Stock Analysis

Is MAV Beauty Brands (TSE:MAV) Using Too Much Debt?

TSX:MAV
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that MAV Beauty Brands Inc. (TSE:MAV) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for MAV Beauty Brands

How Much Debt Does MAV Beauty Brands Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2020 MAV Beauty Brands had debt of US$142.2m, up from US$110.2m in one year. However, it does have US$4.21m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$138.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:MAV Debt to Equity History August 3rd 2020

A Look At MAV Beauty Brands's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, MAV Beauty Brands had liabilities of US$27.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$165.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$4.21m as well as receivables valued at US$33.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$155.2m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$66.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, MAV Beauty Brands would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

MAV Beauty Brands's debt is 4.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.6 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, one redeeming factor is that MAV Beauty Brands grew its EBIT at 20% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MAV Beauty Brands can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, MAV Beauty Brands recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Mulling over MAV Beauty Brands's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider MAV Beauty Brands to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - MAV Beauty Brands has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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