Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Nordex (ETR:NDX1) Use Debt?

XTRA:NDX1
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Nordex SE (ETR:NDX1) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Nordex's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Nordex had €299.3m of debt in December 2023, down from €392.4m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has €929.2m in cash, leading to a €629.8m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:NDX1 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024

How Healthy Is Nordex's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nordex had liabilities of €3.67b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €770.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €929.2m and €1.31b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.20b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €2.87b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Nordex's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nordex boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nordex's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Nordex reported revenue of €6.5b, which is a gain of 14%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

So How Risky Is Nordex?

Although Nordex had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of €28m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Nordex you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nordex is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.