Trip.com Group Limited

NasdaqGS:TCOM Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$29.7b

Trip.com Group Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 0/6

De winst van Trip.com Group zal naar verwachting dalen met 14.8% per jaar, terwijl de jaarlijkse omzet naar verwachting zal groeien met 10.4% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting dalen met 17.2% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 10.7% zijn.

Belangrijke informatie

-14.8%

Groei van de winst

-17.24%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Hospitality winstgroei18.4%
Inkomstengroei10.4%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen10.71%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt08 Jun 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jun 04

Trip.com: Domestic Travel Strength And Global Expansion Remain On Track

Summary Trip.com controls an estimated 48% of China's online hotel booking market, positioning the company to benefit directly from the long-term growth of Chinese travel consumption. More than 80% of revenue remains linked to domestic travel demand, while recent Lunar New Year and APAC booking trends point to continued strength in the sector. International OTA bookings grew approximately 60% in 2025, significantly outpacing overall company growth. Trip.com holds approximately $6.7 billion of net cash, representing roughly 22% of its market capitalization, and continues to execute a $5 billion share repurchase program. At less than 12x earnings and high single-digitmedium-term EPS growth expected, the company offers attractive risk/reward amidmanageable AI and regulatory risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Jun 03

TCOM: AI Expansion And Global Partnerships Should Support Future Overseas Demand

Analysts have inched their price target for Trip.com Group higher to about $77.06 from around $76.91, citing updated fair value estimates, a slightly revised discount rate, and a modest adjustment to expected future P/E levels. What's in the News Trip.com Group hosted its Envision 2026 Global Partner Conference, highlighting new artificial intelligence tools aimed at more personalized travel experiences in the Attractions & Tours segment.
Narratiefupdate • May 13

TCOM: Solid Q4 Execution And Reinvestment Should Support Future Overseas Demand

Trip.com Group’s updated analyst price target has been reset to $75, as analysts factor in slightly lower sector valuation multiples, recent Q4 revenue strength across segments, and some margin pressure from reinvestment. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trip.com Group points to a mixed but generally constructive stance, with multiple firms trimming price targets while maintaining positive ratings on the stock.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 28

TCOM: Solid Q4 Execution And Conservative Guidance Will Support Future Overseas Demand

Trip.com Group's updated analyst price target has edged down by a small amount, aligning with a series of recent Street target cuts into a $68 to $79 range, as analysts factor in slightly adjusted revenue growth and margin assumptions while still highlighting solid Q4 execution and broadly constructive views on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary clusters around lower price targets for Trip.com Group but still generally positive views on execution and long term growth potential.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 11

TCOM: Q4 Execution And Regulatory Resolution Will Support Future Overseas Demand

Trip.com Group's fair value estimate edges up to $76.50 as analysts trim formal price targets into a $68 to $79 range, reflecting sector wide multiple compression, Q4 revenue that slightly topped expectations, and updated margin assumptions tied to reinvestment. Analyst Commentary Across the Street, analysts have reset their price targets for Trip.com Group into a tighter range while keeping largely positive ratings, pointing to a balance of solid execution and valuation caution.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 27

TCOM: Q4 Execution And Regulatory Resolution Will Support Long-Term Overseas Demand

The updated analyst price target for Trip.com Group has edged slightly lower to approximately $76.21. Analysts point to reduced industry multiples and some margin pressure, despite broadly solid Q4 revenue performance and generally supportive ratings.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 11

TCOM: Regulatory Probe Resolution Will Support Long-Term Overseas Travel Demand

The analyst price target for Trip.com Group has been reduced from $87.08 to $76.26, as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, a lower future P/E of 18.80 versus 21.60, and recent target cuts into the $68 to $79 range despite ongoing positive views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trip.com Group reflects a mix of optimism on the core business and caution on valuation, margins, and regulatory headlines.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 24

TCOM: Regulatory Probe Resilience Will Support Long-Term Overseas Travel Strength

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Trip.com Group price target to about $87, reflecting slightly lower discount rate and P/E assumptions, while factoring in recent regulatory probe commentary that suggests limited long term impact on the company’s industry position. Analyst Commentary Street research around the recent regulatory probe is split, with some focusing on valuation support and others on potential near term share price pressure and execution risk.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 10

TCOM: Overseas Travel Strength Will Offset Regulatory Probe Concerns

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Trip.com Group to about $86.91 from $87.05, reflecting a marginally higher discount rate and updated views on the recent regulatory probe, as well as earlier positive readings of Q3 performance and raised Q4 expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to Q3 results that were described as solid, with hotel bookings during the summer holidays and October's Golden Week supporting the recent fair value work and helping underpin confidence in Trip.com Group's execution.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 27

