Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About XPS Pensions Group plc's (LON:XPS) Share Price

LSE:XPS
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When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may consider XPS Pensions Group plc (LON:XPS) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, XPS Pensions Group has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for XPS Pensions Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:XPS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 13th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on XPS Pensions Group.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like XPS Pensions Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.6%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 146% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 24% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that XPS Pensions Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On XPS Pensions Group's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that XPS Pensions Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with XPS Pensions Group, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether XPS Pensions Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.