Talen Energy 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 4/6
Talen Energy (는) 각각 연간 31.3% 및 9% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 34.8% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 94.4% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
31.3%
이익 성장률
34.77%
EPS 성장률
| Renewable Energy 이익 성장 | 24.5% |
| 매출 성장률 | 9.0% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 94.38% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 06 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
TLN: Data Center Demand And Nuclear Transition Will Drive Future Upside
The updated analyst price target for Talen Energy rises by about $7 to reflect higher modeled fair value, slightly adjusted discount rate assumptions, and modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin estimates, even as some recent Street research has moved individual targets both up and down. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Talen Energy shows a wide range of price target changes as analysts refresh their views on valuation, growth potential, and execution risks.Talen Energy: Acquisitions Strengthen Prospects
Summary Talen Energy's stock price has underwhelmed in 2026, after an 86% uptick last year. Here I argue, though, that it's only because its long-term prospects aren't priced in yet. Its three recent natural gas asset acquisitions add notably to the company's production capacity as well as to its financials, like adjusted EBITDA and FCF. While its forward EV/EBITDA is elevated in the short-to-medium term compared with peers, over the next five years, along with the forward P/E, it looks attractive. The only drawback to TLN now is the move away from purely clean energy sources like nuclear, which can limit its appeal to investors focused on decarbonization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTLN: Data Center And Nuclear Projects Will Shape A Cautious Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Talen Energy, citing updated assumptions for fair value to $388.56, a higher discount rate, stronger modeled revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple based on recent research updates across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Talen Energy shows a mix of views, with both bullish and bearish analysts adjusting their assumptions around fair value, discount rates, and earnings power.TLN: PJM Power Prices And Nuclear Shift Will Recast Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Talen Energy by $2 to $27 in recent updates, citing adjustments to their models that reflect slightly different assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while still incorporating a mix of cautious and constructive views from recent research. Analyst Commentary Street research on Talen Energy has been mixed, with some investors dialing back their expectations and others still highlighting upside based on updated cash flow and earnings assumptions.TLN: PJM Power Prices And Data Center Demand Will Recast Earnings Power
Analysts have adjusted the Talen Energy price target to $548, trimming their fair value view while citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that reflect recent shifts in sector research and company specific debates across firms such as JPMorgan, BNP Paribas, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and Seaport Research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Talen Energy centers on how quickly analysts are recalibrating their models, with several firms revisiting price targets in light of updated sector work, valuation frameworks, and upcoming earnings discussions.TLN: New Gas Fleet And Data Center Demand Will Drive Upside
Analysts have nudged their Talen Energy price expectations higher, with recent target increases to $457, $473 and $474, tied to updated views on utilities, Q4 earnings discussions and revised EBITDA and free cash flow assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of upward price target revisions for Talen Energy, giving you a clearer view of how the Street is thinking about valuation, execution and growth prospects around upcoming catalysts like Q4 earnings.Nuclear Resurgence: Powering the AI Grid of Tomorrow
Talen Energy (TLN) is at the epicenter of the 2026 energy rotation, with shares trading around $382 as investors scramble for reliable, "always-on" carbon-free power. The company's crown jewel, the Susquehanna nuclear plant, has become one of the most valuable assets in the PJM Interconnection grid.TLN: New Gas Assets Will Support Future Data Center Power Demand
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Talen Energy higher, with recent moves such as Morgan Stanley's adjustment to $474 from $473, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Talen Energy have centered on valuation tweaks, earnings expectations and how the stock fits within the broader utilities and independent power producer group.TLN: Caithness Closing And PJM Power Prices Will Recast Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Talen Energy by a wide margin, with recent increases of $5, $27, $61 and a move to $457, citing updated EBITDA and free cash flow estimates, expectations around the Caithness transaction closing by late 2025, and higher forward power prices in PJM as key drivers behind the higher fair value estimate of $557.02. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been revisiting their fair value frameworks for Talen Energy, with several research updates pointing to higher assumed earnings power and cash generation.TLN: Caithness Deal And PJM Power Prices Will Reshape Earnings Power
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Talen Energy higher by around $6 per share, citing modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margins, along with slightly adjusted discount rate and P/E assumptions based on recent research updates from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Talen Energy has leaned positive, with several bullish analysts adjusting their valuation work and lifting price targets.TLN: Data Center Demand And Caithness Deal Will Reshape Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their blended price target on Talen Energy to about US$557 from roughly US$399, citing updated assumptions that reflect recent price target increases across the Street, the planned closing of the Caithness transaction by late 2025, higher forward power prices in PJM, and growing attention on Talen's role in supporting data center demand. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent set of price target moves on Talen Energy as a re-marking of the stock to reflect updated deal assumptions, power market inputs in PJM, and rising visibility into data center related demand.TLN: Future Data Center Demand And PJM Pricing Will Drive Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target for Talen Energy by $24 to reflect stronger forward power prices in PJM, the expected closing of the Caithness transaction, and growing conviction in the company’s margin resilience and data center driven growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Talen Energy has been broadly constructive, with multiple price target increases reflecting higher forward power prices in PJM, the anticipated completion of the Caithness transaction, and rising conviction in data center driven growth.TLN: Rising Data Center Demand Will Drive Long-Term Cash Flow Expansion
Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Talen Energy slightly higher to about $450 per share, citing the anticipated earnings uplift from the Caithness acquisition by late 2025, stronger forward PJM power prices, and ongoing data center driven demand tailwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Talen, with a steady cadence of target hikes and positive rating reiterations tied to improving fundamentals in PJM, growing data center demand, and the integration of the Caithness assets.TLN: Increasing Demand For Data Center Power Will Drive Long-Term Cash Flow Expansion
Talen Energy's analyst fair value estimate has been revised upward from $445.35 to $448.97. This change reflects analysts' increased confidence in the company's data center pipeline opportunities and robust cash flow outlook.TLN: Cash Flow Expansion Will Drive Upside on Data Center Demand
Talen Energy's analyst price target has increased by approximately $6 to $445, as analysts cite robust fundamentals in the independent power sector, as well as expectations of continued cash flow growth and data center demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research indicates that analysts are broadly constructive on Talen Energy’s prospects, following a series of price target increases and positive assessments around the company’s growth potential, sector positioning, and evolving data center demand.Analyst Commentary Highlights Talen Energy’s Modest Valuation Upside and Strategic Growth Developments
Talen Energy’s analyst price target has risen modestly, up by $5 to $439. This increase reflects improved outlooks for revenue growth, profit margin, and sector cash flows as highlighted by recent analyst discussions.US Electricity Demand And Nuclear Expansion Will Shape Markets
Talen Energy’s analyst price target has increased from approximately $428 to $434 per share. Analysts cite stronger guidance, bullish peer trends, and a robust backdrop for power producers as drivers behind the upward revision.US Electricity Demand And Nuclear Expansion Will Shape Markets
Analysts have raised Talen Energy's price target to $428.47, citing upside from conservative long-term guidance, incremental value from new PPAs (particularly with data center clients), strong PJM market positioning, and enhanced capital returns, while noting some need for increased disclosure on gas marketing and contracts. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight conservative long-term guidance through 2028, suggesting upside potential as the company executes beyond stated targets.US Electricity Demand And Nuclear Expansion Will Shape Markets
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Talen Energy, citing transformative AI-related demand growth, lucrative PPAs, and robust M&A prospects as key drivers for future value creation, with the consensus price target unchanged at $398.66. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight the transformative impact of AI adoption on the energy sector, forecasting a “Power revolution” that positions Talen among potential new industry leaders.Here's Why We Think Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Should You Investigate Talen Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:TLN) At US$276?
Let's talk about the popular Talen Energy Corporation ( NASDAQ:TLN ). The company's shares saw a significant share...Talen Energy Benefits From Growing Power Demand
Summary Talen Energy, valued at nearly $10 billion, is aggressively growing peak power demand and boasts a strong dispatchable fleet, driving impressive FCF and shareholder returns. The company reported nearly $1 billion in FY GAAP net income and executed $1 billion in share repurchases, buying back 22% of its shares. Talen Energy's dynamic hedging program and robust growth in FCF and EBITDA position it well for future profitability, despite potential regulatory hurdles with AWS. With significant renewable power assets and a focus on datacenter power demand, Talen Energy is poised for substantial long-term shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: Exaggerated Fears Provides Upside
Summary Talen's aggressive commercial strategy and hedging position it to benefit from rising energy prices, with significant exposure to the PJM grid (largest in the US). Amazon's co-location deal boosts EBITDA, especially in 2026, and regulatory issues are expected to be resolved by 2028. Consensus estimates project cash earnings to grow over 30% on average through 2027. I rate TLN a Buy due to its strong assets, commercial strategy, and potential for significant upside, with a YE26 price target of $387. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaDowngrading Talen Energy To Hold Due To High Valuations
Summary Hedge funds are betting on utilities like Talen Energy and Vistra Corp., but Talen Energy's valuation is too high at a 23.4x P/E. Talen's involvement in Bitcoin mining and regulatory issues with FERC over its AWS power deal raise concerns about its growth and profitability. Despite higher power prices, increased natural gas costs mean TLN's future profitability remains similar to previous years, not higher. I prefer investing in grid infrastructure companies like GE Vernova or cheaper utilities like National Grid plc, which offer growth without regulatory uncertainty. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: Supply And Demand Have Never Been So Far Apart
Summary PJM has updated future load projections. The revisions over 2024 projections are astronomical. Future demands are so large, supply can't possibly keep up. The power savings potential introduced by Deep Seek is a necessary step to keep the power production problem both realistic and solvable. Power generators with existing assets are still sitting in the driver's seat. I maintain my $300/share price target, but am optimistic about the potential for future capacity prices in the 2026/2027 auction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: Powering Sustainable Growth
Summary Talen Energy Corp. is a mission-driven company focused on sustainable solutions, showing remarkable financial turnaround and strong growth, making it a 'Strong Buy.' TLN's Q3 2024 highlights include a shift from a $77M net loss in Q3 2023 to a $168M net income. TLN's strategic initiatives, including asset sales and refinancing, enhance liquidity and shareholder returns, with a $1B share repurchase program signaling strong confidence. Despite potential risks, TLN's undervalued P/E ratio and alignment with rising energy demand position it as a valuable long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaVistra Corp. Vs. Talen Energy: Where To Follow The Smart Money?
