Lumentum Holdings 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 6/6
Lumentum Holdings (는) 각각 연간 74.5% 및 47.8% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 70.5% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 57% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
74.5%
이익 성장률
70.48%
EPS 성장률
| Communications 이익 성장 | 21.4% |
| 매출 성장률 | 47.8% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 57.02% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 21 Apr 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Lumentum Stock: Why I'm Buying In After A 1300% Run-Up
Apr 27
LITE: Nvidia Capacity Commitments Will Test AI Optics Execution Risk
The analyst fair value estimate for Lumentum has shifted from $655.55 to $773.35. This change reflects higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins, as analysts factor in rising AI driven optical demand and recent multi firm price target increases tied to Nvidia related commitments and broader industry capacity expectations.
LITE: Nvidia Capacity Deal And AI Optics Demand Will Drive Future Upside
The updated analyst price target for Lumentum rises from $900 to about $1,034 per share, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher profit margin assumptions linked to AI related optical demand, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lumentum Holdings centers on how AI driven optical demand, new customer commitments, and updated industry forecasts are feeding into higher price targets and refreshed views on risk and reward.LITE: AI Infrastructure Optics And Nvidia Capacity Commitments Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Lumentum to $900, reflecting a series of sharply higher Street price targets and updated assumptions for stronger revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple tied to expanding AI infrastructure demand and long term optical supply commitments. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lumentum points to a clear shift in tone from the Street, with a cluster of price target revisions and fresh coverage reflecting renewed attention on the company’s role in AI driven optical demand.LITE: AI Optics Commitments And Nvidia Backing Will Test Execution
Our fair value estimate for Lumentum has been raised from $571.45 to $655.55, reflecting analysts' higher price targets that are tied to increased earnings power expectations and long term purchase commitments from large customers in advanced optical components. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lumentum points to a cluster of higher price targets and fresh long term commitments from large customers, especially in advanced optical components tied to AI data centers.LITE: AI Optics Hype Will Test Rich P E On Execution Risks
Lumentum's updated analyst price target moves to $645 from $525, with analysts pointing to higher assumed revenue growth of 51.47%, a profit margin of 25.14%, and a P/E of 30.38 in their refreshed models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lumentum has become more active, with a series of price target increases clustered over the past few months and one high profile caution flag from JPMorgan.
LITE: AI Optics Hype Will Likely Outpace Real Data Center Demand
Analysts have lifted their price targets and fair value estimates for Lumentum, with one set of assumptions now pointing to fair value of about $433.09. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E after a series of recent target hikes and upgrades across the Street.After Leaping 27% Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Feb 06
LITE: AI Data Center Optics Will Shape Future Multiple With Execution Risks
Analysts have raised their price targets on Lumentum from roughly $180 to $210 in several recent reports, citing stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. Together, these factors support a higher fair value estimate now modeled around $348 per share, up from about $255.LITE: AI Connectivity Euphoria Will Likely Outrun Realistic Earnings Delivery
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Lumentum Holdings to $140.00 from $100.15, citing higher assumed revenue growth and profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lumentum points to strong enthusiasm around its role in optical connectivity for AI and cloud infrastructure, but there are also clear notes of caution that are worth your attention.LITE: AI Data Center Optics And Switch Demand Will Drive Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Lumentum Holdings from $165.00 to $380.00, citing stronger than expected AI driven data center optics demand, accelerating optical circuit switch adoption tied to Google TPU ramps, and improved long term growth visibility despite a slightly lower projected profit margin. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain largely constructive on Lumentum, framing the latest round of price target increases as a response to a strengthening AI infrastructure cycle and the company’s improving execution against its data center roadmap.Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LITE) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 44% Share Price Bounce
Dec 16LITE: AI Optical Demand Will Drive Future Multiple But Limit Near-Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Lumentum Holdings, raising it from roughly $230 to about $255 per share, as they grow more confident that surging AI driven demand for data center optics and optical circuit switches will support faster revenue growth and a higher future earnings multiple, despite modestly lower margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a broadly constructive outlook on Lumentum, with a notable cluster of target price increases reflecting growing confidence in the durability of AI driven optical demand and the company’s execution on its product roadmap.LITE: Surging AI Demand Will Expose Shares To Near-Term Downside Risk
The analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings has been raised from $217.75 to $231.33. Analysts cite stronger revenue growth trends, improving profit margins, and heightened demand for the company's optical and laser technologies as contributing factors, driven by AI and data center market expansion.Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Nov 12LITE: Near-Term AI Demand Surge Will Risk Disappointment Amid Tight Margins
The analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings has been significantly raised from $163.85 to $217.75 per share. This reflects analyst confidence in robust demand for AI-driven optical connectivity, improved margins, and growth prospects following the company's recent earnings outperformance and strengthened guidance.Optical Demand Will Strengthen Cloud And AI Expansion Amid Rising Industry Momentum
Lumentum Holdings' analyst price target has increased significantly from $146.16 to $163.85 per share, as analysts cite robust demand for datacom components, positive earnings momentum, and ongoing AI-driven infrastructure investment in raising their outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Lumentum Holdings highlight a mix of optimism and caution in reaction to strong business momentum and evolving industry dynamics.Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets
