Ternium Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 1/6
Ternium zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 16.1% en 5.1% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 16.5% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 9.4% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
16.1%
Groei van de winst
16.47%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Metals and Mining winstgroei | 13.4% |
| Inkomstengroei | 5.1% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 9.35% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 07 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Analyse-update • May 02
TX: Dividend Reset And Stronger Margins Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Ternium to $43.46 from $40.19, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, expectations for revenue growth, the profit margin outlook, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Ternium's Board revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to a total payout of $2.20 per ADS ($0.22 per share), or $432 million, compared with the previously announced $2.70 per ADS.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Ternium: Retest Of $45+ Likely As We Approach Q1 Earnings Release (Rating Upgrade) (Technical Analysis)
Summary Ternium S.A. (TX) has rebounded above $40, with technicals signaling potential for further upside ahead of Q1 FY26 earnings. TX benefits from strong production capacity, integrated supply chain synergies, and strategic expansion in Mexico and Latin America. Despite projected FY26 EPS growth, bearish FY27 revisions and cyclical industry risks warrant caution and careful position sizing. Technical indicators are bullish, but waning volume and possible false breakouts suggest waiting for Q1 results before committing capital. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyse-update • Apr 17
TX: Higher Discount Rate And Thinner Margins Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts are keeping Ternium's price target steady at $33.00, highlighting updated assumptions for a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the revised view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: $33.00 is unchanged, indicating no shift in the central value estimate.
Analyse-update • Apr 03
TX: Stronger Margin Outlook And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their Ternium price target steady at $50.00, with the unchanged fair value reflecting updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that broadly offset each other in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains steady at $50.00, indicating no change in the headline valuation output.Analyse-update • Mar 20
TX: Higher Required Return And Richer P/E Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target on Ternium slightly higher to about $40.19 from roughly $39.88, reflecting updated views on discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, and a small change in assumed profit margins and future price-to-earnings ratios. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Ternium's estimated fair value is now $40.19, compared with the prior figure of $39.88, indicating only a small adjustment.Analyse-update • Mar 06
TX: Higher Future P/E Assumption Will Support Stronger Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $43.00 to $50.00. This change reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple.Analyse-update • Feb 19
TX: Higher Required Return And Earnings Multiple Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now see Ternium's fair value at about $39.88 per share, up from roughly $36.81. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Analyse-update • Feb 05
TX: Higher Discount Rate And Modest Margins Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Ternium slightly higher to around $33 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, while keeping overall fair value broadly in line with prior views. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at around $33.00 per share, keeping the central valuation view steady.Analyse-update • Jan 22
TX: Higher Future P/E Will Likely Constrain Returns Despite Slight Margin Tweaks
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from US$30.00 to US$33.00, citing updated assumptions in their models for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted from US$30.00 to US$33.00, representing a modest upward revision in the estimated share value.Analyse-update • Jan 07
TX: Future P/E And Softer Margins Will Likely Pressure Returns
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Ternium, keeping fair value at $30.00 while fine tuning underlying assumptions such as a slightly lower discount rate, a higher revenue growth outlook, a marginally softer profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E. Together, these changes refine rather than overhaul their view of the stock.Analyse-update • Dec 24
TX: Future Earnings Multiple Will Likely Compress From Current Levels
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from 26.00 dollars to 30.00 dollars, citing higher anticipated revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased moderately from 26.0 dollars to 30.0 dollars per share.Analyse-update • Dec 10
TX: Slightly Higher Required Return Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Ternium to bring it more in line with their fair value estimate of approximately $36.81 per share. This adjustment reflects slightly higher assumed discount rates while keeping expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples broadly unchanged.Analyse-artikel • Dec 03
Returns On Capital At Ternium (NYSE:TX) Paint A Concerning Picture
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analyse-update • Nov 26
TX: Subtle Shifts In Margin Outlook Will Influence Fair Value Ahead
Narrative Update on Ternium: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.96 to $36.81, citing subtle adjustments in growth projections and profit expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from $35.96 to $36.81.Analyse-update • Nov 12
TX: Revenue Strength And Margin Pressure Will Shape Fair Valuation Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.65 to $35.96. They cite improved revenue growth forecasts, even though a slightly lower profit margin is anticipated.Analyse-artikel • Nov 05
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ternium (NYSE:TX)
Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. However the statutory profit number...Analyse-artikel • Nov 01
Ternium S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Ternium S.A. ( NYSE:TX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for investors to...Analyse-update • Oct 29
Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand
Analysts have raised their price target for Ternium from $35.31 to $35.65. They cite incremental improvements in key financial metrics as the basis for this modest increase.Analyse-update • Oct 14
Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Ternium, increasing it from $34.62 to $35.31. This change is based on improved profit margin projections and adjustments for modest changes in revenue growth expectations.Analyse-artikel • Oct 03
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Ternium S.A.'s (NYSE:TX) Revenues Yet
Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now...Analyse-artikel • Jul 23
Here's Why Ternium (NYSE:TX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analyse-artikel • Jun 27
Ternium (NYSE:TX) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyse-artikel • May 31
Potential Upside For Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX) Not Without Risk
Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to...Seeking Alpha • Jan 31
Ternium: Appealing And Risky At The Same Time
Summary TX is an appealing stock in a number of ways, which includes a generous dividend and relatively low multiples. The stock has been weighed down by tough conditions in the steel market and the uncertainty of what tariffs could bring. TX has not done so badly considering the circumstances and there is reason to think 2025 could be a better year than 2024. Long TX has a number of things going for it, but one must be aware of the risks hanging over TX, which could prove disruptive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nieuwe analyse • Jan 19
Nearshoring And New Facilities Will Expand Steel Production Capacity By 2026
Increasing production capacity with new facilities in Pesqueria will drive future revenue growth by meeting steel demand in key industries.Seeking Alpha • Nov 14
Ternium: Don't Judge A Book By Its Cover
Summary Ternium has a current level of net debt of $1.46 billion, with extraordinary FCF generation over the last five years. Despite the fall in the international price of steel, the company maintained a solid financial performance. The company's Steel Products Shipments reached 4,123 tons, this amount implies an increase of 7% compared to Q2 2024. TX's board of directors approved the payment of a provisional dividend of $0.90 per ADS. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 19
Ternium: Still Not A Buy As Near-Term Growth Prospects Remain Unfavorable
Summary Ternium's near-term growth faces headwinds primarily due to lower prices in Mexico, impacting sales and margins despite strong shipment recovery in Argentina and Brazil. The near-term top line growth prospects remain weak, as pricing and demand remain soft in certain parts of the Mexico region. Margin prospects also look weak due to lower prices and lower volume in certain parts of the business, making it a hold for now despite a cheap valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 02
Ternium: Patience Should Pay Off, But Near-Term Conditions Are Weak
Summary Ternium reported weaker-than-expected Q2'24 results and weaker EBITDA guidance for Q3'24, as the company is seeing significant steel price pressure and higher cash production costs. While this is not the best of times for Ternium, the company's per-tonne profitability still compares favorably to global producers (including Steel Dynamics) and demand should improve later this year. Ternium offers attractive leverage to significant manufacturing nearshoring growth in Mexico, as well as further import substitution in key markets like autos. While there is still a risk that the cyclical low could be even lower than expected, Ternium looks too cheap across a range of metrics and looks undervalued below the $50's. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 04
Ternium: Expected Margin Contraction Makes Me Avoid This Stock Despite A Cheap Valuation
Summary Ternium is a leading steel manufacturing company with a strong market presence in the Americas, primarily in Mexico. Topline should continue to expand with strong demand in the Mexican region. Margins are expected to be under pressure in the coming quarters, which makes this stock a hold despite a discounted valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 07
Ternium: Trading At Less Than 3 Times EBITDA
Summary Ternium S.A. ADR EACH REPR 10 ORD NPV's investments in growth are starting to pay off, with a total return of over 400% since 2019. The demand for steel and margins remained robust in Latin America in 2023, contributing to Ternium's strong financial performance. Despite high capex commitments in the next few years, Ternium's healthy balance sheet and anticipated cash flows make it an interesting investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 18,046 | 1,155 | 863 | 2,204 | 8 |
| 12/31/2027 | 17,427 | 1,004 | 746 | 1,969 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 16,517 | 921 | -538 | 1,602 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 15,610 | 571 | -65 | 2,324 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 15,609 | 425 | -187 | 2,314 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 15,711 | 584 | -341 | 2,258 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 16,236 | 595 | -310 | 2,025 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 16,804 | -348 | -296 | 1,638 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 17,649 | -54 | 41 | 1,906 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 18,704 | 79 | 251 | 2,152 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 19,408 | -691 | 985 | 2,870 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 18,765 | 663 | 634 | 2,340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 17,610 | 676 | 1,040 | 2,501 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 16,226 | 302 | 1,793 | 2,816 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 15,167 | 1,194 | 2,100 | 2,829 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,733 | 1,366 | 2,038 | 2,697 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 16,414 | 1,768 | 2,172 | 2,753 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 17,198 | 2,726 | 2,312 | 2,856 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 17,664 | 3,775 | 1,890 | 2,408 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 17,146 | 3,998 | 2,523 | 3,042 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 16,091 | 3,825 | 2,154 | 2,677 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 14,341 | 3,622 | 1,375 | 1,897 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 11,887 | 2,371 | 1,288 | 1,771 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 9,713 | 1,393 | 1,214 | 1,646 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 8,735 | 778 | 1,201 | 1,761 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 8,406 | 54 | 1,052 | 1,799 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 8,717 | 198 | 914 | 1,845 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 9,728 | 334 | 515 | 1,615 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 10,193 | 564 | N/A | 1,648 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 10,579 | 844 | N/A | 1,811 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 11,128 | 1,273 | N/A | 1,762 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 11,394 | 1,386 | N/A | 2,027 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 11,455 | 1,507 | N/A | 1,739 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 11,586 | 1,336 | N/A | 1,215 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 11,122 | 1,008 | N/A | 1,003 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 10,422 | 964 | N/A | 486 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 9,700 | 886 | N/A | 384 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 8,782 | 824 | N/A | 630 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 8,103 | 858 | N/A | 605 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 7,644 | 763 | N/A | 948 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 7,224 | 596 | N/A | 1,100 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 7,184 | 351 | N/A | 1,135 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 7,274 | 147 | N/A | 1,166 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 7,407 | 34 | N/A | 1,237 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 7,877 | 8 | N/A | 1,323 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 8,222 | 187 | N/A | 1,218 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 8,495 | -368 | N/A | 1,255 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei TX ( 16.1% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van TX ( 16.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 16.6% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van TX zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van TX ( 5.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.5% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van TX ( 5.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen TX zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 9.4 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/07 21:17 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Ternium S.A. wordt gevolgd door 18 analisten. 11 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Alessandro Abate | Berenberg |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |