Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, ‘The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital. So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that TriMas Corporation (NASDAQ:TRS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can’t easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company’s debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View 2 warning signs we detected for TriMas
How Much Debt Does TriMas Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2019 TriMas had debt of US$294.4m, up from US$293 in one year. On the flip side, it has US$57.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$236.5m.
How Strong Is TriMas’s Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TriMas had liabilities of US$135.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$387.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$57.9m as well as receivables valued at US$152.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$313.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since TriMas has a market capitalization of US$1.41b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it’s clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
TriMas has net debt of just 1.4 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.4 times the interest expense over the last year. Another good sign is that TriMas has been able to increase its EBIT by 24% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if TriMas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, TriMas generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we’d expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
Happily, TriMas’s impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that’s just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Zooming out, TriMas seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Of course, we wouldn’t say no to the extra confidence that we’d gain if we knew that TriMas insiders have been buying shares: if you’re on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
At the end of the day, it’s often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It’s free.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.
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