Lumentum Holdings' analyst price target has increased modestly to $146 from $144. Analysts point to strong demand for datacom components, supply constraints, and momentum in AI-driven optical networking as key drivers behind the upward revision.Revenues Tell The Story For Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) As Its Stock Soars 29%
Oct 02Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets
Lumentum Holdings' analyst price target has been raised as strong near-term AI datacenter demand for EML lasers, favorable product mix, and robust order growth drive upward guidance and margin strength, offset by some valuation concerns, with fair value now seen at $143.79. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong near-term demand momentum, particularly for 200G EML lasers in AI-driven data center infrastructure, with supply ramping to meet significant order growth.Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets
Upward revisions to Lumentum’s price target reflect strong Q4 results, robust datacom and AI-driven demand, and greater business resilience beyond Cloud, though some caution that recent gains may already be reflected in valuations; consensus fair value has nudged up from $138.26 to $139.84. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Lumentum’s very strong Q4 results and above-consensus Q1 guidance, powered by robust demand for datacom components and record EML shipments, fueled further by AI infrastructure investments.Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets
Analysts remain optimistic on Lumentum Holdings due to strong Q4 results, robust guidance, and accelerating AI and cloud infrastructure demand, though some express valuation concerns after recent stock gains; consequently, the consensus price target remains unchanged at $135.59. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite very strong Q4 results and robust guidance, driven by strength in datacom components (especially EMLs and transceivers) and record Cloud module growth, benefiting from accelerated AI infrastructure spending and heightened demand from hyperscalers.Should You Investigate Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) At US$85.78?
Jun 17Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) Stocks Shoot Up 50% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
May 20Would Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
May 16
Cloud And AI Markets Will Power Future Manufacturing Capacity
Expansion in laser transmitter chips and optical circuit switch production is expected to boost revenue growth through increased capacity in cloud and AI markets.Lumentum: Improvements Finally Come Through
Apr 22Lumentum Holdings: Upgrade To Strong Buy As Earnings Validate My Bull Thesis
Feb 14이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 7,294 | 1,989 | 2,404 | 2,203 | 12 |
| 6/30/2027 | 5,065 | 1,213 | 866 | 1,140 | 21 |
| 6/30/2026 | 2,924 | 388 | 247 | 522 | 21 |
| 12/27/2025 | 2,105 | 252 | -29 | 247 | N/A |
| 9/27/2025 | 1,842 | 113 | -88 | 145 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 1,645 | 26 | -105 | 126 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 1,473 | -440 | -104 | 98 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 1,414 | -523 | -67 | 92 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 1,379 | -561 | -84 | 67 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 1,359 | -546 | -112 | 25 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 1,422 | -354 | -110 | 38 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 1,439 | -266 | -97 | 60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,578 | -199 | -10 | 157 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 1,767 | -132 | 51 | 180 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 1,818 | -37 | 124 | 245 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,830 | 29 | 197 | 307 | N/A |
| 10/1/2022 | 1,771 | 117 | 322 | 418 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 1,713 | 199 | 368 | 459 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 1,683 | 186 | 388 | 469 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 1,707 | 385 | 696 | 774 | N/A |
| 10/2/2021 | 1,739 | 412 | 610 | 696 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 1,743 | 397 | 644 | 739 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 1,719 | 371 | 640 | 737 | N/A |
| 12/26/2020 | 1,702 | 189 | 408 | 508 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 1,681 | 155 | 448 | 542 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 1,679 | 136 | 434 | 524 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 1,715 | 114 | 375 | 529 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 1,745 | -3 | 257 | 420 | N/A |
| 9/28/2019 | 1,661 | -36 | N/A | 360 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 1,565 | -38 | N/A | 330 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 1,462 | 20 | N/A | 240 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 1,328 | 97 | N/A | 292 | N/A |
| 9/29/2018 | 1,359 | 281 | N/A | 295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,248 | 242 | N/A | 248 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,169 | 154 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 1,126 | 95 | N/A | 144 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 987 | -93 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 1,002 | -103 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 1,021 | -34 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 995 | 14 | N/A | 89 | N/A |
| 10/1/2016 | 949 | 3 | N/A | 112 | N/A |
| 7/2/2016 | 903 | -3 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 4/2/2016 | 870 | -33 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 12/26/2015 | 839 | -13 | N/A | 46 | N/A |
| 9/26/2015 | 831 | -18 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 6/27/2015 | 837 | -3 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: LITE 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(74.5%)이 saving rate(3.4%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: LITE 의 연간 수익(74.5%)이 US 시장(16.1%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: LITE 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: LITE 의 수익(연간 47.8%)이 US 시장(연간 11%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: LITE 의 수익(연간 47.8%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: LITE의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 57%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/04/30 07:20 |
| 종가 | 2026/04/29 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2025/12/27 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/06/28 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Lumentum Holdings Inc.는 30명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 21명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Skye Chen | Aletheia Analyst Network Limited |
| Thomas O'Malley | Barclays |
| Karl Ackerman | BNP Paribas |