Did Changing Sentiment Drive Francesca’s Holdings’s (NASDAQ:FRAN) Share Price Down A Disastrous 98%?

Long term investing is the way to go, but that doesn’t mean you should hold every stock forever. We don’t wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding Francesca’s Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:FRAN) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 98%. And it’s not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 97% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 59% in the last 90 days.

We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It’s a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it’s worth keeping in mind there’s more to life than money, anyway.

Check out our latest analysis for Francesca’s Holdings

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it’s a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over five years Francesca’s Holdings’s earnings per share dropped significantly, falling to a loss, with the share price also lower. At present it’s hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price. However, we can say we’d expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.

NasdaqGS:FRAN Past and Future Earnings, August 5th 2019
NasdaqGS:FRAN Past and Future Earnings, August 5th 2019

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Francesca’s Holdings’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Francesca’s Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 97%, against a market gain of about 3.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 55% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares – and the price they paid.

Francesca’s Holdings is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.