Murphy Oil Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 1/6
Murphy Oil zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 13.4% en 2.8% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 15.1% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 8.4% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
13.4%
Groei van de winst
15.11%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Oil and Gas winstgroei | 4.1% |
| Inkomstengroei | 2.8% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 8.38% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 12 Aug 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Aug 12
MUR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Unhedged Oil And Côte D’Ivoire Discovery
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Murphy Oil from about $43.50 to roughly $42.14. This reflects a series of target cuts into a $35 to $41 range and updated views on exploration risks, capital spending, and commodity price assumptions, partially offset by at least one more constructive upgrade following the recent share pullback.Analyse-artikel • Aug 09
Murphy Oil Corporation Just Beat Revenue By 5.1%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a sad week for Murphy Oil Corporation ( NYSE:MUR ), who've watched their investment drop 16% to US$33.37 in...Seeking Alpha • Aug 06
Murphy Oil: More Discoveries And An Increase In The Capital Budget
Summary Murphy Oil's aggressive exploration program could triple company reserves in coming years. Recent Côte d’Ivoire discovery appraisal is underway, targeting up to 800 million barrels of oil across two intervals. The Gulf of America program offers lower-risk reserve additions. The offshore program has the ability to materially raise the company production over the next 5 to 7 years (with more possibilities along the way). Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarratiefupdate • Jul 15
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Oil Prices And Côte D’Ivoire Exploration
Analysts have adjusted the Murphy Oil fair value estimate higher from $41.93 to $43.50, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and sector pricing assumptions that sit between recent upward and downward revisions to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Murphy Oil is mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and others turning more cautious as they reset expectations around oil prices, refining margins, and recent share price moves.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 01
MUR: Vietnam And Côte d'Ivoire Prospects Will Likely Balance Oil Price Volatility
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil has been revised from $22.29 to $35.00, reflecting updated views on oil price assumptions, unhedged oil exposure, Vietnam project catalysts, and a range of recent target changes from firms reacting to both macro oil trends and stock pullbacks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Murphy Oil shows a wide range of opinions, with some analysts highlighting upside tied to oil exposure and Vietnam projects, while others flag risks related to commodity sensitivity and valuation.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 17
MUR: Unhedged 2026 Oil Exposure And Vietnam Projects Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil is updated slightly higher to $48. Analysts point to the stock's recent pullback, unhedged oil exposure into 2026, and potential Vietnam project catalysts as key supports for their revised view.Narratiefupdate • Jun 03
MUR: Higher Long Term Oil Prices Will Support Stronger Future Cash Returns
Murphy Oil's analyst price targets have moved higher, with the fair value estimate rising from $55.62 to $60.18 as analysts factor in higher long-term oil price assumptions, tighter supply conditions, and adjusted P/E expectations across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Murphy Oil points to a more constructive tone, with a series of price target increases and rating upgrades tied mainly to higher assumed long term oil prices, tighter supply expectations, and updated valuation frameworks across exploration and production stocks.Analyse-artikel • May 15
Murphy Oil's (NYSE:MUR) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Murphy Oil Corporation ( NYSE:MUR ) recently. Our analysis has...Narratiefupdate • May 01
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Oil Prices And Exploration Outcomes
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil has increased from $32.40 to $41.93 as analysts factor in updated oil price assumptions, a revised P/E outlook of about 14.5x, and modestly higher profit margin expectations, while keeping discount rate assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Murphy Oil centers on revised oil price decks, valuation multiples and the impact of geopolitical risk on long term cash generation.Narratiefupdate • Apr 17
MUR: Higher Oil Price Decks Will Support Stronger Future Cash Returns
Murphy Oil's analyst price target has been revised slightly higher by a few dollars. Analysts point to updated oil price assumptions, a modestly lower future P/E, and small tweaks to revenue growth and profit margin expectations as key drivers behind the change.Narratiefupdate • Apr 02
MUR: Higher Long Term Oil Price Decks Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil has been revised from $37 to about $56, as analysts factor in higher long term oil price assumptions, modestly softer margin and growth inputs, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a wave of recent target increases and ratings upgrades across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Murphy Oil has turned more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and upgrading ratings as they reset long term oil price assumptions and valuation frameworks.Narratiefupdate • Mar 18
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Be Limited By Exploration And Cash Flow Risks
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Murphy Oil higher to $32.40, reflecting updated oil price assumptions, a lower discount rate, and revised expectations for revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a clear split between bullish and cautious views on Murphy Oil, with most of the debate centered on how higher oil price assumptions, geopolitical risk, and execution on exploration projects should feed into valuation, cash flow potential, and appropriate P/E multiples.Narratiefupdate • Mar 05
MUR: Exploration Outcomes In Cote D'Ivoire And Vietnam Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Murphy Oil higher, with the updated fair value moving to $37.00 as they weigh mixed target revisions across the Street, along with exploration updates in Cote d'Ivoire and Vietnam. Analyst Commentary Street research on Murphy Oil has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and maintaining largely neutral ratings.Narratiefupdate • Mar 03
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Be Constrained By Weaker Free Cash Flow
Analysts have lowered their average price target on Murphy Oil by a few dollars to around $31. This reflects a mix of recent revisions, balancing reduced targets from several firms with a smaller number of increases tied to views on project execution, free cash flow strength, and capital return capacity.Narratiefupdate • Feb 17
MUR: Future Cash Flow And Vietnam Projects Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts have adjusted our Murphy Oil fair value estimate to $30.73 from $28.93. This reflects updated views on growth, profitability and valuation after a mix of recent target cuts and raises across the Street.Narratiefupdate • Feb 03
MUR: Vietnam Appraisal Optimism Will Likely Outrun Weaker Free Cash Flow Profile
Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Murphy Oil slightly higher to about $22.29, reflecting a blend of recent target increases tied to Vietnam appraisal progress and cash flow estimates, alongside several modest target cuts that factor in execution risks and sensitivity to weaker oil prices. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Murphy Oil highlights a split view, with some firms lifting price targets around the Hai Su Vang appraisal progress in Vietnam and stronger cash flow estimates, while others are trimming targets to reflect execution and commodity price risk.Narratiefupdate • Jan 20
MUR: Vietnam Appraisal Optimism Will Likely Outrun Free Cash Flow Strength
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Murphy Oil higher by up to US$3, citing stronger cash flow estimates, production guidance that came in above prior expectations, and growing optimism around the Hai Su Vang appraisal and potential Vietnam update. Analyst Commentary Recent research has been mixed, with several firms lifting their price targets while still flagging execution risks, cash flow sensitivity and valuation constraints versus peers.Analyse-artikel • Jan 06
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to...Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
MUR: Future Cash Flow Will Likely Lag Despite Stronger Production Guidance
Analysts have nudged their targets on Murphy Oil higher overall, with price objectives now ranging from about $25 to $34. This reflects updated views on cash flow, production guidance, and operating costs.Narratiefupdate • Dec 14
MUR: Future Cash Flow May Disappoint Despite Higher Production Guidance
Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Murphy Oil by $1 to $22 per share, balancing cautious assumptions on long term revenue growth and margins against improving cash flow forecasts and higher production outlooks. These developments have led several firms to raise their price targets into the mid to high $20s and low $30s.Narratiefupdate • Nov 28
MUR: Future Cash Flow Stability And Production Execution Will Balance Industry Uncertainties
Murphy Oil's analyst price target was recently increased by $0.60. Analysts attribute this change to improved production guidance and rising cash flow expectations.Narratiefupdate • Nov 14
MUR: Future Cash Flow Strength And Execution Will Offset Margin Pressures Ahead
Murphy Oil’s analyst price target has increased from $27.53 to $28.33 per share, as analysts cite stronger production forecasts, higher cash flow estimates, and improving industry outlooks as the primary drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Street research on Murphy Oil following recent earnings and operational updates has highlighted areas of both optimism and caution among analysts.Seeking Alpha • Jan 31
Murphy Oil: The Chances Of Finding An Elephant Are Still Realistic
Summary The company holds game-changing prospects and maintains a strong balance sheet under new CEO leadership. MUR focuses on steady growth, though offshore projects cause earnings to be 'bumpy' due to significant project impacts and routine maintenance downtimes. Net debt is at its lowest levels in a long time. Murphy Oil keeps dividends low to be able to redirect funds to large projects. This year's earnings were lower than last year's earnings. But the potential to find an elephant still exists. This is a conservative way to go about it. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 02
