31/20194,528290N/A386N/A
9/30/20194,475256N/A400N/A
6/30/20194,390152N/A409N/A
3/31/20194,290459N/A388N/A
12/31/20184,163389N/A381N/A
9/30/20184,005307N/A425N/A
6/30/20183,883282N/A491N/A
3/31/20183,842103N/A445N/A
12/31/20173,704125N/A515N/A
9/30/20173,576143N/A535N/A
6/30/20173,500178N/A444N/A
3/31/20173,39428N/A396N/A
12/31/20163,31420N/A437N/A
9/30/20163,24625N/A342N/A
6/30/20163,1556N/A311N/A
3/31/20163,054-29N/A252N/A
12/31/20152,986-22N/A248N/A
9/30/20152,966-91N/A222N/A
6/30/20152,987-94N/A207N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei WMG ( 24.8% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).

Winst versus markt: De winst van WMG ( 24.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de US markt ( 16.8% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van WMG zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van WMG ( 5.3% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.6% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van WMG ( 5.3% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.


Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel


Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen WMG zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar zeer hoog zijn ( 54.5 %).


Ontdek groeibedrijven

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/05/20 08:37
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/05/20 00:00
Inkomsten2026/03/31
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/09/30

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Warner Music Group Corp. wordt gevolgd door 29 analisten. 16 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Kannan VenkateshwarBarclays
Todd JuengerBernstein
Ian MooreBernstein