Stock Analysis

MGM Resorts International's (NYSE:MGM) earnings growth rate lags the 12% CAGR delivered to shareholders

NYSE:MGM
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If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) share price is up 70% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Zooming in, the stock is up a respectable 7.2% in the last year.

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

View our latest analysis for MGM Resorts International

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years of share price growth, MGM Resorts International moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:MGM Earnings Per Share Growth April 9th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how MGM Resorts International has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on MGM Resorts International's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between MGM Resorts International's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for MGM Resorts International shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 73%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

MGM Resorts International shareholders gained a total return of 7.2% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 12% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand MGM Resorts International better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for MGM Resorts International (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

Of course MGM Resorts International may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MGM Resorts International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.