Stock Analysis

LiveHire (ASX:LVH) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

ASX:LVH
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So, the natural question for LiveHire (ASX:LVH) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for LiveHire

When Might LiveHire Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When LiveHire last reported its balance sheet in December 2019, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$27m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$14m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 23 months from December 2019. Importantly, the one analyst we see covering the stock thinks that LiveHire will reach cashflow breakeven in 3 years. That means unless the company reduces its cash burn quickly, it may well look to raise more cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:LVH Debt to Equity History July 27th 2020

How Well Is LiveHire Growing?

At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that LiveHire actually boosted its cash burn by 46%, year on year. But looking on the bright side, its revenue gained by 53%, lending some credence to the growth narrative. Of course, with spend going up shareholders will want to see fast growth continue. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can LiveHire Raise Cash?

Even though it seems like LiveHire is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$62m, LiveHire's AU$14m in cash burn equates to about 22% of its market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About LiveHire's Cash Burn?

On this analysis of LiveHire's cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that at least one analyst is forecasting it will reach breakeven. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 6 warning signs for LiveHire that you should be aware of before investing.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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