Stock Analysis

Aarvi Encon Limited's (NSE:AARVI) Share Price Boosted 33% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NSEI:AARVI
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Aarvi Encon Limited (NSE:AARVI) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Aarvi Encon's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Aarvi Encon's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Aarvi Encon

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:AARVI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 13th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Aarvi Encon will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Aarvi Encon?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Aarvi Encon's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 14%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aarvi Encon's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Aarvi Encon's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Aarvi Encon revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aarvi Encon.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aarvi Encon is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.