TCOM: Overseas Travel Demand And Solid Q3 Execution Will Support Upside

Narrative Update: Trip.com Group Analyst Price Target Analysts have made only a marginal adjustment to their valuation framework for Trip.com Group, with a slightly lower fair value estimate of about US$87 per share. This reflects modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that are informed by recent research highlighting solid Q3 results, a raised Q4 outlook and ongoing attention to the recent regulatory probe.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 12

TCOM: Overseas Holiday Demand Will Support Q4 Momentum And Earnings Upside

Narrative Update on Trip.com Group The analyst price target for Trip.com Group has been revised higher by about US$1, supported by Street research highlighting Q3 results that were better than expected and strong holiday driven travel demand carrying into Q4. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Trip.com Group has focused on the Q3 performance and the updated view for Q4, with price targets moving higher as analysts reassess the balance between growth, execution and valuation.
Analyseartikel • Jan 04

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Trip.com Group Limited's (NASDAQ:TCOM) Earnings Yet

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x Trip.com Group Limited ( NASDAQ:TCOM ) may be sending bullish...
Narratiefupdate • Dec 14

TCOM: Overseas Holiday Demand Will Drive Q4 Momentum And Support Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Trip.com Group modestly higher to approximately $86 per share from about $85, citing stronger than expected Q3 performance and an improving Q4 outlook supported by resilient travel demand despite broader consumption headwinds. Analyst Commentary Analyst commentary around Trip.com Group remains largely constructive, with recent target hikes reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to execute on growth initiatives despite a softer macro consumption backdrop.
Narratiefupdate • Nov 27

TCOM: Overseas Travel Strength Will Drive Q4 Momentum And Profitability

The analyst price target for Trip.com Group has increased from $83.78 to $85.81. This change reflects continued confidence in the company's strong results and improved revenue outlook, as noted by analysts following its robust Q3 performance and resilient travel demand.
Narratiefupdate • Nov 11

TCOM: Revenue Momentum And Margins Will Be Driven By Inbound Travel

Trip.com Group's analyst price target has been slightly increased to $83.78 from $83.58. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected revenue and margin performance, along with robust volume growth overcoming pricing pressures.
Analyseartikel • Nov 03

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Trip.com Group's (NASDAQ:TCOM) Returns On Capital

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Narratiefupdate • Oct 28

International Tourism Momentum Will Lift Asia-Pacific Travel Sector Through 2025

Trip.com Group's analyst price target has been nudged slightly higher to $83.58 per share from $83.54. Analysts point to stronger-than-expected Q2 results and incremental growth in inbound travel as supporting factors for the modest upward revision.
Narratiefupdate • Oct 05

Expanding Asia-Pacific Market Will Drive International Tourism

Analysts have raised their price target for Trip.com Group, increasing it from about $82.70 to $83.54. They cite stronger-than-expected revenue growth and improving profit margins in the latest quarter.
Narratiefupdate • Aug 29

Promoting Inbound Travel And Rural Revitalization In China Will Support Sustainable Long-Term Growth

The consensus Analyst Price Target for Trip.com Group has risen to $79.15, primarily reflecting a sharp decline in the company’s future P/E ratio, while revenue growth expectations remain stable. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 7,000,000 shares (1.06%) for $400 million under the buyback announced in February 2025.
Analyseartikel • Aug 20

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM)

NasdaqGS:TCOM 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Trip.com Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Analyseartikel • Jul 31

With EPS Growth And More, Trip.com Group (NASDAQ:TCOM) Makes An Interesting Case

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analyseartikel • Jul 16

We Think Trip.com Group (NASDAQ:TCOM) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analyseartikel • Jun 24

Investors Will Want Trip.com Group's (NASDAQ:TCOM) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 27

Trip.com: Navigating Global Expansion Amid Domestic Headwinds

Summary Trip.com reported strong Q4 results, with revenue growth of 23% y/y, but margins fell short due to international market investments. US shares dipped, but Hong Kong shares rose; recommend buying on the dip due to promising international expansion and reasonable margin traction. Valued at 15x forward EBITDA, implying $79/share and a 37% upside; investment in Trip.com app crucial for diversifying revenue streams. Risks include reliance on China's domestic tourism and potential increased spending on global expansion, possibly leading to multiple contraction. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 23

Trip.com Group Stock: Growth Momentum Remains Strong

Summary Trip.com Group Limited's growth has remained strong, with Q3 earnings beating Wall Street's expectations through rapid growth and operating leverage. Growth prospects remain good with continued normalization in Chinese tourism and fairly good economic growth. TCOM stock remains valued with a fair margin of safety, as I estimate 13% upside to a fair value of $76. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Nieuw narratief • Nov 24

China's Resilient Travel Market Spurs Revenue Growth And Global Expansion Excitement

Resilient domestic and cross-border travel, combined with personalized experiences, will enhance Trip.com's revenue growth and potentially improve margins.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 19

Trip.com: Beyond Its Recovery Story Of 2024

Summary Trip.com has a strong balance sheet with significant cash reserves, but its volatile revenue growth rates and reliance on China's economy are concerning. Despite a 65% stock increase in 2024, the unpredictable growth rates and limited financial transparency under IFRS reporting make me cautious. The stock is priced at 16x EBITDA, which is somewhat appealing, but the risk-reward profile doesn't align with my Inflection investing strategy. Given the uncertainties, I prefer to stay neutral and avoid taking a position on TCOM at this time. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 30

Trip.com: Chinese Travel Trends Suggest Continued Growth

Summary Trip.com Group Limited is well-positioned to capture growth from the growing Chinese travel industry. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a massive decline in especially TCOM's 2020–2022 revenues, but the following tourism recovery has led to recently incredibly strong growth momentum, looking to strengthen TCOM's Q3. TCOM stock is valued with a slight undervaluation, still falling within a margin of safety, as the industry also has cheaper alternative investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 27

Trip.com: The Hottest Consumer Market In China

Summary Trip.com is a leading online travel agent in China, controlling 50% of the market, with strong growth prospects due to eased travel restrictions and increasing international flight capacity. The company trades at 14X forward earnings, lower than international peers, but corporate governance issues and a lack of shareholder returns are significant concerns. Despite generating strong cash flow, TCOM has not paid dividends and has engaged in limited share buybacks, raising red flags about capital allocation. We recommend holding off on buying Trip.com stock until a more shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy is adopted. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 24

Trip.com: Arriving At Buy Territory

Summary Trip.com offers exposure to the Chinese recovery with decent revenue growth and margin expansion due to economic recovery and diversified revenue streams. Despite share dilution, TCOM's business model, network effect, and potential outbound travel recovery make it a compelling investment option if you tolerate the Chinese stock risks. Expectations for TCOM include margin expansion, capitalizing on outbound travel recovery, revenue growth stabilization, and continued share dilution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 21

Trip.com: Still A Buy With Above-Expectations Q1 Earnings

Summary Trip.com Group's normalized net profit rose by +96.4% YoY to RMB4,055 million in Q1 2024 as a result of strong top-line growth and good cost management. TCOM's short-to-medium term prospects are healthy, taking into account the expected outbound travel recovery and the growth potential of its international OTA business. I leave my existing Buy rating for Trip.com Group unchanged, after assessing its recent quarterly financial performance and its growth outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 06

Trip.com: Untangling Rebound Momentum From Rich Valuation

Summary TCOM is a leading online travel agency with a large inventory, global reach, and a user-friendly mobile app. Share performance has been strong, with a 16% 1-year return. Valuation remains rich, but better entry point could make the stock attractive. Fundamentals are fine overall, with decent revenue growth, improved profitability, and liquidity and debt management. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NasdaqGS:TCOM - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (CNY Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/202889,43623,05822,82025,73616
12/31/202779,67020,86219,97624,18730
12/31/202670,85818,45518,65525,71531
12/31/202562,40933,29413,58214,379N/A
9/30/202559,75531,170N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202557,29018,045N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202555,21917,032N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202453,29417,06719,03419,625N/A
9/30/202450,87516,207N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202448,74214,057N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202447,21710,85520,66521,282N/A
12/31/202344,5109,91821,39822,004N/A
9/30/202339,21210,678N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202332,3646,329N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202325,1285,767N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202220,0391,4032,1432,641N/A
9/30/202219,693-1,488N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202218,145-2,603N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202220,024-3,319N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202120,023-5501,9042,475N/A
9/30/202120,3061,288N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202120,4243,715N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202117,6933,886N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202018,316-3,247-4,355-3,823N/A
9/30/202021,687-2,243N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202026,701-3,028N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202032,233-2,955N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201935,6667,0116,4997,333N/A
9/30/201934,8913,813N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201933,7701,881N/A8,649N/A
3/31/201932,3984,665N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201830,9651,112N/A7,115N/A
9/30/201829,5812,654N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201828,3455,187N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201827,4823,163N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201726,7962,155N/A7,069N/A
9/30/201725,6872,449N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201723,1401,079N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201721,095200N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201619,245-1,418N/A5,270N/A
9/30/201617,035-2,000N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201614,645391N/A1,472N/A
3/31/201612,7611,055N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201510,8982,508N/A3,049N/A
9/30/20159,9372,208N/A1,498N/A
6/30/20158,8859N/AN/AN/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De winst van TCOM zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -14.8% per jaar).

Winst versus markt: De winst van TCOM zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -14.8% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van TCOM zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van TCOM ( 10.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.9% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van TCOM ( 10.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.

Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel

Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen TCOM zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 10.7 %).

Ontdek groeibedrijven

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/06/09 11:16
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/06/09 00:00
Inkomsten2025/12/31
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Trip.com Group Limited wordt gevolgd door 69 analisten. 31 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Alicia YapBarclays
Yanfang JiangBenchmark Company