Stock Analysis

Nila Infrastructures Limited's (NSE:NILAINFRA) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

NSEI:NILAINFRA
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Nila Infrastructures (NSE:NILAINFRA) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 58% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nila Infrastructures' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Nila Infrastructures

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nila Infrastructures is:

6.3% = ₹86m ÷ ₹1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Nila Infrastructures' Earnings Growth And 6.3% ROE

It is quite clear that Nila Infrastructures' ROE is rather low. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 6.9%. Nila Infrastructures' flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared Nila Infrastructures' net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 11% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:NILAINFRA Past Earnings Growth September 1st 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Nila Infrastructures is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Nila Infrastructures Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Nila Infrastructures' low three-year median payout ratio of 22%, (meaning the company retains78% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Nila Infrastructures can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Nila Infrastructures' past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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