Summary Vistra Corp. is up over 260% YTD, driven by strong fundamentals and a bullish outlook on electricity demand growth, especially from AI-driven data centers. Vistra's inclusion in the S&P 500 and its ownership of battery energy storage systems make it a more attractive investment than Talen Energy. Vistra's strategic focus on zero-carbon electricity and significant capex plans position it well for future growth, despite potential risks from commodity price fluctuations. VST trades at a more attractive forward EV/EBITDA multiple compared to peers, making it a compelling choice for investors seeking exposure to the power demand boom. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: Staying At Full Throttle Despite Regulatory Setbacks
Summary The Sierra Clubs assert that the PJM auction is faulty displays its lack of understanding of energy markets. Over 60% of near-term generation that is under construction in the PJM market is solar, which has a capacity factor of only 12%. I have increased my price target to $300/share from $260/share. This implies 40% upside at current market prices. TLN may join the Russell 1000 and the S&P 500 indices in 2025, creating more exposure for the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: High Voltage Growth
Summary Talen's aggressive commercial strategy and significant exposure to market electricity prices position it to benefit from high demand drivers like hot weather and AI data centers. The Amazon PPA, scaling up to 960MW by 2034, offers long-term incremental cash flow and enhances Talen's valuation and growth potential. Increased EBITDA guidance for 2025/2026 and a higher price target of US$220, driven by AI data center demand and a US$1.2bn buyback. Despite some regulatory risks, Talen's generation assets are well-positioned for higher electricity demand and prices, making it a buy recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: Own 2 Nuclear Plants With A Behind-The-Meter Data Center Contract For Massive Growth
Summary Talen Energy will massively benefit from improved PJM capacity auction prices, premium data center contracts with Amazon, and rising whole sale electricity prices. The company's Susquehanna Nuclear Station has downside protection through the Inflation Reduction Act, cementing a lucrative margin. Large increases in FCF are due to changing market conditions and requires little to no capital spending on TLN's part. TLN will be a beneficiary of an underinvested market. I rate TLN as a BUY with 60% upside in 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMounting Risks Shadow Revenue Prospects Amid Regulatory And Market Uncertainties
Reliance on PJM capacity markets and regulatory challenges with AWS deals may lead to revenue volatility and unpredictable earnings.Talen Energy Brings 'Shockingly' Good News
Summary Talen Energy is an independent power producer and infrastructure business focusing on nuclear, fossil fuels, and green energy. Recent transactions, including selling assets and securing deals with Amazon, have positioned Talen Energy for growth and increased revenue. A surge in electricity prices in the PJM Interconnection market is expected to benefit TLN, making it a favorable investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTalen Energy: The More I Learned About Nuclear Power, The More Bullish I Became
Summary The investment story for Talen begins with the Company's 2022 bankruptcy. The bankruptcy process allowed Talen to clean up its balance sheet by converting debt liabilities to equity capital. Talen's new management team resolved a pragmatic strategy for Talen 2.0. The stock has appreciated substantially; however, I believe there is significant upside remaining. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,885 | 1,429 | 1,706 | 2,183 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,664 | 1,314 | 1,526 | 1,867 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,227 | 1,004 | 1,190 | 1,647 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,365 | -21 | 835 | 1,046 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,626 | -219 | 498 | 704 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,343 | 226 | 226 | 434 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,128 | 187 | -160 | 41 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 2,087 | 569 | 15 | 202 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,073 | 998 | 67 | 256 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 2,016 | 1,098 | 263 | 468 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,105 | 853 | 337 | 553 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,128 | 428 | 9 | 293 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,439 | 134 | 516 | 864 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,671 | 117 | 203 | 604 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,872 | -106 | 197 | 624 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,888 | -712 | 530 | 919 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,412 | -1,289 | -125 | 187 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,775 | -977 | -518 | -294 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 4,230 | 174 | N/A | 586 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,312 | -315 | N/A | 620 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,563 | -286 | N/A | 743 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,481 | -341 | N/A | 768 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 6,287 | -130 | N/A | 728 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 6,568 | 365 | N/A | 527 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: TLN 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.5%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: TLN (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: TLN 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: TLN 의 수익(연간 9%)이 US 시장(연간 11.5%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: TLN 의 수익(연간 9%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: TLN의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 94.4%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/07 19:59 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
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| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
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| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
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| 경영진 | 10년 |
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| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Talen Energy Corporation는 26명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 8명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Nicholas Campanella | Barclays |
| Moses Sutton | BNP Paribas |
| Ross Fowler | BofA Global Research |