Luckin Coffee Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 5/6
Luckin Coffee zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 22.4% en 13.2% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 21.6% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 23.6% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
22.4%
Groei van de winst
21.56%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Hospitality winstgroei | 18.1% |
| Inkomstengroei | 13.2% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 23.57% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 06 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Geen updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • May 10
LKNC.Y: Roasting Network Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to $45.98 from $45.54, attributing the change to updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Luckin Coffee announced a share repurchase program of up to US$300 million of Class A shares in the form of American Depository Shares, funded with existing cash, with a planned duration of 12 months.Narratiefupdate • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Narratiefupdate • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Narratiefupdate • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Narratiefupdate • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.Narratiefupdate • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.Narratiefupdate • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.Narratiefupdate • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.Narratiefupdate • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.Narratiefupdate • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.Narratiefupdate • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.Narratiefupdate • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).Narratiefupdate • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
Nieuw narratief • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,894 | 6,723 | 6,074 | 8,372 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 67,534 | 5,418 | 3,832 | 7,147 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 59,756 | 4,357 | 3,417 | 5,709 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 52,418 | 3,583 | 3,362 | 5,985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,288 | 3,600 | 3,467 | 6,091 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 46,125 | 3,931 | 4,736 | 7,155 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 41,018 | 3,967 | 3,983 | 6,402 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 37,062 | 3,562 | 2,972 | 5,390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 34,475 | 2,956 | 1,811 | 4,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 31,927 | 2,401 | -1,083 | 1,674 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 28,946 | 2,075 | -1,089 | 1,668 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 26,745 | 2,200 | -1,193 | 1,563 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 24,903 | 2,844 | 144 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 21,533 | 2,606 | 3,074 | 3,875 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 18,228 | 2,147 | 2,181 | 2,982 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,325 | 1,033 | 184 | 985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13,293 | 488 | -781 | 20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 12,031 | 1,355 | -216 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,486 | 803 | -625 | -452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,101 | 831 | 291 | 464 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,965 | 579 | -50 | 123 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 6,879 | -2,665 | -816 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,671 | -4,353 | -1,097 | -274 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,530 | -5,044 | -2,446 | -1,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,033 | -5,589 | -3,199 | -2,377 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,783 | -4,661 | -4,065 | -3,286 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,182 | -3,481 | -4,751 | -3,137 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,319 | -3,918 | -3,940 | -2,526 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,025 | -3,713 | N/A | -2,167 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,395 | -3,765 | N/A | -1,397 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,094 | -3,718 | N/A | -1,994 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,306 | -3,631 | N/A | -1,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 841 | -3,190 | N/A | -1,311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1 | -113 | N/A | -190 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei LKNC.Y ( 22.4% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van LKNC.Y ( 22.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de US markt ( 16.7% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van LKNC.Y zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van LKNC.Y ( 13.2% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de markt US ( 11.7% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van LKNC.Y ( 13.2% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen LKNC.Y zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zijn ( 23.6 %)
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/15 03:45 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Luckin Coffee Inc. wordt gevolgd door 18 analisten. 10 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |