Stock Analysis

Chevron (NYSE:CVX) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 13% Share Price Gain

Buying a low-cost index fund will get you the average market return. But in any diversified portfolio of stocks, you'll see some that fall short of the average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) share price is up 13% in the last three years, that falls short of the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 1.8% in the last year.

View our latest analysis for Chevron

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Chevron became profitable within the last three years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NYSE:CVX Past and Future Earnings, October 18th 2019
NYSE:CVX Past and Future Earnings, October 18th 2019

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Chevron's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Chevron, it has a TSR of 27% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Chevron provided a TSR of 2.2% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 4.0% a year, over half a decade) look better. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of Chevron by clicking this link.

Chevron is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About NYSE:CVX

Chevron

Through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
30 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
27 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
49 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

BE
Bejgal
MNSO logo
Bejgal on MINISO Group Holding ·

MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x

Fair Value:US$26.225.4% undervalued
50 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
BE
Bejgal
FVRR logo
Bejgal on Fiverr International ·

Fiverr International will transform the freelance industry with AI-powered growth

Fair Value:US$43.3352.3% undervalued
84 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
LRN logo
yiannisz on Stride ·

Stride Stock: Online Education Finds Its Second Act

Fair Value:US$5126.5% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
121 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.7% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
969 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative