Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, BSL Limited (NSE:BSL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does BSL Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that BSL had ₹1.55b of debt in March 2020, down from ₹1.72b, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At BSL's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that BSL had liabilities of ₹2.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹307.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹18.2m and ₹697.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹247.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, BSL would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.87 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3 hit our confidence in BSL like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Fortunately, BSL grew its EBIT by 8.0% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since BSL will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, BSL actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
On the face of it, BSL's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that BSL has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BSL that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NSEI:BSL
BSL
A textile company, manufactures and sells various yarns and fabrics in India and internationally.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.