Murphy Oil Has Strong Return Potential
Summary Murphy Oil Corporation's diversified portfolio spans the Americas, with significant assets in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and exploration in Vietnam, aiming for mid single-digit production growth. The company is committed to reducing long-term debt to $1 billion by mid-2025, enhancing financial stability and positioning for downturns. Murphy's 3.0 capital allocation strategy focuses on shareholder returns, with 50% of FCF allocated to buybacks and dividends, achieving double-digit returns. The primary risk is oil price volatility, which could impact cash flow and MUR shareholder returns, despite the company's strong asset base and strategic investments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,273 | 482 | N/A | 1,812 | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,141 | 416 | 400 | 1,789 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,184 | 458 | 335 | 1,868 | 6 |
| 6/30/2026 | 2,993 | 295 | 306 | 1,566 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 2,749 | 84 | 178 | 1,268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,690 | 104 | 198 | 1,248 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,746 | 143 | 405 | 1,432 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,779 | 285 | 451 | 1,521 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 2,896 | 393 | 602 | 1,631 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,019 | 410 | 821 | 1,729 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,191 | 476 | 929 | 1,838 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,392 | 592 | 942 | 1,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,404 | 563 | 862 | 1,868 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,449 | 663 | 647 | 1,749 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,593 | 746 | 597 | 1,707 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,805 | 1,019 | 747 | 1,956 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,189 | 1,271 | 893 | 2,107 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,220 | 967 | 1,052 | 2,166 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,470 | 937 | 960 | 1,995 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,992 | 517 | 871 | 1,695 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,554 | 102 | 848 | 1,523 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,801 | -72 | 734 | 1,422 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,479 | -413 | 585 | 1,316 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,217 | -765 | 373 | 1,120 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,744 | -1,018 | -107 | 648 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,954 | -1,142 | -70 | 803 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,069 | -1,079 | -144 | 914 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,394 | -700 | -71 | 1,203 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,788 | -316 | N/A | 1,665 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,817 | 85 | N/A | 1,489 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,563 | 233 | N/A | 1,301 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,288 | 154 | N/A | 1,073 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,066 | 61 | N/A | 856 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,806 | 161 | N/A | 749 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,911 | -163 | N/A | 911 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,947 | -286 | N/A | 868 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,966 | -278 | N/A | 933 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,307 | -553 | N/A | 613 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,981 | -89 | N/A | 1,139 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,956 | -37 | N/A | 1,079 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,890 | -17 | N/A | 863 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,863 | -274 | N/A | 601 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,980 | -794 | N/A | 370 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,160 | -2,367 | N/A | 755 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,467 | -2,459 | N/A | 871 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,787 | -2,256 | N/A | 1,361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,352 | -1,231 | N/A | 2,027 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei MUR ( 13.4% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.7% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van MUR ( 13.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 17.2% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van MUR zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van MUR ( 2.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 13% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van MUR ( 2.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen MUR zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 8.4 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/08/13 19:13 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/08/13 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/06/30 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Murphy Oil Corporation wordt gevolgd door 40 analisten. 9 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Philip Weiss | Argus Research Company |
| Wei Jiang | Barclays |
| Mark Gilman | Benchmark Company |