Certara Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
Certara zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 78.8% en 0.8% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 82.6% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 1.6% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
78.8%
Groei van de winst
82.60%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Healthcare Services winstgroei | 21.7% |
| Inkomstengroei | 0.8% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 1.57% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 13 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 26
Certara: An Interesting Situation To Keep Track Off
Summary Certara divested its regulatory and medical writing business for up to $135 million, shifting focus to core operations and AI-integrated drug modeling. Post-divestiture, Certara will have a net cash position and a simplified business but faces flattish growth and lingering AI disruption concerns. Valuation multiples have compressed to ~2.6x sales and ~8x EBITDA, with shares trading near all-time lows despite historical growth and a now-unleveraged balance sheet. I remain curious but cautious, given the lack of organic growth, 20x forward earnings multiple, and uncertain AI impact, despite improved financial flexibility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Apr 25
CERT: FDA PBPK Acceptance And Biosimulation Wins Will Support Future Core Relevance
Analysts have revised Certara's fair value estimate, with the updated price target modestly lower as they incorporate reduced assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, along with a substantially higher expected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Certara has turned more cautious, with multiple firms cutting price targets and several moving to more neutral ratings.Narratiefupdate • Apr 07
CERT: Biosimulation And FDA Modeling Wins Will Underpin Future Core Relevance
Narrative Update on Certara The analyst price target on Certara has shifted lower, with several firms moving their targets into the $8 to $10 range. This reflects concerns around a Q4 services miss, slower software bookings, updated 2026 guidance, and a perceived need for greater investment to support core growth.Narratiefupdate • Mar 23
CERT: Biosimulation Leadership And FDA Modeling Wins Will Support Future Relevance
Analysts trimmed their fair value estimate for Certara from $9.60 to $9.19 per share, citing lower price targets across the Street, more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and valuation multiples, and ongoing questions around execution after recent guidance and services softness. Analyst Commentary Street research around Certara has turned more cautious overall, with several firms reducing price targets and, in some cases, ratings.Narratiefupdate • Mar 09
CERT: Biosimulation Leadership And FDA Use Of Modeling Will Support Shares
The analyst price target for Certara has been reduced by $2.77 to $9.60 as analysts factor in softer Q4 services results, slower software bookings, a more cautious 2026 outlook, and increased uncertainty around the pace of core growth despite the company’s position in model informed drug development. Analyst Commentary Recent research has turned more cautious on Certara, with a series of target cuts and rating changes following Q4 results, updated 2026 guidance, and ongoing questions around core growth and execution.Narratiefupdate • Feb 23
CERT: Biosimulation Leadership And New CEO Appointment Will Support Shares
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Certara by $1 to $12, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modestly lower future P/E expectations, even as they continue to highlight the company as a leader in biosimulation with what they view as an improving demand backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Certara, with some analysts focusing on long term growth drivers in biosimulation and others flagging near term execution and valuation questions.Analyseartikel • Feb 12
Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Certara, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CERT ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand...Narratiefupdate • Feb 08
CERT: Biosimulation Expansion And New CEO Hire Will Support Shares
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Certara to about $12, down from roughly $13. This reflects a mix of caution around competition and regulatory pressure, as well as continued confidence in the company's position in biosimulation and its potential to expand further into early stage drug development.Narratiefupdate • Jan 25
CERT: Biosimulation Leadership And New CEO Transition Should Support Shares Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Certara, with the consensus target easing by about $1 to reflect slightly lower valuation multiples tied to competition, regulatory questions, softer services bookings, and leadership changes, while still highlighting the company's position in biosimulation and potential benefits from acquisitions such as Chemaxon. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Certara points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with analysts balancing confidence in the core biosimulation franchise against execution risks in services, competition, and regulatory questions.Narratiefupdate • Jan 10
CERT: Biosimulation Expansion And New CEO Should Support Shares Rebound
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Certara by about $0.17 to roughly $12.38. This reflects recent cuts to some individual targets alongside continued recognition of the company as a leader in biosimulation and expectations that prior stock weakness tied to bookings, biopharma budget timing, and leadership changes may have been overdone.Narratiefupdate • Dec 18
CERT: Shares Will Benefit From Biosimulation Expansion As Pharma Rebound Unfolds
Analysts have modestly trimmed their blended price target on Certara from $13.21 to $12.54 per share, reflecting slightly lower growth and valuation assumptions, even as they highlight the company’s leadership in biosimulation and long term opportunity in modernizing drug development. Analyst Commentary Street research remains mixed on Certara, with most analysts recognizing the company’s strategic positioning in biosimulation and drug development modernization, while diverging on the pace of execution and appropriate valuation.Analyseartikel • Dec 08
Does Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narratiefupdate • Dec 04
CERT: Shares Will Benefit From Biosimulation Leadership As Pharma Rebound Emerges
The analyst price target for Certara has been modestly reduced from $13.50 to about $13.21, as analysts balance near term headwinds in services bookings with growing confidence in the company’s leadership in biosimulation and its longer term role in modernizing drug development. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a generally constructive but selective stance on Certara, with views splitting between enthusiasm for its strategic position in biosimulation and caution around execution risk and near term bookings softness.Narratiefupdate • Nov 20
CERT: Shares Will Benefit From Pharma Rebound And Drug Development Modernization
Analysts have reduced Certara's fair value price target from $14.75 to $13.50, citing revised growth expectations, softer profit margins, and a need for clearer evidence of traction in core initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research highlights a range of perspectives on Certara, with differing views on both its near-term prospects and longer-term potential within the drug development sector.Narratiefupdate • Nov 06
CERT: Shares Poised To Gain From Pharma And Biotech Sector Rebound Ahead
Analyst Price Target Update for Certara Analysts have maintained their price target for Certara at $14.75 per share, citing the company's strong positioning in the anticipated pharma and biotech rebound as well as an attractive current valuation relative to its long-term prospects. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Certara highlight a mix of optimism and caution as the company positions itself within a strengthening pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector.Narratiefupdate • Oct 23
