Ternium (TX) Aandelenoverzicht
Ternium S.A. produceert en distribueert samen met haar dochterondernemingen staalproducten in Mexico, de zuidelijke regio, Brazilië en internationaal. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 3/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 2/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 3/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 5/6 |
| Dividenden | 3/6 |
TX Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Ternium S.A. Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | US$57.23 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | US$58.73 |
| 52 Week Laag | US$33.01 |
| Bèta | 1.17 |
| 1 maand verandering | 5.98% |
| 3 maanden verandering | 23.61% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | 62.63% |
| 3 jaar verandering | 48.80% |
| 5 jaar verandering | 32.69% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | 144.89% |
Recent nieuws en updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 18
Ternium: Mexico Recovery Has Upside, But Cash Flow Still Matters
Summary Ternium offers compelling upside, driven by robust Mexico steel demand and the transformative Pasqueria expansion targeting USMCA automotive clients. Q2 showcased strong operational momentum: Mexican shipments rose 5% QoQ, revenue per ton increased 6%, and adjusted EBITDA surged 50% to $717 million. Pasqueria's delayed start to early 2027 and ongoing high capex introduce execution and cash flow risks; Brazil and Argentina remain demand headwinds. My valuation model suggests 32% upside to $75.67/ADS for TX, contingent on Pasqueria's performance and resolution of a $599 million Usiminas litigation risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Sep 04
TX: Higher Earnings Quality And Re Rated P/E Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now point to a higher implied value for Ternium, with the fair value estimate moving from about $62.00 to roughly $76.75, supported by updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What’s in the News for Ternium No recent Ternium specific news items or key developments were identified in the provided sources as of 3 Sep 2026.
Narratiefupdate • Aug 21
TX: Adjusted Profitability And Discount Rate Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Ternium to $57.08 from $53.12, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for Ternium No recent Ternium specific news items were identified from the provided sources as of 21 Aug 2026.
Narratiefupdate • Aug 07
TX: Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Offset Earnings Momentum In 2026
Analysts have raised their Ternium price target from about $40.00 to roughly $41.74, reflecting updated assumptions tied to slightly higher revenue growth expectations, a modestly adjusted discount rate, a small change in profit margin forecasts, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News for Ternium Ternium reported second quarter and first half of 2026 results, with Adjusted EBITDA described as 50% higher, supported by higher sales volumes and improved margins.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 18
Ternium: Mexico Recovery Has Upside, But Cash Flow Still Matters
Summary Ternium offers compelling upside, driven by robust Mexico steel demand and the transformative Pasqueria expansion targeting USMCA automotive clients. Q2 showcased strong operational momentum: Mexican shipments rose 5% QoQ, revenue per ton increased 6%, and adjusted EBITDA surged 50% to $717 million. Pasqueria's delayed start to early 2027 and ongoing high capex introduce execution and cash flow risks; Brazil and Argentina remain demand headwinds. My valuation model suggests 32% upside to $75.67/ADS for TX, contingent on Pasqueria's performance and resolution of a $599 million Usiminas litigation risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarratiefupdate • Sep 04
TX: Higher Earnings Quality And Re Rated P/E Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now point to a higher implied value for Ternium, with the fair value estimate moving from about $62.00 to roughly $76.75, supported by updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What’s in the News for Ternium No recent Ternium specific news items or key developments were identified in the provided sources as of 3 Sep 2026.Narratiefupdate • Aug 21
TX: Adjusted Profitability And Discount Rate Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Ternium to $57.08 from $53.12, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for Ternium No recent Ternium specific news items were identified from the provided sources as of 21 Aug 2026.Narratiefupdate • Aug 07
TX: Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Offset Earnings Momentum In 2026
Analysts have raised their Ternium price target from about $40.00 to roughly $41.74, reflecting updated assumptions tied to slightly higher revenue growth expectations, a modestly adjusted discount rate, a small change in profit margin forecasts, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News for Ternium Ternium reported second quarter and first half of 2026 results, with Adjusted EBITDA described as 50% higher, supported by higher sales volumes and improved margins.Narratiefupdate • Jul 08
TX: Higher Fair Value And Dividend Reset Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium to $53.12 from $43.46, citing updated assumptions of 6.24% revenue growth, a 7.89% profit margin, and a future P/E of 9.18, which together reshape their view of the stock’s fair value profile. What’s in the News for Ternium Ternium is drawing attention as some analysts describe the stock as undervalued, citing valuation tools such as Discounted Cash Flow, P/E, and PEG ratios that they view as supportive of a lower implied valuation than industry peers, according to recent coverage.Narratiefupdate • Jun 24
TX: Momentum Strength And Higher Dividend Payout Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from $55.00 to $62.00, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, adjusted revenue growth expectations, modest changes in profit margin forecasts and a revised future P/E estimate. What’s in the News for Ternium Ternium is highlighted as a value and momentum stock in the steel sector, with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), a Momentum Style Score of B, and an A grade for value, according to Zacks research.Narratiefupdate • Jun 05
TX: Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Cap Upside Despite Market Optimism
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $33 to $40, reflecting updated views on its fair value, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Itau BBA upgraded Ternium S.A. to Outperform from Market Perform, citing confidence in the company's positioning within the steel industry.Narratiefupdate • May 21
TX: Higher Margin Outlook And Reduced Dividend Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $50 to $55 as they factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Ternium's Board of Directors revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to US$2.20 per ADS (US$0.22 per share), or US$432 million, from a previously announced US$2.70 per ADS, citing a focus on reinforcing the balance sheet amid global economic uncertainty linked to the conflict in the Middle East (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • May 02
TX: Dividend Reset And Stronger Margins Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Ternium to $43.46 from $40.19, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, expectations for revenue growth, the profit margin outlook, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Ternium's Board revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to a total payout of $2.20 per ADS ($0.22 per share), or $432 million, compared with the previously announced $2.70 per ADS.Narratiefupdate • Apr 17
TX: Higher Discount Rate And Thinner Margins Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts are keeping Ternium's price target steady at $33.00, highlighting updated assumptions for a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the revised view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: $33.00 is unchanged, indicating no shift in the central value estimate.Narratiefupdate • Apr 03
TX: Stronger Margin Outlook And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their Ternium price target steady at $50.00, with the unchanged fair value reflecting updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that broadly offset each other in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains steady at $50.00, indicating no change in the headline valuation output.Narratiefupdate • Mar 20
TX: Higher Required Return And Richer P/E Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target on Ternium slightly higher to about $40.19 from roughly $39.88, reflecting updated views on discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, and a small change in assumed profit margins and future price-to-earnings ratios. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Ternium's estimated fair value is now $40.19, compared with the prior figure of $39.88, indicating only a small adjustment.Narratiefupdate • Mar 06
TX: Higher Future P/E Assumption Will Support Stronger Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $43.00 to $50.00. This change reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple.Narratiefupdate • Feb 19
TX: Higher Required Return And Earnings Multiple Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now see Ternium's fair value at about $39.88 per share, up from roughly $36.81. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Narratiefupdate • Feb 05
TX: Higher Discount Rate And Modest Margins Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Ternium slightly higher to around $33 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, while keeping overall fair value broadly in line with prior views. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at around $33.00 per share, keeping the central valuation view steady.Narratiefupdate • Jan 22
TX: Higher Future P/E Will Likely Constrain Returns Despite Slight Margin Tweaks
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from US$30.00 to US$33.00, citing updated assumptions in their models for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted from US$30.00 to US$33.00, representing a modest upward revision in the estimated share value.Narratiefupdate • Jan 07
TX: Future P/E And Softer Margins Will Likely Pressure Returns
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Ternium, keeping fair value at $30.00 while fine tuning underlying assumptions such as a slightly lower discount rate, a higher revenue growth outlook, a marginally softer profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E. Together, these changes refine rather than overhaul their view of the stock.Narratiefupdate • Dec 24
TX: Future Earnings Multiple Will Likely Compress From Current Levels
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from 26.00 dollars to 30.00 dollars, citing higher anticipated revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased moderately from 26.0 dollars to 30.0 dollars per share.Narratiefupdate • Dec 10
TX: Slightly Higher Required Return Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Ternium to bring it more in line with their fair value estimate of approximately $36.81 per share. This adjustment reflects slightly higher assumed discount rates while keeping expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples broadly unchanged.Analyse-artikel • Dec 03
Returns On Capital At Ternium (NYSE:TX) Paint A Concerning Picture
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Narratiefupdate • Nov 26
TX: Subtle Shifts In Margin Outlook Will Influence Fair Value Ahead
Narrative Update on Ternium: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.96 to $36.81, citing subtle adjustments in growth projections and profit expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from $35.96 to $36.81.Narratiefupdate • Nov 12
TX: Revenue Strength And Margin Pressure Will Shape Fair Valuation Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.65 to $35.96. They cite improved revenue growth forecasts, even though a slightly lower profit margin is anticipated.Analyse-artikel • Nov 05
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ternium (NYSE:TX)
Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. However the statutory profit number...Analyse-artikel • Nov 01
Ternium S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Ternium S.A. ( NYSE:TX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for investors to...Narratiefupdate • Oct 29
Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand
Analysts have raised their price target for Ternium from $35.31 to $35.65. They cite incremental improvements in key financial metrics as the basis for this modest increase.Narratiefupdate • Oct 14
Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Ternium, increasing it from $34.62 to $35.31. This change is based on improved profit margin projections and adjustments for modest changes in revenue growth expectations.Analyse-artikel • Oct 03
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Ternium S.A.'s (NYSE:TX) Revenues Yet
Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now...Seeking Alpha • Jan 31
Ternium: Appealing And Risky At The Same Time
Summary TX is an appealing stock in a number of ways, which includes a generous dividend and relatively low multiples. The stock has been weighed down by tough conditions in the steel market and the uncertainty of what tariffs could bring. TX has not done so badly considering the circumstances and there is reason to think 2025 could be a better year than 2024. Long TX has a number of things going for it, but one must be aware of the risks hanging over TX, which could prove disruptive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nieuw narratief • Jan 19
Nearshoring And New Facilities Will Expand Steel Production Capacity By 2026
Increasing production capacity with new facilities in Pesqueria will drive future revenue growth by meeting steel demand in key industries.Seeking Alpha • Nov 14
Ternium: Don't Judge A Book By Its Cover
Summary Ternium has a current level of net debt of $1.46 billion, with extraordinary FCF generation over the last five years. Despite the fall in the international price of steel, the company maintained a solid financial performance. The company's Steel Products Shipments reached 4,123 tons, this amount implies an increase of 7% compared to Q2 2024. TX's board of directors approved the payment of a provisional dividend of $0.90 per ADS. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 19
Ternium: Still Not A Buy As Near-Term Growth Prospects Remain Unfavorable
Summary Ternium's near-term growth faces headwinds primarily due to lower prices in Mexico, impacting sales and margins despite strong shipment recovery in Argentina and Brazil. The near-term top line growth prospects remain weak, as pricing and demand remain soft in certain parts of the Mexico region. Margin prospects also look weak due to lower prices and lower volume in certain parts of the business, making it a hold for now despite a cheap valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 02
Ternium: Patience Should Pay Off, But Near-Term Conditions Are Weak
Summary Ternium reported weaker-than-expected Q2'24 results and weaker EBITDA guidance for Q3'24, as the company is seeing significant steel price pressure and higher cash production costs. While this is not the best of times for Ternium, the company's per-tonne profitability still compares favorably to global producers (including Steel Dynamics) and demand should improve later this year. Ternium offers attractive leverage to significant manufacturing nearshoring growth in Mexico, as well as further import substitution in key markets like autos. While there is still a risk that the cyclical low could be even lower than expected, Ternium looks too cheap across a range of metrics and looks undervalued below the $50's. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 04
Ternium: Expected Margin Contraction Makes Me Avoid This Stock Despite A Cheap Valuation
Summary Ternium is a leading steel manufacturing company with a strong market presence in the Americas, primarily in Mexico. Topline should continue to expand with strong demand in the Mexican region. Margins are expected to be under pressure in the coming quarters, which makes this stock a hold despite a discounted valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRendement voor aandeelhouders
| TX | US Metals and Mining | US Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.2% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 1Y | 62.6% | 48.4% | 11.9% |
Rendement versus industrie: TX overtrof de US Metals and Mining industrie, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement 48.4 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: TX overtrof de US markt, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement opleverde van 11.9 %.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| TX volatility | |
|---|---|
| TX Average Weekly Movement | 4.0% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 9.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.8% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: TX heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de US markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 4% ) van TX is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1961 | 33,253 | Maximo Vedoya | www.ternium.com |
Ternium S.A. produceert en distribueert, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, staalproducten in Mexico, de zuidelijke regio, Brazilië en internationaal. Het bedrijf is actief in twee segmenten, Staal en Mijnbouw. Het staalsegment biedt plakken, zware platen, warm- en koudgewalste producten, gecoate producten, gestanste stalen onderdelen voor de auto-industrie, gerolvormde en buisvormige producten, knuppels, staven en andere producten, waaronder de verkoop van energie.
Ternium S.A. Samenvatting
| TX fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | US$11.40b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$699.50m |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$16.00b |
16.1x
Koers/Winstverhouding0.7x
P/S-verhoudingIs TX overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| TX resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | US$16.00b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | US$13.18b |
| Brutowinst | US$2.83b |
| Overige uitgaven | US$2.13b |
| Inkomsten | US$699.50m |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Jun 30, 2026
Volgende inkomensdatum
n.v.t.
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | 3.56 |
| Brutomarge | 17.66% |
| Nettowinstmarge | 4.37% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | 17.0% |
Hoe presteerde TX op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingDividenden
3.8%
Huidig dividendrendement36%
UitbetalingsratioBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/09/18 05:00 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/06/30 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Ternium S.A. wordt gevolgd door 17 analisten. 13 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Alessandro Abate | Berenberg |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |