GR Engineering Services' (ASX:GNG) Shareholders Are Down 43% On Their Shares

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the GR Engineering Services Limited (ASX:GNG) share price up 21% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 43% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

Check out our latest analysis for GR Engineering Services

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

GR Engineering Services saw its share price decline over the three years in which its EPS also dropped, falling to a loss. Since the company has fallen to a loss making position, it's hard to compare the change in EPS with the share price change. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:GNG Earnings Per Share Growth July 17th 2020

This free interactive report on GR Engineering Services' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

Advertisement

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, GR Engineering Services' TSR for the last 3 years was -33%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While it's never nice to take a loss, GR Engineering Services shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends, their trailing twelve month loss of 4.3% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 6.3%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 2.1% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with GR Engineering Services , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

We will like GR Engineering Services better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you’re looking to trade GR Engineering Services, open an account with the lowest-cost* platform trusted by professionals, Interactive Brokers. Their clients from over 200 countries and territories trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted


New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

About ASX:GNG

GR Engineering Services

Provides engineering, process control, automation, and construction services to the mining and mineral processing industries in Australia and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

JO
Jolt_Communications
MYSE logo
Jolt_Communications on Myseum ·

The Future of Social Sharing Is Private and People Are Ready

Fair Value:US$7.9577.1% undervalued
19 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TO
Tokyo
ASML logo
Tokyo on ASML Holding ·

EU#3 - From Philips Management Buyout to Europe’s Biggest Company

Fair Value:€1.31k7.1% undervalued
27 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
11 users have liked this narrative
YI
BKNG logo
yiannisz on Booking Holdings ·

Booking Holdings: Why Ground-Level Travel Trends Still Favor the Platform Giants

Fair Value:US$5.47k8.5% undervalued
6 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
4 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
SHEL logo
composite32 on Shell ·

A fully integrated LNG business seems to be ignored by the market.

Fair Value:UK£36.122.6% undervalued
35 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

BL
BlackGoat
PLTR logo
BlackGoat on Palantir Technologies ·

Palantir: Redefining Enterprise Software for the AI Era

Fair Value:US$107.0237.0% overvalued
194 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
AN
andre_santos
MSFT logo
andre_santos on Microsoft ·

Microsoft - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Fair Value:US$437.171.6% undervalued
17 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
UN
unknown
MRK logo
unknown on Merck ·

The Oncology Anchor: Why Merck’s 46% Discount Defies the Keytruda Cliff

Fair Value:US$201.5645.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OO
NEO logo
OOO97 on Neo Performance Materials ·

Undervalued Key Player in Magnets/Rare Earth

Fair Value:CA$25.3324.4% undervalued
71 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$253.0224.5% undervalued
1047 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$295.6119.1% undervalued
1342 users have followed this narrative
5 users have commented on this narrative
11 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

JA
jayhcee
MPAA logo
jayhcee on Motorcar Parts of America ·

MPAA often has inventory and core-related timing issues. While this quarter’s problems may ease, similar issues have recurred historically and can persist for several quarters. It's not a one-off, it's a structural part of their business. Core returns are simply estimates: How many customers will actually return the original part; how quickly they'll do so; how many are useable; what they're worth, etc. MPAA predicts X sales in a quarter and Y core returns and its reserves, inventory values, etc. are based on that. If they expect a 90% core return rate and only 80% come back it doesn't change cash but they have to write down inventory and increase cost of goods sold which impacts EPS. They've also cited inventory buildup at key customers multiple times in the past. The assumption the latest backlog will all shift into future quarters this year with no impact on pricing, etc. seems more like wishful thinking. Retailer X was slated to buy $10m in parts this quarter but finds they have a lot more inventory on hand than they anticipated so they pushed the order. Realistically there are likely to be SKU cuts, reduction in safety stock on others, etc. Assuming that all $10m will come in this year plus the regular replenishment seems pretty unrealistic. MPAA also has a shaky track record when it comes to new lines and the supposed impact on business. If you look at the EV testing solutions hype back around 2020 that was supposed to diversify them beyond traditional reman and be a higher margin business that would grow with EV adoption. But it has never turned into a material contributor. The debt reduction and stock buy backs are meaningful but IMHO this narrative takes a very optimistic view of things.

0
|
0
Advertisement