Valero Energy Corporation

NYSE:VLO Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$119.0b

Valero Energy Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 0/6

De omzet en winst van Valero Energy zullen naar verwachting dalen met respectievelijk 6.6% en 19.3% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting afnemen met 11.2% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal naar verwachting 13.6% in 3 jaar.

Belangrijke informatie

-19.3%

Groei van de winst

-11.16%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Oil and Gas winstgroei3.7%
Inkomstengroei-6.6%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen13.55%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt15 Sep 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Narratiefupdate • Sep 18

VLO: Tight Refining Conditions And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts have raised the Valero Energy fair value estimate from $365.00 to $450.00, reflecting higher Street price targets and updated assumptions for refining margins, profit efficiency, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valero Energy points to a broadly constructive tone.
Narratiefupdate • Sep 04

VLO: Tight Refining Margins And Cash Windfall Will Drive Future Downside Risk

Valero Energy's analyst price targets have moved higher into a wide $255 to $435 range, as analysts factor updated refining margin and commodity price assumptions, stronger recent cash generation, and tighter global refining conditions into their valuation work. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy shows a cluster of higher price targets along with mostly positive ratings, yet the tone is not uniformly bullish.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 03

Valero Energy: Market Pricing Closed Russian Flows (Downgrade To Hold)

Summary Valero benefits from structurally tight global refined product markets due to Russian export curtailments and ongoing geopolitical disruptions. VLO can sustain elevated crack spreads and margins, with base-case EBITDA projected at over $12bn—about 70% above pre-conflict levels. My price target is $416, reflecting a higher 12x P/E due to enduring refining scarcity, but I downgrade VLO to Hold given limited upside. Key risks include resumed exports from India/China, crude price spikes, or US policy changes restricting refined product exports. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Aug 21

VLO: Tight Refining Markets And Cash Returns Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Valero Energy's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $300 to $365. Analysts attribute this change to stronger cash generation, tighter global refining conditions, and higher assumed future P/E multiples, which are reflected in higher Street price targets across the sector.
Narratiefupdate • Aug 07

VLO: Elevated Refining Margins And Cracks Will Drive Future Downside Risk

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Valero Energy from about $202.68 to roughly $223.25 per share, citing higher price targets driven by stronger cash generation, tight global refining markets, and expectations for resilient refining margins as reflected in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valero Energy highlights a wide range of price targets along with differing opinions on the stock's risk and reward profile.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 24

VLO: Elevated Refining Margins And Crack Spreads Will Drive Future Downside Risk

Valero Energy's analyst price target has been revised higher to $202.68 from $170.00, as analysts factor in tighter global refining conditions, stronger projected refining margins supported by higher strip cracks, and a generally constructive sector outlook reflected in a series of recent target hikes across major research firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on Valero Energy has become more constructive overall, with several firms lifting price targets on the back of tighter refining markets, higher strip cracks and updated commodity assumptions.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 10

VLO: Refining Margins And Cash Returns Will Shape Balanced Forward Prospects

Analysts have lifted their blended price target for Valero Energy to about $268 from roughly $259, citing expectations for constructive refining margins, supportive U.S. refining conditions and strong recent buyback activity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy highlights a mix of optimism around current earnings power and balance sheet flexibility, alongside caution about how long supportive refining conditions and elevated commodity prices might last.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 26

VLO: Tighter Product Inventories Will Support Refining Margins And Cash Returns

Valero Energy's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $265.11 to $300.00 as analysts factor in refreshed refining margin and crack spread assumptions, tighter product inventories, and updated oil price outlooks reflected in a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Valero Energy reflects a mix of views, but the most recent price target revisions show a cluster of bullish analysts recalibrating their models around refining margins, crack spreads, and oil price expectations.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 05

VLO: Higher Oil Assumptions And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Narrative Update on Valero Energy The analyst price target for Valero Energy has been raised by about $3 to roughly $259, as analysts factor in their updated views on refining margins, oil price assumptions, and a lower projected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy reflects an active debate on how to value the stock as oil price assumptions, refining crack forecasts, and geopolitical risks are updated.
Narratiefupdate • May 20

VLO: Higher Oil Assumptions And Mixed Ratings Will Shape But Limit Future Upside

Analyst fair value estimates for Valero Energy have shifted up by about $9 to $256, with the change framed around a higher assumed future P/E of roughly 15x, as well as recent rounds of price target increases across several firms, offset in part by a few new cautious ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets and a few shifting ratings.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 26

VLO: Higher Oil Assumptions And Refining Margins Will Shape But Limit Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for Valero Energy edges higher by about $1 to roughly $247 per share. Analysts point to refined assumptions around fair value, a steadier discount rate, and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations following a cluster of recent target hikes from major firms, alongside one downgrade and a list removal.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 11

VLO: Higher Oil Assumptions And Refining Margins Will Support But Cap Future Multiple

Valero Energy's updated analyst price target has shifted to $246.67 from $218.39 as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valero Energy has centered on higher price targets, changes in oil price assumptions, and shifting views on the risk profile, all of which feed into how analysts are thinking about valuation, execution, and potential growth.
Nieuw narratief • Apr 01

Record Throughput And Policy Uncertainty Will Pressure Long Term Refining Margins

Catalysts About Valero Energy Valero Energy operates refineries and produces renewable diesel and ethanol, selling transportation fuels and related products. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narratiefupdate • Mar 27

VLO: Bearish Crude Outlook Will Limit Future Multiple Despite Stronger Refining Margins

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Valero Energy to $218.39 from $202.72, linking the higher price target range across firms to updated oil price assumptions, refined product supply and demand expectations, and adjustments to forward P/E and margin forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy points to a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating sector views based on oil price assumptions, geopolitical risks, and refining market expectations.
Nieuw narratief • Mar 17

Heavy Crude Optionality And Renewable Diesel Platform Will Support Stronger Margins Ahead

Catalysts About Valero Energy Valero Energy operates a large, complex refining, renewable diesel and ethanol platform that converts crude oil and agricultural feedstocks into transportation fuels and related products. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narratiefupdate • Mar 12

VLO: Bearish Crude Outlook Will Constrain Future Multiple Despite Refining Support

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Valero higher, with our fair value estimate moving from $198.22 to $202.72 as they factor in updated views on future revenue growth and profitability, as well as a slightly lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valero reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting their price targets and at least one major bank removing the stock from a high conviction list.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 26

VLO: Refining Setup And Dividend Policy Will Offset Bearish Crude Outlook

Analysts have raised their average price targets for Valero Energy by a mid to high double digit dollar amount, with updated P/E assumptions and views on refining supply demand and crude differentials helping explain why several firms recently moved their targets higher, even as one trimmed its forecast to $217. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy has centered on refining supply demand, crude differentials and updated P/E frameworks, with several firms adjusting their price targets by single digit to high double digit dollar amounts.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 10

VLO: Refining Margins And Dividend Policy Will Balance Bearish Crude Outlook

Analysts have raised their blended price target for Valero Energy by about US$8 to reflect updated views on modestly higher revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, supported by a series of recent target increases across major research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed picture, with several firms lifting their price targets by double digit dollar amounts, while at least one has trimmed its target as it reassesses sector headwinds going into 2026.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 26

VLO: Complex Refining Margins And Dividend Support Will Offset Bearish Crude Sentiment

Narrative Update on Valero Energy The updated analyst price target for Valero Energy has moved higher by about US$3 to roughly US$190, as analysts point to tighter refining supply and demand, crude differential tailwinds, and the company's ability to run cheaper feedstocks into higher value products, even as views on crude remain cautious. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valero Energy reflects a generally constructive tone, with price targets being adjusted while views on crude and sector performance remain cautious.
Analyse-artikel • Jan 26

Valero Energy's (NYSE:VLO) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Valero Energy Corporation's ( NYSE:VLO ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to...
Narratiefupdate • Jan 12

VLO: Complex Refining Margins And Capital Returns Will Offset Bearish Crude Sentiment

Analysts have inched their price expectations for Valero higher, with the fair value estimate moving from about $185.78 to $187.11. This reflects updated views that factor in recent price target changes, a slightly higher future P/E assumption, and ongoing support from refining market conditions highlighted in recent research.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 15

VLO: Capital Returns And Complex Refining Margins Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have made a slight upward adjustment to their price target on Valero Energy to about $186 per share, citing the company’s complex refining capabilities, improving operating margins, and stronger than expected recent earnings performance as key drivers of the improved outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valero Energy reflects a generally constructive view on the stock, with multiple firms boosting price targets and initiating coverage at favorable ratings.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 01

VLO: Ongoing Capital Returns And Margin Resilience Will Shape Near-Term Performance

Valero Energy's analyst price target has increased from $182.22 to $185.83 per share, as analysts highlight stronger operating performance, robust refinery margins, and ongoing optimism in earnings and capital returns. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain largely constructive on Valero Energy, emphasizing multiple factors supporting a positive outlook.
Narratiefupdate • Nov 17

VLO: Future Performance Will Reflect Industry Cyclicality And Robust Capital Return

Valero Energy's analyst price target has increased modestly from $180.78 to $182.22 per share. Analysts cite the company's strong earnings momentum, robust operating margins, and a constructive outlook for high-quality product demand as key drivers of the upward revision.
Narratiefupdate • Nov 03

VLO: Dividend Growth And Refining Margins Will Drive Performance Into 2026

Valero Energy's analyst price target has risen from $175.63 to $180.78. This increase reflects analysts' optimism following a strong earnings report and continued favorable outlooks for refining margins and capital returns.
Narratiefupdate • Oct 20

St Charles SEC Unit Will Yield High-Value Products

Valero Energy's analyst price target has increased from $169 to approximately $175.63 per share, as analysts note improved sector sentiment and resilient refining margins are supporting upward valuation adjustments. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports reflect a range of perspectives about Valero Energy's near-term performance and long-term prospects.
Narratiefupdate • Oct 06

St Charles SEC Unit Will Yield High-Value Products

Valero Energy's analyst price target has increased from $166.06 to $169.00 per share, as analysts cite persistent market tightness and resilient refining margins as factors supporting a more positive outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reveal a dynamic range of perspectives among analysts regarding Valero Energy’s valuation and growth outlook.
Narratiefupdate • Sep 21

St Charles SEC Unit Will Yield High-Value Products

Valero Energy’s consensus price target has been raised to $166.06 as analysts cite persistent refining margin strength, resilient product markets, and strong recent earnings, despite some valuation concerns following recent outperformance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight persistent global refining margin strength, with product markets remaining tight and defying expectations of a decline.
Narratiefupdate • Sep 06

St Charles SEC Unit Will Yield High-Value Products

Analysts have raised Valero Energy’s price target slightly to $157.94, reflecting increased confidence in structurally higher refining margins and Valero’s competitive advantage in renewables, although some remain cautious on valuation after recent outperformance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight a structural upcycle in refining, positioning Valero to benefit from favorable long-term industry trends.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 28

Valero's Exposure To Renewable Energy And More

Summary Valero Energy Corporation is recognized for its low-cost operations and strong safety record, contributing to its financial success and investor confidence. Despite weak margins in 2024 in both renewables and older refining, the trend is turning positive in early 2025 and is likely to continue. The renewable diesel market faces uncertainty due to regulatory changes, but long-term demand for hydrocarbon-based fuels is expected to grow, supported by OPEC+ forecasts. The SAF market presents opportunities with infrastructure challenges; Valero's DGD facilities are well-positioned to capitalize on this growing sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 13

Valero Energy Flexes With Energy Policy Changes (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Valero Energy Corporation is a top US independent oil refiner, producing essential fuels like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and ethanol, with significant barriers to entry for competitors. I am upranking Valero, a $39.4 billion company, to a buy due to its strong position in traditional and renewable fuel markets, a 3.6% dividend, and relatively low stock price. Although tariffs are a big unknown, Valero may benefit from lower crude prices and a much friendlier-to-all US national energy policy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NYSE:VLO - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/2028117,4197,3798,2898,8978
12/31/2027130,7129,74312,06213,09512
12/31/2026150,85413,43515,34617,47912
6/30/2026132,4307,19310,12010,908N/A
3/31/2026117,8414,1965,5526,264N/A
12/31/2025115,9392,3415,0305,826N/A
9/30/2025116,5531,4893,9604,839N/A
6/30/2025117,5497603,3414,253N/A
3/31/2025122,3569244,8335,789N/A
12/31/2024123,9742,7625,7766,683N/A
9/30/2024128,7313,6815,9926,852N/A
6/30/2024134,3305,9327,9958,865N/A
3/31/2024134,3566,9937,0597,905N/A
12/31/2023139,0018,8088,3189,229N/A
9/30/2023145,45510,71011,01412,086N/A
6/30/2023151,76010,9029,50810,823N/A
3/31/2023169,08713,64013,59415,156N/A
12/31/2022171,18911,48510,89312,574N/A
9/30/2022165,1579,3919,16010,932N/A
6/30/2022149,8267,0478,56410,336N/A
3/31/2022124,6452,5314,7896,499N/A
12/31/2021108,3329244,1945,859N/A
9/30/202189,220-4431,8383,501N/A
6/30/202175,780-1,3706102,217N/A
3/31/202160,187-281-747945N/A
12/31/202060,115-1,426-840948N/A
9/30/202071,240-106832,560N/A
6/30/202082,6201,0631,8833,824N/A
3/31/2020100,530425N/A4,605N/A
12/31/2019102,7292,415N/A5,531N/A
9/30/2019103,6822,308N/A5,501N/A
6/30/2019107,3432,554N/A4,568N/A
3/31/2019109,3652,785N/A5,110N/A
12/31/2018111,4073,113N/A4,371N/A
9/30/2018108,9534,524N/A4,353N/A
6/30/2018101,5574,510N/A4,894N/A
3/31/201892,8824,215N/A4,632N/A
12/31/201788,4074,051N/A5,482N/A
9/30/201782,9672,058N/A4,820N/A
6/30/201779,1031,830N/A4,646N/A
3/31/201776,3472,096N/A5,168N/A
12/31/201670,1662,282N/A4,820N/A
9/30/201667,9582,216N/A4,309N/A
6/30/201670,7482,980N/A4,808N/A
3/31/201676,2393,518N/A4,818N/A
12/31/201581,8243,987N/A5,611N/A
9/30/201592,4094,844N/A6,121N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De winst van VLO zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -19.3% per jaar).

Winst versus markt: De winst van VLO zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -19.3% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van VLO zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van VLO zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -6.6% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van VLO zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -6.6% per jaar).

Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel

Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen VLO zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 13.6 %).

Ontdek groeibedrijven

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/09/20 01:39
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/09/18 00:00
Inkomsten2026/06/30
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Valero Energy Corporation wordt gevolgd door 38 analisten. 14 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
"Theresa ChenBarclays