Analysts Maintain Certara Price Target as Pharma Sector Recovery and New Developments Drive Outlook
Analysts have maintained their price target for Certara at $14.75, citing the company’s positioning at the center of a recovering pharma and biotech sector as a key reason for their continued positive outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Certara's central position in the anticipated rebound of the pharma and biotech sectors.Narratiefupdate • Oct 08
EMA Approval And AI Integration Will Drive Biosimulation Despite Risks
Certara's analyst price target has increased from $14.11 to $14.75. This change reflects analysts' optimism about the company's strategic position in the pharma sector and its potential to benefit from growing R&D investment trends.Analyseartikel • Oct 07
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) With Shares Advancing 28%
Certara, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CERT ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand...Analyseartikel • Sep 04
A Look At The Fair Value Of Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)
Key Insights Certara's estimated fair value is US$11.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Certara's US$10.50...Analyseartikel • Aug 14
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Certara's (NASDAQ:CERT) Earnings
NasdaqGS:CERT 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Certara's Fair Values from the Community and select yours When...Narratiefupdate • Aug 08
EMA Approval And AI Integration Will Drive Biosimulation Despite Risks
The slight downward revision in Certara’s price target reflects a modest reduction in its future P/E ratio, while revenue growth expectations remain essentially unchanged, resulting in a new consensus price target of $14.11. What's in the News Certara reiterated full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $415 million to $425 million.Analyseartikel • Aug 08
Some Investors May Be Worried About Certara's (NASDAQ:CERT) Returns On Capital
NasdaqGS:CERT 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Certara's Fair Values from the Community and select yours If we...Analyseartikel • Jul 18
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)
Certara, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:CERT ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.3x may not look like an appealing investment...Analyseartikel • Jun 27
Is Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Nieuw narratief • Jun 08
FDA Phaseout And AI Integration Will Expand Biosimulation Demand
Regulatory shifts and long-term outsourcing trends are boosting demand for Certara's biosimulation and data-driven modeling solutions, supporting recurring revenue growth and market expansion.Analyseartikel • May 07
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...Analyseartikel • Apr 15
Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Certara, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CERT ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last...Seeking Alpha • Apr 11
Buy Certara After The FDA Announcement
Summary The FDA's phase-out of animal testing for monoclonal antibody therapies boosts Certara's growth prospects, as evidenced by a 15% stock jump. Certara's recently posted a 14.1% revenue increase Y/Y, with significant contributions from biosimulation and Chemaxon businesses. Certara's cautious AI investments align with the FDA's regulatory changes, enhancing its end-to-end biosimulation offerings from drug discovery to clinical trials. Certara's 2025 revenue forecast is $415-$425 million, with an EBITDA margin of 30-32%, making CERT stock an attractive speculative buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Mar 29
Why Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Could Be Worth Watching
While Certara, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CERT ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Analyseartikel • Feb 27
Here's Why Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analyseartikel • Jan 11
Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
When close to half the companies in the Healthcare Services industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios...Analyseartikel • Dec 19
Is Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Worth US$10.9 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Certara's estimated fair value is US$8.10 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Certara is estimated...Analyseartikel • Nov 15
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Analyseartikel • Oct 24
Is Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Potentially Undervalued?
Certara, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CERT ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analyseartikel • Sep 20
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 435 | 12 | N/A | 93 | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 405 | -2 | 82 | 97 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 398 | -17 | 62 | 87 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 420 | -15 | 63 | 91 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 419 | -2 | 70 | 96 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 416 | 11 | 92 | 117 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 406 | 8 | 77 | 102 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 394 | -3 | 70 | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 385 | -12 | 59 | 80 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 373 | -31 | 35 | 54 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 364 | -79 | 51 | 69 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 361 | -61 | 61 | 77 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 354 | -55 | 67 | 83 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 353 | -34 | 81 | 95 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 352 | 19 | 74 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 344 | 14 | 80 | 93 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 336 | 15 | 80 | 93 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 324 | -4 | 66 | 78 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 314 | -10 | 63 | 74 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 301 | -12 | 55 | 65 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 286 | -13 | 51 | 60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 275 | -58 | 44 | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 262 | -55 | 40 | 48 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 253 | -49 | 34 | 41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 244 | -49 | 37 | 45 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 233 | -1 | 45 | 54 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 226 | 1 | 31 | 41 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 215 | -5 | 30 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 209 | -9 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 164 | -33 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: Er wordt voorspeld dat CERT de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden, wat wordt beschouwd als een snellere groei dan de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: Er wordt verwacht dat CERT de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden. Dit wordt gezien als een groei die boven het gemiddelde van de markt ligt.
Hoge groeiwinsten: Er wordt verwacht dat CERT binnen 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van CERT ( 0.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.6% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van CERT ( 0.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen CERT zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 1.6 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/20 11:27 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Certara, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 18 analisten. 12 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Joseph Vruwink | Baird |
| Luke Sergott | Barclays |
| Sean Dodge | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |