Stock Analysis

What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (NYSE:CHMI)?

If you own shares in Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (NYSE:CHMI) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

See our latest analysis for Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment

What CHMI's beta value tells investors

Looking at the last five years, Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment has a beta of 1.18. The fact that this is well above 1 indicates that its share price movements have shown sensitivity to overall market volatility. If the past is any guide, we would expect that Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Share price volatility is well worth considering, but most long term investors consider the history of revenue and earnings growth to be more important. Take a look at how Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment fares in that regard, below.

NYSE:CHMI Income Statement April 8th 2020
NYSE:CHMI Income Statement April 8th 2020

Could CHMI's size cause it to be more volatile?

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of US$80m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.

What this means for you:

Since Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CHMI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CHMI’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has CHMI been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of CHMI's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how CHMI measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About NYSE:CHMI

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment

A residential real estate finance company, acquires, invests in, and manages residential mortgage assets in the United States.

Slight risk with moderate growth potential.

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