Does The Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (FRA:HDD) Share Price Fall With The Market?

If you own shares in Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (FRA:HDD) then it’s worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock’s exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it’s worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

See our latest analysis for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

What does HDD’s beta value mean to investors?

Given that it has a beta of 1.23, we can surmise that the Heidelberger Druckmaschinen share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, Heidelberger Druckmaschinen shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Heidelberger Druckmaschinen is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

DB:HDD Income Statement, September 9th 2019
DB:HDD Income Statement, September 9th 2019

Does HDD’s size influence the expected beta?

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of €341m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.

What this means for you:

Since Heidelberger Druckmaschinen has a reasonably high beta, it’s worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it’s well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Heidelberger Druckmaschinen’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for HDD’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for HDD’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has HDD been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of HDD’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how HDD measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.