McDonald's (MCD) Aandelenoverzicht
McDonald's Corporation bezit, exploiteert en franchiseert restaurants onder het merk McDonald's in de Verenigde Staten en daarbuiten. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 4/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 2/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 2/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 2/6 |
| Dividenden | 5/6 |
Beloningen
Risicoanalyse
MCD Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$238.97
FV
12.9% overgewaardeerd intrinsieke korting4.86%
Revenue growth p.a.
231
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McDonald's Corporation Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | US$269.76 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | US$341.75 |
| 52 Week Laag | US$264.53 |
| Bèta | 0.41 |
| 1 maand verandering | -3.38% |
| 3 maanden verandering | -12.57% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | -7.47% |
| 3 jaar verandering | -9.60% |
| 5 jaar verandering | 15.46% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | 154,139.35% |
Recent nieuws en updates
Narratiefupdate • Jun 18
MCD: Next Era Restaurant Upgrades And AI Will Support Franchise Cash Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average McDonald's price target by roughly $20, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modest tweaks to long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations, even though the stock has been added to some high conviction lists. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around McDonald's highlights a mixed setup, with several banks trimming price targets while the stock is still being added to high conviction lists.Seeking Alpha • Jun 18
McDonald's: Modest P/E, Healthy Dividend, And Value Meals Driving Comps Growth
Summary McDonald's demonstrates resilience amid macro headwinds, outperforming chain restaurant peers despite a ~15% YTD decline from its peak. I reiterate my buy rating as MCD offers compelling value at 21.9x FY26 P/E and 20.0x FY27 P/E, now at the lower end of peer valuations. Dividend strength is evident, with a 2.6% yield and a decade of consistent growth, positioning MCD as a viable alternative to cash. Q1 revenue grew 9% y/y, suggesting potential for upward estimate revisions as comps and fundamentals remain robust. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narratiefupdate • Jun 18
MCD: Next Era Restaurant Upgrades And AI Will Support Franchise Cash Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average McDonald's price target by roughly $20, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modest tweaks to long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations, even though the stock has been added to some high conviction lists. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around McDonald's highlights a mixed setup, with several banks trimming price targets while the stock is still being added to high conviction lists.Seeking Alpha • Jun 18
McDonald's: Modest P/E, Healthy Dividend, And Value Meals Driving Comps Growth
Summary McDonald's demonstrates resilience amid macro headwinds, outperforming chain restaurant peers despite a ~15% YTD decline from its peak. I reiterate my buy rating as MCD offers compelling value at 21.9x FY26 P/E and 20.0x FY27 P/E, now at the lower end of peer valuations. Dividend strength is evident, with a 2.6% yield and a decade of consistent growth, positioning MCD as a viable alternative to cash. Q1 revenue grew 9% y/y, suggesting potential for upward estimate revisions as comps and fundamentals remain robust. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarratiefupdate • Jun 04
MCD: Value Menu And Dividend Strength Will Support Franchise Cash Returns
Analysts now set McDonald's fair value at about $331.29, a modest adjustment from $330. This reflects a blend of recent target cuts from several firms and inclusion on Jefferies' Franchise Picks list, with updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a similar profit margin profile, and a future P/E of about 28.47x.Narratiefupdate • May 20
MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support High Conviction Franchise Cash Generation
Analysts have trimmed the McDonald's fair value estimate from $345.00 to $330.00, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, even as broader research remains generally constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings while reassessing growth, margins, and valuation multiples.Narratiefupdate • Apr 27
MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Upside
McDonald's updated analyst price target edges up by about $0.15 to $345.00 as analysts factor in slightly higher profit margin expectations and a modestly adjusted discount rate, following a wave of recent upgrades and target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on McDonald's has been active, with a cluster of target changes and rating moves pointing to a mixed but generally constructive debate around valuation, earnings quality, and the pace of future growth.Narratiefupdate • Apr 11
MCD: Value Menu Repositioning Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Breakout
McDonald's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $344.85 from $345.21. Analysts point to a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer profit margin assumptions, while continuing to highlight the brand's global reach, digital investments, and franchise model in recent research.Narratiefupdate • Mar 27
MCD: Value Menu Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout
McDonald's Analyst Price Target has been nudged higher to $345.21 from $344.09 as analysts point to the company's powerful global brand, rapid unit expansion, digital and AI-driven efficiencies, and an asset light franchise model as key supports for its updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been skewed toward higher price targets and rating upgrades, with several banks citing brand strength, digital investments, and the franchise model as key supports for the current valuation reset.Narratiefupdate • Mar 13
MCD: Value Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential
Analysts have nudged our McDonald's fair value estimate higher from $341.28 to $344.09. This reflects their higher Street price targets that point to the brand's global reach, franchise model, operational efficiencies, and steady U.S. business momentum.Narratiefupdate • Feb 27
MCD: Value And Digital Execution Are Expected To Support Breakout Setup
Narrative Update McDonald's fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $341.28 as analysts lift price targets across the stock. They cite what they see as higher quality growth, strong profitability and benefits from digital investments, marketing and value initiatives into 2026.Narratiefupdate • Feb 13
MCD: Value Positioning And Brand Repositioning Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential
Analysts have nudged their McDonald's price target higher to about $339 from $331, citing modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, and only small tweaks to long term profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been active, with several price target revisions and rating changes clustered around a similar thesis.Narratiefupdate • Dec 20
MCD: Value Strategy And Cost Tailwinds Will Balance Consumer Traffic Risks
Analysts have nudged their price target on McDonald's slightly higher to $331.20. This reflects modest improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins, even as they remain cautious about the company's value focus amid ongoing pressure on lower income consumers.Narratiefupdate • Dec 06
MCD: Value Promotions And Remodels Will Balance Consumer And Margin Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their McDonald's fair value estimate slightly, lowering the target by about $0.30 to roughly $331. This reflects modestly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, which offset a small improvement in projected profit margins and still robust expectations for value driven traffic and potential multiple expansion.Narratiefupdate • Nov 22
MCD: Value Initiatives And Consumer Headwinds Will Shape Market Share Performance
McDonald's analyst fair value estimate was nudged higher to $331.53 from $330.87, as analysts point to ongoing value initiatives and expectations for store growth and market share gains, which support the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on McDonald's highlight a mix of optimism about the company’s value initiatives and store growth, while also flagging continued caution regarding consumer trends and traffic drivers.Narratiefupdate • Nov 08
MCD: Value Focus And Consumer Trends Will Shape Performance Amid Mixed Signals
McDonald's analyst price target edged slightly lower to $330.87 from $331.14, a modest adjustment reflecting analysts' cautious outlook over mixed consumer traffic trends and evolving value strategies, while balancing these factors against resilient revenue growth forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a broad mix of optimism and caution, with price targets being adjusted in response to changing consumer dynamics and evolving company strategies.Narratiefupdate • Oct 25
Future Performance Will Rely On Value Positioning And Digital Expansion
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value price target for McDonald's to $331.14 from $331.52. They cite continued caution around consumer spending and uncertainty over the impact of value-focused initiatives on traffic and margins.Narratiefupdate • Oct 10
International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for McDonald's to $331.52, a decrease of about $4. This adjustment reflects cautious outlooks on the company's value-driven strategy and continued pressure on lower-income consumer spending.Narratiefupdate • Sep 04
International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success
Analysts remain divided on the benefits and risks of McDonald's value initiatives amid a challenging competitive landscape and cautious U.S. consumer outlook, with the consensus price target unchanged at $334.85. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight McDonald's scale, marketing power, and digital leadership as key advantages in navigating consumer uncertainty and driving share gains, especially through new products and targeted promotions.Analyseartikel • Jul 15
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD)
Key Insights The projected fair value for McDonald's is US$346 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity McDonald's...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
McDonald's: Steady Fundamentals, Cloudy Future Of Tariffs
