There wouldn't be many who think Evertz Technologies Limited's (TSE:ET) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Canada is similar at about 13x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Evertz Technologies hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Evertz Technologies' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 2.9% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company are not good at all, suggesting earnings should decline by 33% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to moderate by 9.2%, which indicates the company should perform poorly indeed.
With this information, it's perhaps strange that Evertz Technologies is trading at a fairly similar P/E in comparison. When earnings shrink rapidly the P/E often shrinks too, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Evertz Technologies currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its earnings forecast is even worse than the struggling market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. In addition, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain this level of performance under these tough market conditions. Unless the company's prospects improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Evertz Technologies, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).
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About TSX:ET
Evertz Technologies
Engages in the design, manufacture, and distribution of video and audio infrastructure solutions for the production, post-production, broadcast, and telecommunications markets in Canada, the United States, and internationally.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.