Stock Analysis

Is Ashoka Buildcon (NSE:ASHOKA) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:ASHOKA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Ashoka Buildcon Limited (NSE:ASHOKA) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Ashoka Buildcon

What Is Ashoka Buildcon's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Ashoka Buildcon had ₹58.2b of debt, at March 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had ₹8.06b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹50.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ASHOKA Debt to Equity History September 14th 2020

A Look At Ashoka Buildcon's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ashoka Buildcon had liabilities of ₹44.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹86.5b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹8.06b and ₹18.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹104.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹19.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Ashoka Buildcon would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Ashoka Buildcon's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.3) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.2, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Ashoka Buildcon's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ashoka Buildcon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Ashoka Buildcon recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Ashoka Buildcon's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Ashoka Buildcon's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Ashoka Buildcon you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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