Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Geojit Financial Services' (NSE:GEOJITFSL) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 64%

NSEI:GEOJITFSL
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It is doubtless a positive to see that the Geojit Financial Services Limited (NSE:GEOJITFSL) share price has gained some 97% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. Tragically, the share price declined 64% in that time. So it is really good to see an improvement. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

Check out our latest analysis for Geojit Financial Services

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Geojit Financial Services saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 6.1% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 29% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:GEOJITFSL Earnings Per Share Growth July 26th 2020

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Geojit Financial Services, it has a TSR of -58% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Geojit Financial Services has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 58% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.0% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Geojit Financial Services better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Geojit Financial Services (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Geojit Financial Services is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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