Applied Optoelectronics 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
Applied Optoelectronics은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 148.1%와 86.4% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 147.6%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
148.1%
이익 성장률
147.58%
EPS 성장률
| Communications 이익 성장 | 20.1% |
| 매출 성장률 | 86.4% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Low |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 31 Jul 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 06
AAOI: Potential China Ban And AI Demand May Support Further Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics by about $7. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E multiple following recent price target updates on the stock.Seeking Alpha • Jul 29
Applied Optoelectronics Expects Record Level Revenue For Q2 With Positive Outlook For FY2026
Summary Applied Optoelectronics will report Q2 financial results next week on August 6th. The company expects another record-setting revenue and has even higher expectations for Q3 and Q4 as it ramps up production capacity. The company's products are in high demand from AI computing and datacenter buildouts. The stock price is up 288% over the last twelve months, although it has fallen more than 60% from its 52-week high. I change my rating from a Buy to a Hold due to sector volatility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 22
AAOI: Hyperscale AI Capacity Expansion Will Likely Support Further Share Upside
Analysts raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics by $6, citing updated fair value estimates around $157 and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple that is in line with recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Applied Optoelectronics points to a reassessment of fair value, with analysts updating their models and price targets based on revised P/E assumptions and refreshed views on the company’s ability to execute on its plans.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 24
AAOI: AI Optics Demand And US Capacity Buildout Will Drive Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics to $220.00 from $190.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their valuation work. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Applied Optoelectronics signal a more constructive stance from bullish analysts, who are revisiting their assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation.분석 기사 • Jun 17
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Stock Could Be 119% Overvalued After AI Optics Rally
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) stock is back in focus after a series of AI related catalysts, including a Texas manufacturing expansion, stronger QuantumLink software ties with Spectrum, and public support for optics from Nvidia’s CEO. See our latest analysis for Applied Optoelectronics. After surging on AI infrastructure enthusiasm and the expanded QuantumLink deal with Spectrum, Applied Optoelectronics’ share price has recently pulled back, with a 1-day share price return of 10.83% down and...
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 06
AAOI: Heavy Dependence On One 1.6T Order Will Restrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics by $3.50 to $57.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E multiples following recent research that highlights large 1.6T transceiver orders and expectations for meaningful customer demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics has focused heavily on large 1.6T transceiver orders and the implications these contracts could have for long term revenue, profitability, and valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • May 23
AAOI: Hyperscale Order Concentration Will Likely Limit Future Share Upside
Analysts lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics from about $90 to about $151, citing higher fair value estimates, updated revenue and margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple, informed by recent research highlighting large transceiver orders and ongoing demand for 400G and 800G products. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Applied Optoelectronics focus on higher price targets, large transceiver orders, and shifting views on the risk and reward profile as demand for 400G and 800G products develops.분석 기사 • May 11
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Price Target To US$151
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ), given that the company...내러티브 업데이트 • May 02
AAOI: Hyperscale Orders And US Capacity Expansion Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics The analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been reset from $140 to $190. Analysts point to the recently announced over $200 million 1.6T transceiver order from a long-term customer, which is viewed as consistent with ongoing demand for 400G and upcoming 800G deployments across major cloud accounts.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 18
AAOI: Large Hyperscale Transceiver Orders Will Ultimately Struggle To Justify Current Expectations
Analysts lifted their price target framework for Applied Optoelectronics sharply, with fair value rising from $50.00 to $140.00. They point to the new over $200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer, expected strength in 400G, and anticipated 800G demand starting in Q2 as key supports for higher projected revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 03
AAOI: Concentrated Hyperscale Orders Will Likely Cap Future Share Returns
Analysts have raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, supported by a higher fair value estimate of $90.30 and recent research that reflects a more constructive view on large 1.6T, 400G, and 800G transceiver orders from cloud customers. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the over US$200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer as a meaningful proof point that large cloud buyers are committing real dollars to Applied Optoelectronics' higher speed products.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 02
The Company Powering AI’s Data Traffic, Not Its Headlines
Rating: Speculative Buy / High Risk Style: AI infrastructure “picks-and-shovels” growth name Core debate: Is AAOI a genuine bottleneck asset in AI networking, or a cyclical optics supplier temporarily enjoying peak demand and peak multiples? Executive view Applied Optoelectronics is no longer just a small-cap optical component company.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 20
AAOI: Heavy Reliance On One Hyperscale Order Will Limit Future Upside
Analysts lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics from $15 to $54, reflecting updated views that stronger 400G and 800G demand, large 1.6T transceiver orders, and higher projected revenue growth and profit margins could justify a higher fair value and future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics highlights both strong interest in high speed optical products and a wide range of opinions on what that might mean for the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 06
