Santos Limited

ASX:STO Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: AU$25.2b

Santos Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 3/6

Santos zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 13.5% en 7% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 13.3% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 9.1% zijn.

Belangrijke informatie

13.5%

Groei van de winst

13.29%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Oil and Gas winstgroei11.0%
Inkomstengroei7.0%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen9.06%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt28 Jul 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Nieuw narratief Jul 25

Is Santos Cooking with Gas?

At A$9.427 per share, Santos (ASX: STO) appears reasonably valued when considering its existing operations and the expected contribution from the Barossa and Pikka projects. Santos reported 2025 revenue of US$4.9 billion, underlying profit of US$898 million and free cash flow of US$1.8 billion.
Narratiefupdate Jul 24

STO: Higher Fair Value View Will Rely On Barossa Project Delivery

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Santos from A$9.63 to A$10.69, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that support a higher price target. What’s in the News for Santos The Australian federal government has announced a mandatory east coast gas reservation from July 2027, requiring large LNG exporters such as Santos to reserve 20% of production for the domestic market, according to recent reporting.
Narratiefupdate Jul 10

STO: Fair Outlook As Barossa Progress Supports Rebased Earnings Expectations

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Santos to A$7.65 from A$5.95, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the stock’s future P/E profile. What’s in the News for Santos Santos shares moved sharply on July 8, 2026, with the stock up 5.78%, as investors reacted to progress at the Barossa gas development project, according to recent news reports.
Narratiefupdate Jun 26

STO: Future Returns Will Hinge On Papua LNG Sanction And Cash Generation

Analysts have modestly lifted their Santos price target to A$9.09 from A$8.81, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Santos Santos reports strong quarterly production, with first oil achieved at Pikka Phase 1 in Alaska and initial LNG cargoes shipped from the Barossa project, supporting its maintained full-year 2026 production guidance.
Analyse-artikel Jun 16

Santos (ASX:STO) Shares Could Be 16.2% Undervalued After Pikka First Oil

Santos (ASX:STO) is back in focus after reaching first oil at the Alaska Pikka project, a milestone that puts the upcoming third quarter production ramp and the company’s debt reduction plans under closer investor scrutiny. See our latest analysis for Santos. Despite the Pikka milestone and focus on higher production, Santos shares have eased in recent weeks, with a 30 day share price return of 5.46% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 0.62%. This suggests momentum has cooled after a...
Narratiefupdate Jun 06

STO: Future Returns Will Depend On Papua LNG Sanction And Cash Flow

Analysts have adjusted their A$ fair value estimate for Santos to A$8.81, a move supported by updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and the stock's forward P/E profile. What's in the News Santos has reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance, with recent updates pointing to higher quarterly production and stable free cash flow generation.
Narratiefupdate May 01

STO: Future Returns Will Depend On Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution

Analysts have nudged their price target on Santos higher to A$8.59 from A$8.56, citing updated fair value work that reflects its low cost operating model and planned production growth, supported by expectations around Papua LNG reaching final investment decision by mid 2026. Analyst Commentary Analysts reacting to the recent update on Santos are highlighting both supports and pressure points for the equity story, with views clustering around execution on growth projects, cash generation and how much of the medium term outlook is already reflected in the share price.
Narratiefupdate Apr 16

STO: Future Upside Will Rely On Low Costs And Papua LNG Progress

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Santos higher, with fair value moving from A$8.49 to A$8.56. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and production outlook tied to recent research that highlights Santos' low cost model and planned production expansion supported by progress at Papua LNG.
Narratiefupdate Apr 02

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution Risk

The analyst fair value estimate for Santos has shifted from A$7.95 to A$8.49. The change is linked to recent upgrades that highlight the company's low cost model and planned production growth as key supports for higher price targets around A$7.30 to A$7.50.
Narratiefupdate Mar 11

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Asset Review Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Santos to about A$7.95, up from roughly A$7.55, citing a solid in line result, expectations for more than 25% production growth by 2027 and a supportive low cost operating model, along with updated Street views that factor in more moderate assumptions for future commodity prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to Santos' low cost operating model as a key support for margins and cash generation potential, which they see as helping to underpin the higher A$7.30 to A$7.50 price targets.
Nieuw narratief Mar 06

Santos: Undervalued After Takeover Fallout

Santos (ASX: STO) experienced a sharp share price drop after the failed A$36 billion takeover by a consortium led by ADNOC. While the deal’s withdrawal removed a near-term premium, it highlighted the strategic value of Santos’ LNG and gas assets.
Narratiefupdate Feb 25

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution Risk

The analyst price target for Santos has moved from A$6.75 to A$7.50, with analysts pointing to a solid in line result, a low cost operating model, and expectations for production growth and Papua LNG progress as key supports for the higher fair value and slightly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the move in price targets to A$7.30 to A$7.50 as better aligning the stock with their updated fair value assumptions after a solid in line result and a reaffirmed low cost operating model.
Narratiefupdate Feb 10

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Less Bearish 2026 Commodity Assumptions

Narrative Update on Santos Analysts have trimmed their Santos price target slightly to A$7.29 from A$7.38, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and future P/E as they factor in expectations for 2026 oil and gas prices that are less bearish than broader consensus. Analyst Commentary Recent research has seen a shift in tone around Santos, with bullish analysts lifting their stance even while building in lower oil and gas price assumptions for 2026.
Narratiefupdate Jan 26

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Less Bearish 2026 Commodity Assumptions

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Santos to about A$7.38 from roughly A$7.56, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly softer revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher expected future P/E. They still view the shares more positively relative to consensus expectations for oil and gas prices into 2026.
Narratiefupdate Jan 12

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Firmer 2026 Pricing Expectations

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Santos to A$7.56 from A$7.53, reflecting slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as some now expect oil and gas prices in 2026 to be less weak than broader forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the upgrade alongside a A$7.30 price target as support for the revised fair value, suggesting current assumptions on revenue growth, margins and P/E are within a range some investors may find reasonable.
Narratiefupdate Dec 14

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Takeover Clarity And Rising Free Cash Flows

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Santos by A$0.29 to A$7.53, reflecting a slightly lower fair value and profit margin outlook, while also highlighting improving long term free cash flow prospects and a supportive valuation following the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal as removing a key overhang, allowing the market to refocus on Santos fundamentals and intrinsic valuation support.
Narratiefupdate Nov 28

STO: Share Momentum Expected As Takeover Uncertainty Ends And Cash Flows Improve

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Santos from A$7.77 to A$7.82. They highlight an improved outlook following the withdrawal of the XRG consortium’s takeover bid and expectations for increased free cash flow as major projects advance.
Narratiefupdate Nov 14

STO: Free Cash Flow Growth Expected As Key Projects Reach Completion

The analyst price target for Santos has increased slightly from A$7.76 to A$7.77. This reflects analysts' view that the withdrawal of a takeover proposal and expectations for improved cash flow from major projects support a higher valuation.
Narratiefupdate Oct 31

STO: Focus Will Shift To Project Delivery Following Takeover Withdrawal

The analyst price target for Santos has been modestly reduced from A$7.88 to A$7.76. Analysts are factoring in adjusted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins following the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal and continued focus on future project execution.
Narratiefupdate Oct 17

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Santos from A$8.10 to A$7.88. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.
Narratiefupdate Oct 03

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have revised Santos' fair value estimate downward from A$8.37 to A$8.10. This change reflects updated expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins, along with sector valuation considerations after the XRG takeover proposal was withdrawn.
Narratiefupdate Sep 16

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have lowered Santos’s price target from A$8.51 to A$8.37 primarily due to concerns over risks to the completion of XRG's acquisition proposal. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite potential risks to the completion of XRG's acquisition proposal as a reason for the downgrade and reduced price target.
Narratiefupdate Aug 27

Securing Long-Term LNG Agreements Will Sustain Cash Flows Beyond 2029

Analysts have revised Santos’ price target upward to A$8.58, primarily reflecting concerns over risks to the XRG acquisition proposal, which has prompted a more cautious outlook. Analyst Commentary Concern over potential risks to XRG's acquisition proposal completing, leading to a more cautious outlook and lower price target.
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Nieuw narratief Feb 23

Securing Long-Term LNG Agreements Will Sustain Cash Flows Beyond 2029

Santos's production is set to increase significantly with new projects, boosting revenue and lowering costs.

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

ASX:STO - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/20287,0181,6472,2214,16111
12/31/20276,9101,6222,1964,27111
12/31/20266,6341,4701,5163,46711
12/31/20254,9398187572,813N/A
9/30/20255,0949237262,888N/A
6/30/20255,2491,0276942,962N/A
3/31/20255,3151,1265722,906N/A
12/31/20245,3811,2244492,850N/A
9/30/20245,5071,2435252,960N/A
6/30/20245,6331,2626013,070N/A
3/31/20245,7611,3397453,164N/A
12/31/20235,8891,4168893,258N/A
9/30/20236,4401,5761,4683,654N/A
6/30/20236,9911,7352,0474,049N/A
3/31/20237,3911,9242,4494,304N/A
12/31/20227,7902,1122,8514,558N/A
9/30/20227,1151,7922,4654,013N/A
6/30/20226,4391,4712,0783,467N/A
3/31/20225,5761,0651,6242,870N/A
12/31/20214,7136581,1692,272N/A
9/30/20214,2364729461,926N/A
6/30/20213,7592867231,580N/A
3/31/20213,573-357151,528N/A
12/31/20203,387-3577061,476N/A
9/30/20203,557-1808221,655N/A
6/30/20203,727-39381,833N/A
3/31/20203,8803361,0541,940N/A
12/31/20194,0336741,1692,046N/A
9/30/20193,994794N/A2,016N/A
6/30/20193,954914N/A1,985N/A
3/31/20193,807772N/A1,782N/A
12/31/20183,660630N/A1,578N/A
9/30/20183,496440N/A1,415N/A
6/30/20183,331250N/A1,252N/A
3/31/20183,216-55N/A1,250N/A
12/31/20173,100-360N/A1,248N/A
9/30/20172,976-404N/A1,219N/A
6/30/20172,852-449N/A1,189N/A
3/31/20172,723-748N/A1,015N/A
12/31/20162,594-1,047N/A840N/A
9/30/20162,483-2,067N/A763N/A
6/30/20162,372-3,087N/A686N/A
3/31/20162,407-2,520N/A749N/A
12/31/20152,442-1,953N/A811N/A
9/30/20152,607-1,363N/A1,000N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei STO ( 13.5% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.6% ).

Winst versus markt: De winst van STO ( 13.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de Australian markt ( 11.3% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van STO zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van STO ( 7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de markt Australian ( 5.7% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van STO ( 7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.


Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel


Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen STO zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 9.1 %).


Ontdek groeibedrijven

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/07/29 16:08
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/07/29 00:00
Inkomsten2025/12/31
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Santos Limited wordt gevolgd door 20 analisten. 11 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Uwan MinogueBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
NEIL BEVERIDGEBernstein