Stock Analysis

Peninsula Energy Limited's (ASX:PEN) Profit Outlook

ASX:PEN
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Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Peninsula Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a uranium exploration company in the United States. The company’s loss has recently broadened since it announced a US$3.5m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$9.3m, moving it further away from breakeven. As path to profitability is the topic on Peninsula Energy's investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

Check out our latest analysis for Peninsula Energy

According to the 3 industry analysts covering Peninsula Energy, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2024, before generating positive profits of US$2.7m in 2025. So, the company is predicted to breakeven just over a year from now. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2025? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 61% year-on-year, on average, which is extremely buoyant. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:PEN Earnings Per Share Growth April 16th 2024

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Peninsula Energy's upcoming projects, however, bear in mind that by and large energy companies, depending on the stage of operation and resource produced, have irregular periods of cash flow. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we’d like to point out is that Peninsula Energy has no debt on its balance sheet, which is quite unusual for a cash-burning oil and gas company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Peninsula Energy which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Peninsula Energy, take a look at Peninsula Energy's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of important aspects you should further examine:

  1. Valuation: What is Peninsula Energy worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Peninsula Energy is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Peninsula Energy’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Peninsula Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.