AAOI: Amazon Reliance And Unproven 800G Ramp Will Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have sharply raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, with one increase from $15 to $54. They cite continued strength in 400G products and the expectation that 800G will begin contributing incremental growth from Q2, particularly supported by firm demand from a key customer such as Amazon.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 20
AAOI: New Facility And AI Transceiver Demand Will Support Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth of 82.48%, profit margins of 16.73%, and a future P/E of 12.31x. What's in the News Held a groundbreaking ceremony for a new 210,000 square foot manufacturing facility at 1111 Gillingham St. in Sugar Land, Texas, expanding its physical footprint for future production capacity (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 05
AAOI: Houston Automation Strength And Amazon Expectations Will Shape A Measured Outlook
Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics Analysts now frame Applied Optoelectronics' outlook around a split view, with one firm lifting its price target to $35 after a site visit that highlighted manufacturing capabilities, while another reiterates a $15 target and a Sell rating based on valuation concerns and what it calls ambitious 2026 revenue expectations tied to the Amazon opportunity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics splits into two camps, with some analysts highlighting upside linked to manufacturing strength and others questioning how much of the potential growth story is already reflected in the share price.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 22
AAOI: InP Lasers And Automation Will Support Future AI Transceiver Leadership
Analysts have lifted their blended price target range for Applied Optoelectronics toward the mid teens to mid $30s, reflecting mixed views that balance concerns about valuation and ambitious revenue assumptions with confidence in the company's InP laser capabilities and highly automated transceiver production. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics shows a clear split between bullish analysts who see upside from the company’s technology and production capabilities and more cautious voices focused on valuation and execution risk.분석 기사 • Jan 21
Revenues Tell The Story For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Despite an already strong run, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 07
AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Contract Expectations Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics from $30.60 to $36.60, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E after recent research visits and valuation checks that highlighted both the company’s manufacturing capabilities and differing views on how much of the Amazon opportunity is already priced in. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Applied Optoelectronics presents a split view, with some analysts focusing on the company’s operational strengths and others pointing to valuation risks and ambitious revenue assumptions tied to the Amazon opportunity.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 23
AAOI: InP Laser And Transceiver Automation Will Support Structurally Stronger Margins
We raise our fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics to $50 from $34, reflecting analysts' higher confidence in the company's laser and transceiver capabilities and structurally stronger margins, even as some caution that the current share price already embeds aggressive growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Applied Optoelectronics' differentiated position in indium phosphide, or InP, laser epitaxy and advanced transceiver manufacturing as key reasons for raising price targets and assigning favorable ratings.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 09
AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Opportunity Will Shape A Measured Future Outlook
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, with the blended target edging higher by about $5 to approximately $35. They highlight the company’s strengthened InP laser and automated transceiver manufacturing capabilities while still cautioning that valuation already reflects much of the anticipated Amazon-driven upside.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 25
AAOI: Expanded Manufacturing in Texas Will Drive Future Industry Leadership
Applied Optoelectronics' analyst price target has increased from $28.40 to $30.60. This change reflects analysts' recognition of stronger operational capabilities and advanced production efficiencies amid ongoing debates over growth prospects and valuation.분석 기사 • Nov 14
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 05
AAOI: Future Market Share Gains Will Depend On Successful Capacity Expansions
Analysts have raised their price target for Applied Optoelectronics from $18 to $25. This change reflects expectations for increased datacenter optical market share and further sales growth resulting from new awards, capacity expansions, and favorable industry dynamics.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Targets for Applied Optoelectronics Amid Growth Optimism and Valuation Adjustments
Analysts have increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, raising it by $1.20. This change reflects growing optimism driven by expectations of expanded market share and a stronger sales outlook.분석 기사 • Sep 16
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Shoot Up 32% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last...내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27
US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion
Despite optimism around Applied Optoelectronics’ long-term market share gains, upcoming sales growth, and favorable geopolitical tailwinds, the consensus analyst price target has been reduced from $29.50 to $27.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see strong potential for 2026 sales growth driven by new customer awards.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 10
US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion
Despite a substantial improvement in net profit margin and a sharp decline in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been revised downward from $31.33 to $29.50. What's in the News Provided Q3 2025 revenue guidance of $115 million to $127 million.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 24
Texas Expansion And New Transceivers Will Fuel Next-Generation Networks
Ramp-up of high-capacity transceiver products and capital investments signal potential revenue growth through increased sales volume in AI-focused datacenter architectures.Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
Applied Optoelectronics: Sell The Rally
Summary Shares of Applied Optoelectronics rallied in after hours after the company disclosed a warrant agreement with Amazon.com. However, Amazon is well known for using its bargaining power to extract warrants from exchange-listed suppliers. Essentially, the agreement represents a volume discount. The company reported Q4/2024 and full-year results largely in line with expectations, but ramping up datacenter equipment sales will be key going forward. However, required investments in working capital and additional production capacity are likely to result in substantial near-term cash flow pressures. Given near-term execution risk and potential for additional dilution, investors should consider using the Amazon-related rally to dispose of existing positions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 04
Applied Optoelectronics Q4: Top-Line Growth Overshadowed By Decline In Margins
Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. reported strong Q4 sales growth but faced significant declines in efficiency and profitability, raising concerns about a sustainable turnaround. The company's CATV segment drove top-line growth, but gross margins and net income suffered due to one-time charges and operational inefficiencies. Macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariff wars, add volatility, making it difficult to confidently predict a near-term improvement in profitability. While the company shows promise with new product lines and capacity expansion, I need to see consistent operational improvements before considering investment in AAOI stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 24
Applied Optoelectronics Rises On Strong Q4-2024 Outlook And Future Data Center Growth
Summary Applied Optoelectronics is up 326.38% over the last six months. The company reported impressive Q3-2024 results and foresees a 40% revenue growth QoQ for Q4-2024. The company benefits from the high demand for fiber optics used at US datacenters. Demand for fiber optics at datacenters will continue to grow with the mass applications of AI and internet computing. I continue my rating of a Buy, although it comes at a risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 11
Applied Optoelectronics: Risk/Reward Increasingly Unfavorable After Epic Rally (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Last month, Applied Optoelectronics reported third-quarter results largely in line with expectations. Sales increased by more than 50% sequentially, driven by strong demand for data center and CATV products. Persistent cash outflows from increased working capital levels and elevated capex requirements were more than offset by proceeds from additional share sales into the open market. AAOI's Management projected Q4 revenues to increase by another 50%+ on a quarter-over-quarter basis, driven by persistent tailwinds from AI data center demand and the DOCSIS 4.0 transition in CATV. Following the epic rally in the shares, the company's valuation has reached elevated levels relative to much larger peers. With risk/reward looking increasingly unfavorable, I am downgrading the company's shares from "Hold" to "Sell" with a price target of $22, which is based on 30x estimated 2025 earnings per share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 11
Applied Optoelectronics' Bright Prospects Dimmed By Valuation Concerns
Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. has shown significant growth, particularly in its CATV and 400G segments, with a 150% stock increase in the past six months. Despite strong revenue and customer growth, Applied Optoelectronics faces challenges with negative earnings, high P/E ratio, and cash flow issues. AAOI stock is currently rated as a hold due to overvaluation concerns, ongoing losses, and heavy reliance on a small group of customers. Future consideration for buying would depend on a stock price drop that better reflects the company's actual fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 2,574 | 381 | 168 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,030 | 73 | -148 | N/A | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 507 | -43 | -449 | -209 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 456 | -38 | -385 | -174 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 422 | -156 | -324 | -169 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 368 | -156 | -269 | -155 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 309 | -173 | -163 | -92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 249 | -187 | -120 | -70 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 210 | -81 | -74 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 207 | -72 | -69 | -44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 205 | -63 | -49 | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 218 | -56 | -23 | -8 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 219 | -62 | -19 | -13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 213 | -69 | -11 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 224 | -67 | -24 | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 223 | -66 | -18 | -14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 216 | -61 | -17 | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 212 | -61 | -7 | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 214 | -55 | -9 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 212 | -54 | -22 | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 209 | -53 | -38 | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 233 | -47 | -49 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 244 | -57 | -70 | -51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 235 | -58 | -64 | -44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 231 | -80 | -53 | -33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 200 | -80 | -47 | -33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 179 | -72 | -32 | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 191 | -66 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 200 | -39 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 211 | -34 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 255 | -15 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 267 | -2 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 289 | 12 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 322 | 35 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 351 | 56 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 382 | 74 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 387 | 82 | N/A | 86 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 369 | 81 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 307 | 52 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 261 | 31 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 229 | 20 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 216 | 5 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 210 | 10 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 190 | 11 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 173 | 9 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: AAOI 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.7%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: AAOI (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: AAOI 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: AAOI 의 수익(연간 86.4%)이 US 시장(연간 12.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: AAOI 의 수익(연간 86.4%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: AAOI의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/08/06 06:27 |
| 종가 | 2026/08/06 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
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분석가 소스
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.는 14명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 5명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Ku Kang | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Richard Shannon | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |