Stock Analysis

What Is Genex Power Limited's (ASX:GNX) Share Price Doing?

ASX:GNX
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Genex Power Limited (ASX:GNX), which is in the renewable energy business, and is based in Australia, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the ASX over the last few months. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Genex Power’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Genex Power

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Is Genex Power still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Genex Power seems to be fairly priced at around 4.8% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Genex Power today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth A$0.22, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. In addition to this, Genex Power has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

What does the future of Genex Power look like?

ASX:GNX Past and Future Earnings, February 3rd 2020
ASX:GNX Past and Future Earnings, February 3rd 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Genex Power’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 68%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? GNX’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GNX, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Genex Power. You can find everything you need to know about Genex Power in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Genex Power, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.