Summary McDonald's remains a solid company with stable fundamentals, but its current price suggests modest long-term returns. Despite historical revenue slumps, McDonald's has grown free cash flow by controlling gross margins, crucial amid concerns about Trump's tariffs and rising costs. The company's strong balance sheet, supported by valuable real estate assets, ensures it can manage debt and weather economic headwinds effectively. With Q1 2025 earnings approaching, management's insights on tariffs and consumer impact will be pivotal; current valuation suggests fair value, lacking major growth catalysts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 18
McDonald's Golden Arches In Danger -- Numerous Headwinds Ahead
Summary MCD's bullish uptrend support remains robust, thanks to its excellent branding power as the largest food-chain in the world, with $221.9B in brand valuation in 2024. Even so, it is undeniable that MCD has delivered underwhelming comparable sales growth and profit margins in 2024, worsened by the impacted balance sheet health. If anything, readers must note that its FY2025 guidance has yet to "include any impact from potential new tariffs," worsened by the deteriorating macroeconomic and consumer environment. The growing anti-US sentiments may also derail MCD's ambitious international growth plans, particularly in China, pending further policy clarity. Combined with the higher short interest volumes, heightened risks of stagflation, and pulled forward upside potential, MCD's golden arch investment thesis appears mixed indeed. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 18
McDonald's: Value Menu, Digital Focus To Sustain Competitive Advantage, Upgrade To Buy
Summary I think McDonald’s stock will be a safe heaven in 2025 considering the uncertainty surrounding tariff and inflation. The company’s value menu and digital focus would sustain their competitive advantage despite a weak consumer spending environment. The company handled the food safety crisis well, and I think McDonald's steady growth will be favored amid the uncertain macro environment. I am upgrading MCD stock with a ‘Buy’ rating and a fair value of $320. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 26
Wall Street Lunch: McDonald's Will Digest High Egg Prices
Summary McDonald's is absorbing higher egg costs due to bird flu, unlike competitors adding surcharges, and is promoting a $1 McMuffin to attract budget-conscious consumers. Chip stocks are rallying ahead of Nvidia's earnings report, with significant open interest in SMCI options indicating potential volatility. New home sales fell in January, but median prices rose, with economists predicting slight declines in prices over the next few quarters. Amazon unveiled Alexa+, an AI-powered assistant with enhanced capabilities, while Wells Fargo sees an opportunity in Communications Services stocks due to recent non-fundamental sell-offs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 12
McDonald's: Not Finding Compelling McValue Here
Summary McDonald's delivered poor Q4 results, with flat revenue, missing Street expectations despite stronger performance in overseas markets. Same-store sales growth in the U.S. declined due to an E. coli outbreak, offsetting the benefits of the company's $5 Meal Deal extension. The company announced a new McValue offering in the U.S. in January, officially extending the Meal Deal through summer, but in my view, this will do little to help trends. I'm reiterating my sell rating on McDonald's stock, especially as the stock trades at a ~25x forward P/E for nearly nonexistent earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 28
McDonald's Committed To Winning The Value Battle (Q4 Earnings Preview)
Summary McDonald's business model, primarily as a franchisor, ensures stable, recurring revenues with less operational risk, but limits gains during sales spikes. Despite facing headwinds like high commodity prices and traffic challenges, McDonald's expansion plans and value meals aim to drive growth and maintain volume. In this article, we will focus on the upcoming earnings report to understand what the key points may be and how they could affect McDonald's share price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 07
McDonald's: Value, Innovation, And Operational Excellence To Support Revenue Expansion And Margin Improvements
Summary In 3Q24, McDonald's generated $6.9 billion in revenues, posting a revenue growth of 2.7% y/y and 5.9% q/q. Overall margins deteriorated slightly due to higher financial expenses. Despite a poor consumer outlook, the food and beverage industry is poised for a potential rebound. At least 79% of consumers intend to spend the same or more at QSR. MCD has multiple initiatives to expand revenue and enhance margins. Some of these examples include focusing on the larger chicken market and encouraging more price-sensitive consumers by offering more value. Valuation analysis suggests that the implied share price of MCD is $326.35. Based on the current share price, even if there is no multiple expansion, there is a potential upside of 10.80%. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 06
McDonald's: Investors Will Get A Lot Of Stomach Pain Here
Summary I'm initiating McDonald's with a sell rating. The world's largest fast-food chain has dramatically underperformed both the S&P 500 and fast-casual rivals over the past few years. The company's "Accelerating the Arches" plan is insufficient to revive sales growth, with Q3 trending at a -1.5% same-store sales decline. In the long run, health trends may steepen decay. Its plan to make promotions and $5 Meal Deals more prominent is also helping to contribute to an operating margin decline, on top of rising labor costs. MCD stock has an unattractive valuation at ~25x forward P/E despite near-zero growth in the near term, with uncertain drivers to resurrect growth in the long run. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 24
McDonald's Stalled SSS Can't Be Stopped By 'McRib' And 'McValue'
Summary McDonald's will reintroduce the McRib sandwich on December 3rd and offer half-gallon jugs of McRib sauce starting November 25th. No price point announced, but higher pork prices suggest potential sticker shock for customers. McRib is another attempt to restore comps and traffic that cannot succeed over the long term. The real problem with McDonald's is high daily prices that do not provide good value and are unaffordable for large swaths of the public. A radical re-thinking is necessary. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
McDonald's: A Mixed Performance Over The Past Few Months
Summary McDonald's long-term thesis remains intact: focusing on value products and continuing with its restaurant expansion plan. The results have been somewhat mixed, but the actions taken by management are the right ones for the long term. Additionally, many of its competitors are facing the same challenges. The consequences of potential fines related to the E. coli outbreak remain to be seen, but they do not jeopardize the thesis, and there are several reasons that differentiate this. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 27
McDonald's: E. Coli Is Not A Nothingburger, But There Is More To This Correction
Summary McDonald's remains a long-term Hold despite recent E. coli concerns, with its stock down 8% in a week but still up 20% from early summer levels. Historical parallels with Chipotle suggest potential short-term challenges, but McDonald's geographically diversified market presence mitigates similarly extreme downturns. Yet, current high valuation metrics justify a correction regardless of the E. coli outbreak. McDonald's franchise model and valuable real estate holdings provide strong financial resilience, though short-term caution is advised until the full extent of the bacteria outbreak is more tangible. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRendement voor aandeelhouders
| MCD | US Hospitality | US Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.2% | 1.6% | -2.5% |
| 1Y | -7.5% | -4.9% | 19.0% |
Rendement versus industrie: MCD presteerde slechter dan de US Hospitality -sector, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement van -4.9 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: MCD presteerde slechter dan US Market, dat het afgelopen jaar een rendement van 19 % opleverde.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| MCD volatility | |
|---|---|
| MCD Average Weekly Movement | 2.8% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: MCD heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de US markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 3% ) van MCD is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 | 150,000 | Chris Kempczinski | www.mcdonalds.com |
McDonald's Corporation bezit, exploiteert en franchiseert restaurants onder het merk McDonald's in de Verenigde Staten en daarbuiten. Het biedt eten en drinken aan, waaronder hamburgers en cheeseburgers, diverse kipsandwiches, frietjes, shakes, bevroren desserts, ijscoupes, soft serve kegels, koekjes, taarten, frisdranken, koffie en andere dranken; en een volledig of beperkt ontbijt, en verkoopt diverse andere producten tijdens promoties met een beperkte geldigheidsduur. Het bedrijf bezit en exploiteert franchise-restaurants onder verschillende structuren, waaronder conventionele franchise, ontwikkelingslicentie of filiaal.
McDonald's Corporation Samenvatting
| MCD fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | US$191.67b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$8.68b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$27.45b |
22.1x
Koers/Winstverhouding7.0x
P/S-verhoudingIs MCD overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| MCD resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | US$27.45b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | US$11.71b |
| Brutowinst | US$15.74b |
| Overige uitgaven | US$7.06b |
| Inkomsten | US$8.68b |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Mar 31, 2026
Volgende inkomensdatum
n.v.t.
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | 12.21 |
| Brutomarge | 57.35% |
| Nettowinstmarge | 31.62% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | -3,119.7% |
Hoe presteerde MCD op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingDividenden
2.8%
Huidig dividendrendement60%
UitbetalingsratioBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/06/28 04:16 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
McDonald's Corporation wordt gevolgd door 60 analisten. 33 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Jim Marrone | Accountability Research Corporation |
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| David Tarantino | Baird |